Arsenal vs Chelsea: betting odds 16 Mar 2025

The Premier League Matchday 29 clash between Arsenal and Chelsea will take place on March 16 at the Emirates Stadium in London. Arsenal vs. Chelsea: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Arsenal

Despite their successes in the Champions League, the Londoners have encountered some issues in the Premier League. Mikel Arteta's side has not won in three consecutive matches, scoring only once during this period. They lost at home to West Ham (0-1), drew away with Nottingham Forest (0-0), and Manchester United (1-1). Arsenal remains second in the standings but has fallen 15 points behind leaders Liverpool.

  • No more than three goals have been scored in 7 of Arsenal's last 9 Premier League matches.
  • Arsenal has lost only once in their last 18 league games (10 wins and 7 draws).
  • No more than one goal has been scored in the first half of 7 of Arsenal's last 8 home Premier League matches.

Predicted lineup for Arsenal (4-3-3)

David Raya – Riccardo Calafiori, Gabriel Magalhães, William Saliba, Jurrien Timber – Thomas Partey, Declan Rice, Martin Ødegaard – Mikel Merino, Ethan Nwaneri, Leandro Trossard.

Chelsea

The team capitalized on a favorable schedule, securing two home victories against lower-ranked opponents. Under Enzo Maresca, they thrashed Southampton (4-0) and overcame Leicester (1-0). This allowed Chelsea to return to the Champions League spots and gain a two-point lead over their closest rivals in the race for a top-four finish. Notably, the club has scored 53 goals, the third-highest in the Premier League.

  • The club has failed to win in 8 of their last 12 Premier League matches (3 draws and 5 losses).
  • At least three goals have been scored in 7 of Chelsea's last 8 league matches.
  • Chelsea has not scored in the second half of their last six away Premier League matches.

Predicted lineup for Chelsea (4-2-3-1)

Robert Sánchez – Levi Colwill, Tosin Adarabioyo, Marc Cucurella, Wesley Fofana – Enzo Fernández, Moisés Caicedo – Pedro Neto, Cole Palmer, Jadon Sancho – Christopher Nkunku.

Forward Mykhailo Mudryk remains suspended due to a failed doping test.

Referee

Chris Kavanagh (England)

Matches – 18 (Premier League, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 92;

Average yellow cards per match – 5.1;

Red cards shown – 4;

Average fouls per match – 22;

Penalties – 17%.

Arsenal vs. Chelsea: Match Prediction

Before the unexpected defeat to West Ham, Arsenal had not lost at home in the league for 15 matches, securing 11 wins and 4 draws. Mikel Arteta's side will aim to bounce back from the disappointing loss against their local rivals, as they need to maintain their lead over the closest challengers in the top-four battle. I predict the hosts will win the derby, as Chelsea currently appears unsteady, with their last two victories coming against clear underdogs.

Arsenal also has the statistical advantage in head-to-head Premier League encounters. In the last six meetings, Arsenal won four times, with two draws. Additionally, Arteta's team has convincingly defeated their London rivals at home in the last two league matches (5-0 and 3-1). Chelsea's current away form is also noteworthy, having collected only two points from their last six Premier League away games, scoring just three goals in the process.

My prediction – Arsenal to Win

Arsenal — Chelsea betting tips 16 Mar 2025

The headline fixture of Sunday, and arguably the entire matchweek, is the London derby between Arsenal and Chelsea. Beyond the traditional rivalry, this clash carries huge implications for the race to secure Champions League qualification.

Arsenal are in a stronger position to clinch a top-four spot, currently sitting second in the table. They hold an eight-point cushion over Manchester City and are six points clear of Chelsea. The team advanced to the Champions League quarter-finals midweek after a 2:2 draw against PSV Eindhoven at the Emirates—a comfortable result following their emphatic 7:1 victory in Eindhoven. Key players were rested ahead of this crucial league fixture, with Martin Ødegaard, Jurriën Timber, and Leandro Trossard only introduced in the second half. There was also a positive sign in Gabriel Martinelli’s continued reintegration into the squad, making consecutive substitute appearances. He could be in contention to start against Chelsea.

Chelsea are also seeing key players return, which should ease some of their recent struggles. Wesley Fofana is not registered for the Europa Conference League but played 73 minutes against Leicester City—his first action after a long-term injury. His return has been eagerly awaited all winter. Chelsea  secured their place in the Conference League quarter-finals on Thursday. Having already gained a one-goal advantage in the away leg, they rotated heavily at Stamford Bridge, with Marc Cucurella, Cole Palmer, Christopher Nkunku, and Reece James only appearing after the break. The lone goal in the second leg came from Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall in the 55th minute.

Both teams will field their strongest possible line-ups, given the significance of this fixture. However, Arsenal’s defensive stability has been less affected by injuries in recent months, giving them a slight edge. While Chelsea have improved, Arsenal remain difficult to beat at the Emirates. Expect a fiercely contested battle with a controlled number of goals.

