Chelsea vs Legia: prediction & betting odds 17 Apr 2025

The second leg of the 2024/25 Europa Conference League quarter-finals between Chelsea (England) and Legia (Poland) will take place on April 17 at Stamford Bridge in London. The first leg ended 3-0 in favor of Chelsea. Chelsea vs. Legia: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Chelsea

Enzo Maresca's side confidently overcame their opponent in the first away match (3-0). Chelsea has been perfect in the main draw of the Europa Conference League, with nine wins in nine matches. Moreover, the team has scored at least three goals for the sixth time in this competition. They are also the best in terms of goals conceded in the current tournament (6). To advance to the next round, the Londoners only need to avoid losing by more than two goals in regular time. Notably, Chelsea has not reached the semi-finals of any European competition in the last four seasons.

  • The club has won its last five home matches in the Europa Conference League.
  • At least six goals have been scored in 3 of the team's last 4 home matches in this European competition.
  • The Londoners have scored at least twice in 4 of their last 5 home games in the ECL.

Predicted lineup for Chelsea (4-5-1)

Filip Jorgensen – Joshua Achimpong, Benoit Badiashile, Malo Gusto, Tosin Adarabioyo – Reece James, Cole Palmer, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Tyreik George, Tyreik George – Christopher Nkunku.

Defender Wesley Fofana, as well as midfielders Omari Kellyman and Romeo Lavia, will miss the match due to injuries.

Legia

Gonzalo Feio's side, having lost the first match, suffered their third defeat in four previous Europa Conference League matches. Moreover, in three of these instances, Legia conceded three goals in regular time. It is also noteworthy that the team failed to score for the first time in 15 recent matches in this tournament. Now, to advance to the next round, the Polish side needs to win by at least four goals over 90 minutes. If the club wins by three goals, extra time will be played. Legia last reached the semi-finals of a European competition in the 1990/91 season.

  • The team has won in regular time in 5 of their last 7 away matches in the Europa Conference League.
  • At least three goals have been scored in 9 of the club's last 10 away games in this European competition.
  • The Poles have scored at least twice in regular time in 6 of their last 8 away matches in the ECL.

Predicted lineup for Legia (4-3-3)

Kacper Tobiasz – Pawel Wszolek, Steve Kapuadi, Ruben Vinagre, Radovan Pankov – Rafal Augustyniak, Maxi Oyedele, Jurgen Elitim – Kacper Chodyna, Luquinhas, Ryo Morishita.

Midfielder Bartosz Kapustka and forward Marc Gual will not play due to injuries.

Referee

Alejandro Hernandez (Spain)

Matches – 8 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 18;

Average yellow cards per match – 2.2;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 18;

Penalties – 13%.

Chelsea vs. Legia: Match Prediction

In the clash between these teams, I expect to see a high-scoring match. Chelsea has scored the most goals in this Europa Conference League campaign (32), and at home, Enzo Maresca's side has sometimes overwhelmed opponents. If their attacking game is on, the players do not stop and continue to create scoring chances. As a result, in five home matches in this European competition, the Londoners have netted a total of 20 goals.

Although Legia does not have strong grounds to hope for a positive result in this match, they are capable of showing their creativity. The Polish side has regularly and abundantly scored throughout both of the last seasons in the Europa Conference League: in 14 away games in this European competition, the club's players have failed to score only once, and in ten instances, they have scored at least two goals. Additionally, in four away matches in the current ECL, excluding qualification, Legia's players have breached opponents' defenses nine times.

I believe the teams will delight with an exciting attacking game. My prediction: Total over 3 goals

Betting tips 17 Apr 2025

Last Thursday at the Warsaw stadium, there were no surprises as Chelsea comfortably took their chances in a 3:0 victory over Legia Warsaw. At Stamford Bridge, Enzo Maresca is expected to rest his strongest line-up, with a demanding English Premier League fixture on the horizon and a top-five finish still hanging in the balance.

In the Polish capital, Chelsea began to take control immediately after the break. Jadon Sancho provided two assists, while Jadon Sancho came off the bench to score twice. Across the 90 minutes of the first leg against Legia Warsaw, Chelsea generated 4.08 xG from 10 shots on target, while allowing just one effort on goal in return. In the 2:2 draw against Ipswich Town on Sunday, Cole Palmer and Marc Cucurella both completed the full match, so the coaching staff is unlikely to risk them again and will probably turn to reserve players.

Last week, Legia Warsaw not only fell short in Europe but also suffered a 0:1 home defeat in the Ekstraklasa to Jagiellonia Białystok. In that game, the team produced 1.54 xG but couldn’t find the net — the third time since the international break they have failed to score. With the return of Jan Ziolkowski and Artur Jedrzejczyk, Legia Warsaw's defence may look more stable, but the attack still lacks creativity in the absence of the injured Marc Gual.

Expectations are again for a high-scoring second leg, with the total line set accordingly. However, we’re opting for the opposite angle — the underdog appears to have lost motivation, while the favourite is preserving energy for domestic priorities.

Betting prediction
Total Under 3.5
Cf
Odds
17/20
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Chelsea vs Legia Odds

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Team lineups

Chelsea

coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Filip Jørgensen
gk. 10 -7
Benoît Badiashile
df. 9 0
Tosin Adarabioyo
df. 9 1
Marc Cucurella
df. 5 1
Joshua Kofi Acheampong
df. 4 0
Reece James
df. 3 1
Kiernan Frank Dewsbury-Hall
mf. 11 3
Cole Jermaine Palmer
mf. 5 0
Christopher Nkunku
fw. 10 7
Jadon Sancho
fw. 4 0
Nicolas Jackson
fw. 1 0
Substitutes
Robert Lynch Sánchez
gk. 1 -1
Lucas Carl Edvard Bergström
gk. 0 0
Malo Arthur Gusto
df. 3 0
Genesis Antwi
df. 1 0
Samuel Rak-Sakyi
mf. 4 0
Landon Emenalo
mf. 0 0
Mathis Amougou
mf. 0 0
Reggie Walsh
mf. 0 0
Tyrique Aaron Delali Yusuff George
fw. 10 1
Pedro Neto
fw. 5 1
Chukwunonso Tristan Madueke
fw. 4 3
Shumaira Zion Mheuka
fw. 3 0
Legia

coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Vladan Kovacevic
gk. 1 -3
Radovan Pankov
df. 12 1
Steve Nkanu Kapuadi
df. 12 1
Jan Ziółkowski
df. 5 0
Rúben Vinagre
df. 3 0
Lucas Lima Luquinhas
mf. 13 5
Claude Gonçalves
mf. 10 1
Maximillian Rotimi Oyedele
mf. 4 0
Juergen Farid Elitim Sepúlveda
mf. 3 0
Ryoya Morishita
mf. 2 1
Tomáš Pekhart
fw. 11 3
Substitutes
Kacper Tobiasz
gk. 9 -6
Marcel Mendes-Dudziński
gk. 0 0
Rafał Sylwester Augustyniak
df. 12 0
Artur Jędrzejczyk
df. 7 1
Oliwier Olewiński
df. 0 0
Patryk Kun
mf. 8 0
Mateusz Szczepaniak
mf. 4 1
Vahan Bichakhchyan
mf. 3 0
Kacper Chodyna
mf. 0 0
Pascal Mozie
mf. 0 0

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Andy H
Andy H
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