Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Angers are the favourites: a home win is available at 2.20, while the draw and an away win are at 3.40 and 3.35 respectively. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.80 is preferred to Over 2.5 goals at 2.02. Angers Draw No Bet at 1.60 is notably shorter than Troyes Draw No Bet at 2.35.
Why Angers are favourites for the match
The bookmakers favour the home side: an Angers win is available at 2.20, while a Troyes win is offered at 3.35 and the draw at 3.40.
• Ahead of Matchday 5, Angers are above their opponents in the table due to a better goals-for and goals-against record (4:5 versus 4:9, with 4 points earned).
• At the start of the season, Troyes are conceding an average of 2.25 goals per match, ranking second in Ligue 1 by this measure.
Form and Line-up Angers
In Matchday 4 of Ligue 1, Angers drew 0:0 away to Le Havre.
Angers' last 10 home league matches have consistently been low-scoring — with no more than three goals scored.
In 8 of Angers' last 10 home matches, there have been at least three yellow cards.
- Angers have scored no more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
- At least nine corners have been taken in 8 of Angers' last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
- Angers' opponents have had at least five shots on target in 10 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
Probable Angers line-up (4-2-3-1): Anthony Lopes, Carlens Arcus, Ousmane Camara, Jordan Lefort, Gedeon Kalulu, Yassin Belkhdim, Branco van den Boomen, Jim Allevinah, Bamba Dieng, Amine Sbai, Amine El Ouazzani
Form and Line-up Troyes
Troyes lost 0:2 away to Lille, conceding the second goal in stoppage time.
At the very end of the transfer window, the club signed two attacking players on loan — Jeremy Le Douaron and Timothe Nkada — who have already played against Lille.
Troyes have shown limited attacking activity away from home: in each of their last 10 away Ligue 1 matches, they have had no more than five shots on target.
- Troyes have scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 away Ligue 1 matches.
- Troyes have taken no more than five corners in 10 of their last 10 away Ligue 1 matches.
- Troyes players have received no more than two yellow cards in 10 of their last 10 away Ligue 1 matches.
Probable Troyes line-up (4-2-3-1): Patrick Bich, Lucas Maronnier, Adrien Monfray, Michel Dias, Abdoulaye Ouzenadji, Mouhamed Diop, Karim Dermane, Kyliane Diawara, Antoine Mille, Hugo Picard, Jeremy Le Douaron
Team chances
A home win is available at 2.20; the fair odds are 2.30 and the probability is 43.4%. The draw is listed at 3.40, 3.56 and 28.1%, while an away win is at 3.35, 3.51 and 28.5%: the chances of the visitors and the draw are similar, but lower than the probability of an Angers win.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angers to win | 2.20 | 2.30 | 43.4% |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.56 | 28.1% |
| Troyes to win | 3.35 | 3.51 | 28.5% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.80 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.02. The gap is more pronounced at the 3.5 line: Under 3.5 goals is available at 1.30 and Over 3.5 goals at 3.20.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.80 | 2.02 |
| 3.5 | 1.30 | 3.20 |
Handicap prediction
Angers (-1.5) at 3.90 is shorter than Troyes (-1.5) at 6.30. At the 1.5 line, Angers (+1.5) at 1.07 is shorter than Troyes (+1.5) at 1.20; at the -1 line, Angers (-1) are at 3.15 versus Troyes (-1) at 5.50. At the 1 line, Angers (+1) are at 1.10 and Troyes (+1) at 1.30, while the Draw No Bet market has Angers at 1.60 versus Troyes at 2.35.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.90 | -1.5 | 6.30 |
| 1.07 | 1.5 | 1.20 |
| 3.15 | -1 | 5.50 |
| 1.10 | 1 | 1.30 |
| 1.60 | 0 | 2.35 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.77 is shorter than Both teams to score - No at 2.00, so the option of both teams scoring appears more likely.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.77 |
| No | 2.00 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team totals prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Angers — 1.5 goals, Troyes — 1 goal.
Angers team total
Angers team total: Under 0.5 goals at 3.85 is considerably higher than Over 0.5 goals at 1.22. At the 1 line, Under 1 goal is at 2.60 and Over 1 goal at 1.47; at 1.5, Under 1.5 goals is at 1.65 versus Over 1.5 goals at 2.20. At the 2 line, Under 2 goals is at 1.25 and Over 2 goals at 3.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.85 | 0.5 | 1.22 |
| 2.60 | 1 | 1.47 |
| 1.65 | 1.5 | 2.20 |
| 1.25 | 2 | 3.50 |
Troyes team total
Troyes team total: Under 0.5 goals at 2.75 is higher than Over 0.5 goals at 1.40. At the 1 line, the odds are almost identical: Under 1 goal is 1.88 and Over 1 goal is 1.87. At 1.5, Under 1.5 goals at 1.35 is notably shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 2.90.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.75 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
| 1.88 | 1 | 1.87 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 2.90 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Azzedine Souifi (France)
Matches — 20 (Ligue 1 and Ligue 2, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 32;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.9;
Matches with red cards — 1 out of 20;
Matches with penalties — 6 out of 20.