Betting prediction
Arsenal to win or draw + Total Under 3.5
Cf
Odds
3/4
Bet now

Arsenal vs Chelsea Odds

Current season

Logo Arsenal Logo Chelsea
15 Wins 14
3 Lost 7
10 Draws 7
1.86 GF per game 1.89
0.86 GA per game 1.29
6.57 Corners per game 6.04
1.96 Yellow cards per game 2.75

Premier League: previous matches in the tournament

Arsenal
09.03.25
Manchester United
Arsenal
D
26.02.25
Nottingham Forest
Arsenal
D
22.02.25
Arsenal
West Ham United
L
15.02.25
Leicester City
Arsenal
W
02.02.25
Arsenal
Manchester City
W
25.01.25
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Arsenal
W
18.01.25
Arsenal
Aston Villa
D
15.01.25
Arsenal
Tottenham Hotspur
W
04.01.25
Brighton and Hove Albion
Arsenal
D
01.01.25
Brentford
Arsenal
W
27.12.24
Arsenal
Ipswich
W
21.12.24
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
W
14.12.24
Arsenal
Everton
D
08.12.24
Fulham
Arsenal
D
04.12.24
Arsenal
Manchester United
W
30.11.24
West Ham United
Arsenal
W
23.11.24
Arsenal
Nottingham Forest
W
10.11.24
Chelsea
Arsenal
D
02.11.24
Newcastle United
Arsenal
L
27.10.24
Arsenal
Liverpool
D
19.10.24
Bournemouth
Arsenal
L
05.10.24
Arsenal
Southampton
W
28.09.24
Arsenal
Leicester City
W
22.09.24
Manchester City
Arsenal
D
15.09.24
Tottenham Hotspur
Arsenal
W
31.08.24
Arsenal
Brighton and Hove Albion
D
24.08.24
Aston Villa
Arsenal
W
17.08.24
Arsenal
Wolverhampton Wanderers
W
More matches
Chelsea
09.03.25
Chelsea
Leicester City
W
25.02.25
Chelsea
Southampton
W
22.02.25
Aston Villa
Chelsea
L
14.02.25
Brighton and Hove Albion
Chelsea
L
03.02.25
Chelsea
West Ham United
W
25.01.25
Manchester City
Chelsea
L
20.01.25
Chelsea
Wolverhampton Wanderers
W
14.01.25
Chelsea
Bournemouth
D
04.01.25
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
D
30.12.24
Ipswich
Chelsea
L
26.12.24
Chelsea
Fulham
L
22.12.24
Everton
Chelsea
D
15.12.24
Chelsea
Brentford
W
08.12.24
Tottenham Hotspur
Chelsea
W
04.12.24
Southampton
Chelsea
W
01.12.24
Chelsea
Aston Villa
W
23.11.24
Leicester City
Chelsea
W
10.11.24
Chelsea
Arsenal
D
03.11.24
Manchester United
Chelsea
D
27.10.24
Chelsea
Newcastle United
W
20.10.24
Liverpool
Chelsea
L
06.10.24
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
D
28.09.24
Chelsea
Brighton and Hove Albion
W
21.09.24
West Ham United
Chelsea
W
14.09.24
Bournemouth
Chelsea
W
01.09.24
Chelsea
Crystal Palace
D
25.08.24
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Chelsea
W
18.08.24
Chelsea
Manchester City
L
More matches

