Odds overview
Lyon are favourites: the away win is available at 2.00, while the home win and draw are offered at around 3.55 and 3.80. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 is clearly favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.25. On the 0 handicap line, Lyon Draw No Bet at 1.50 is shorter than Anderlecht Draw No Bet at 2.60.
Why Lyon are favourites for the match
The bookmakers favour the visitors: Lyon to win is available at 2.00, Anderlecht to win is offered at 3.55, while the draw can be backed at 3.80.
• Lyon have had more total shots in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches, regularly imposing their attacking rhythm on opponents.
• Anderlecht, however, have not been outscored in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the competition, so the gap between the sides at Lotto Park may be smaller than the 1X2 market suggests.
Form and Line-up Anderlecht
Anderlecht have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five competitive matches. In the latest round of the Belgian league, they beat Mechelen 1:0 away from home. Romeo Amane, Andrew Omobamidele and Thelo Aasgaard joined the squad at the start of September, so the coaching staff have had to integrate the new arrivals during the season.
At home in European competition, the Belgians are well organised: in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League home matches, Anderlecht have not been beaten by their opponents for total shots, maintaining their structure and containing opposition attacks.
- Anderlecht have not been beaten by an opponent for shots on target in 10 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League home matches.
- Anderlecht have registered at least 5 shots on target in 10 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League home matches.
- In 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League home matches, Anderlecht's opponents have taken no more than 5 corners.
Probable Anderlecht line-up (4-3-3): Colin Coosemans, Ali Maamar, Andrew Omobamidele, Leo Petrot, Ludwig Augustinsson, Marco Kana, Enric Llansana, Ilias Koutsoupias, Oliver Antman, Danylo Sikan, Taufik Bentayeb
Form and Line-up Lyon
Lyon have won twice, drawn twice and lost once in their last five competitive matches. In the previous Ligue 1 round, the French club drew 0:0 away to Paris.
Away from home in the UEFA Europa League, Lyon consistently turn attacks into dangerous chances — they have registered at least 4 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 away matches. The visitors also avoid unnecessary offsides, being caught offside no more than twice per match in 9 of their last 10 away games.
- Lyon have not been outscored in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League away matches.
- No more than 9 corners have been taken in 10 of Lyon's last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- Lyon and their opponents have committed at least 23 fouls in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League away matches.
Probable Lyon line-up (4-3-3): Dominik Greif, Zachary Athekame, Clinton Mata, Moussa Niakhate, Nicolas Tagliafico, Mads Bidstrup, Tyler Morton, Corentin Tolisso, Ernest Nuamah, Pavel Sulc, Lois Openda
Team chances
Anderlecht to win is available at 3.55; the fair odds are 3.71, with a 27.0% probability. The draw is available at 3.80, with fair odds of 3.97 and a 25.2% probability. Lyon to win is 2.00, with fair odds of 2.09 and a 47.9% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht to win | 3.55 | 3.71 | 27.0% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.97 | 25.2% |
| Lyon to win | 2.00 | 2.09 | 47.9% |
Total goals prediction
For the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.25 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.65. For the 3.5 total, Under 3.5 goals is offered at 1.52 and Over 3.5 goals at 2.45.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.25 | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 1.52 | 2.45 |
Handicap prediction
Anderlecht (-1.5) is available at 6.00, while Lyon (-1.5) is at 3.25. On the 1.5 handicap line, odds are 1.30 for Anderlecht (+1.5) and 1.08 for Lyon (+1.5). Anderlecht (-1) is available at 5.40 versus 2.65 for Lyon (-1); Anderlecht (+1) is at 1.43 versus 1.10 for Lyon (+1). On the 0 line, Anderlecht Draw No Bet is 2.60 and Lyon Draw No Bet is 1.50.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.00 | -1.5 | 3.25 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 1.08 |
| 5.40 | -1 | 2.65 |
| 1.43 | 1 | 1.10 |
| 2.60 | 0 | 1.50 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.55, while Both teams to score - No, meaning at least one team will not score, is at 2.35.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.55 |
| No | 2.35 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
57/100
|
29/100
|
2/5
|
| William Hill |
57/100
|
3/10
|
2/5
|
| 888sport |
57/100
|
3/10
|
2/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team totals prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Anderlecht — 1 goal, Lyon — 1.5 goals.
Anderlecht team total
Anderlecht team total: Under 0.5 goals is 3.15, Over 0.5 goals is 1.30; Under 1 goal is 2.15, Over 1 goal is 1.65; Under 1.5 goals is 1.50, Over 1.5 goals is 2.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.15 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.15 | 1 | 1.65 |
| 1.50 | 1.5 | 2.50 |
Lyon team total
Lyon team total: Under 0.5 goals is 4.90, Over 0.5 goals is 1.12; Under 1 goal is 3.45, Over 1 goal is 1.27; Under 1.5 goals is 1.90, Over 1.5 goals is 1.85; Under 2 goals is 1.47, Over 2 goals is 2.60.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.90 | 0.5 | 1.12 |
| 3.45 | 1 | 1.27 |
| 1.90 | 1.5 | 1.85 |
| 1.47 | 2 | 2.60 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Ricardo de Burgos Bengoetxea (Spain)
Matches — 11 (International matches, 2025/26 - 2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 2.9;
Matches with red cards — 4 of 11;
Matches with penalties — 4 of 11.