H2H: Arsenal — Chelsea

Premier League 2024-2025
10.11.24
Chelsea
Arsenal
Premier League 2023-2024
23.04.24
Arsenal
Chelsea
21.10.23
Chelsea
Arsenal
Premier League 2022-2023
02.05.23
Arsenal
Chelsea
06.11.22
Chelsea
Arsenal
Premier League 2021-2022
20.04.22
Chelsea
Arsenal
22.08.21
Arsenal
Chelsea
Premier League 2020-2021
12.05.21
Chelsea
Arsenal
26.12.20
Arsenal
Chelsea
FA Cup 2019-2020
01.08.20
Arsenal
Chelsea
Premier League 2019-2020
21.01.20
Chelsea
Arsenal
29.12.19
Arsenal
Chelsea
Europa League 2018-2019
29.05.19
Chelsea
Arsenal
Premier League 2018-2019
19.01.19
Arsenal
Chelsea
18.08.18
Chelsea
Arsenal
Champions Cup 2018
01.08.18
Arsenal
Chelsea
1
:
1
6
:
5
P
FA Cup 2017-2018
24.01.18
Arsenal
Chelsea
2
:
1
10.01.18
Chelsea
Arsenal
0
:
0
Premier League 2017-2018
03.01.18
Arsenal
Chelsea
17.09.17
Chelsea
Arsenal
Community Shield 2017
06.08.17
Arsenal
Chelsea
1
:
1
4
:
1
P
FA Cup 2016-2017
27.05.17
Chelsea
Arsenal
Premier League 2016-2017
04.02.17
Chelsea
Arsenal
24.09.16
Arsenal
Chelsea
Premier League 2015-2016
24.01.16
Arsenal
Chelsea
19.09.15
Chelsea
Arsenal
Premier League 2014-2015
26.04.15
Arsenal
Chelsea
05.10.14
Chelsea
Arsenal
Premier League 2013-2014
21.03.14
Chelsea
Arsenal
6
:
0
22.12.13
Arsenal
Chelsea
0
:
0
Premier League 2012-2013
19.01.13
Chelsea
Arsenal
2
:
1
28.09.12
Arsenal
Chelsea
1
:
2
Premier League 2011-2012
20.04.12
Arsenal
Chelsea
0
:
0
28.10.11
Chelsea
Arsenal
3
:
5
Premier League 2010-2011
26.12.10
Arsenal
Chelsea
3
:
1
02.10.10
Chelsea
Arsenal
2
:
0
Premier League 2009-2010
06.02.10
Chelsea
Arsenal
2
:
0
28.11.09
Arsenal
Chelsea
0
:
3
Premier League 2008-2009
09.05.09
Arsenal
Chelsea
1
:
4
29.11.08
Chelsea
Arsenal
1
:
2
Premier League 2007-2008
22.03.08
Chelsea
Arsenal
2
:
1
15.12.07
Arsenal
Chelsea
1
:
0
Premier League 2006-2007
05.05.07
Arsenal
Chelsea
1
:
1
09.12.06
Chelsea
Arsenal
1
:
1
Premier League 2005-2006
17.12.05
Arsenal
Chelsea
0
:
2
20.08.05
Chelsea
Arsenal
1
:
0
Premier League 2004-2005
19.04.05
Chelsea
Arsenal
0
:
0
11.12.04
Arsenal
Chelsea
2
:
2
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
29 21 7 1 69:27 70
2
Arsenal
28 15 10 3 52:24 55
3
Nottingham Forest
29 16 6 7 49:35 54
4
Chelsea
28 14 7 7 53:36 49
5
Manchester City
29 14 6 9 55:40 48
6
Newcastle United
28 14 5 9 47:38 47
7
Brighton and Hove Albion
29 12 11 6 48:42 47
8
Aston Villa
29 12 9 8 41:45 45
9
Bournemouth
29 12 8 9 48:36 44
10
Fulham
28 11 9 8 41:38 42
11
Brentford
29 12 5 12 50:45 41
12
Crystal Palace
28 10 9 9 36:33 39
13
Tottenham Hotspur
28 10 4 14 55:41 34
14
Everton
29 7 13 9 32:36 34
15
Manchester United
28 9 7 12 34:40 34
16
West Ham United
29 9 7 13 33:49 34
17
Wolverhampton Wanderers
29 7 5 17 40:58 26
18
Ipswich
29 3 8 18 28:62 17
19
Leicester City
28 4 5 19 25:62 17
20
Southampton
29 2 3 24 21:70 9
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
14 11 2 1 31:11 35
2
Arsenal
13 8 4 1 27:11 28
3
Nottingham Forest
14 8 4 2 23:10 28
4
Chelsea
14 8 4 2 27:15 28
5
Aston Villa
15 7 7 1 25:18 28
6
Manchester City
14 8 3 3 30:19 27
7
Brighton and Hove Albion
14 6 6 2 21:16 24
8
Brentford
15 7 3 5 30:27 24
9
Newcastle United
13 7 2 4 24:17 23
10
Bournemouth
14 6 3 5 18:12 21
11
Fulham
14 5 5 4 20:21 20
12
Manchester United
15 6 2 7 21:25 20
13
Everton
15 4 7 4 21:18 19
14
Tottenham Hotspur
15 5 3 7 30:26 18
15
Crystal Palace
15 4 5 6 17:22 17
16
West Ham United
15 5 2 8 18:28 17
17
Wolverhampton Wanderers
14 3 2 9 18:27 11
18
Leicester City
14 2 3 9 11:27 9
19
Ipswich
15 1 4 10 12:34 7
20
Southampton
14 1 1 12 10:39 4
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
15 10 5 0 38:16 35
2
Arsenal
15 7 6 2 25:13 27
3
Nottingham Forest
15 8 2 5 26:25 26
4
Newcastle United
15 7 3 5 23:21 24
5
Bournemouth
15 6 5 4 30:24 23
6
Brighton and Hove Albion
15 6 5 4 27:26 23
7
Crystal Palace
13 6 4 3 19:11 22
8
Fulham
14 6 4 4 21:17 22
9
Chelsea
14 6 3 5 26:21 21
10
Manchester City
15 6 3 6 25:21 21
11
Brentford
14 5 2 7 20:18 17
12
West Ham United
14 4 5 5 15:21 17
13
Aston Villa
14 5 2 7 16:27 17
14
Tottenham Hotspur
13 5 1 7 25:15 16
15
Everton
14 3 6 5 11:18 15
16
Wolverhampton Wanderers
15 4 3 8 22:31 15
17
Manchester United
13 3 5 5 13:15 14
18
Ipswich
14 2 4 8 16:28 10
19
Leicester City
14 2 2 10 14:35 8
20
Southampton
15 1 2 12 11:31 5

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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