Odds Overview
Como are clear favourites: the away win is available at 1.80, compared with 5.30 for the home win, while the draw is priced at 3.25. Under 2.5 goals at 1.63 is notably favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 2.30. Como are also well ahead on the 0 handicap line: Como Draw No Bet is 1.27, while Genoa Draw No Bet is 3.40.
Why Como Are the Match Favourites
Como are favourites in the betting market: the visitors are available at 1.80 to win (a 52.8% probability without margin). Genoa's win is quoted at 5.30 and the draw at 3.25.
- Como have established themselves in the top half of the table after a convincing start: they beat Napoli away 2:1 thanks to goals from Martin Baturina and Anastasios Douvikas, then drew 1:1 with Udinese courtesy of another goal from the Greek.
- Genoa remain without a goal at the start of the season: they lost 0:2 at home to Napoli in the last round and are one of five teams yet to find the net.
Form and Line-up Genoa
After losing 0:2 to Napoli in the opening round, Genoa were also unable to contain Lazio away from home, losing 0:1. The Genoa side could not break down their opponents' defensive wall after conceding in the 25th minute: despite 0.74 xG, they managed only one shot on target.
Matches at the Luigi Ferraris Stadium tend to be tight affairs. In Genoa's last 10 Serie A matches, they and their opponents have taken no more than 10 corners, while Genoa have not had more offsides than their opponents in that spell.
Key numbers:
• Genoa have received no more than two yellow cards in each of their last 10 home Serie A matches.
• In 9 of their last 10 home Serie A matches, Genoa have taken a maximum of five corners.
• In 8 of their last 10 home Serie A matches, Genoa and their opponents have been caught offside no more than three times.
Probable Genoa line-up (3-4-2-1): Justin Bijlow — Alessandro Marcandalli, Leo Ostigard, Johan Vasquez — Morten Frendrup, Mikael Ellertsson, Djibril Sow, Brooke Norton-Cuffy — Tommaso Baldanzi, Vitinha — Lorenzo ColomboForm and Line-up Como
Como began the season with a 1:1 away draw at Udinese, followed by a successful trip to Naples. They have a home Champions League match against RB Leipzig on 10 September, but there are several days for recovery between the matches.
Como's matches stand out for their high overall activity: they rank first in Serie A for total shots per match (35.5). Away from home, Como are disciplined and have not had more offsides than their opponents in 10 consecutive away matches.
Key numbers:
• In all 10 of Como's last 10 away Serie A matches, their opponents have had no more than four shots on target.
• In 9 of their last 10 away Serie A matches, Como have not scored fewer goals than their opponents.
• In 8 of their last 10 Serie A matches, Como have committed no more than 12 fouls.
Probable Como line-up (4-2-3-1): Jean Butez — Yan Couto, Jacobo Ramon, Trevoh Chalobah, Alex Valle — Luis Milla, Lucas Da Cunha — Assane Diao, Nico Paz, Martin Baturina — Anastasios Douvikas
Absentees: Jayden Addai (injury)
Team Chances
Genoa to win is available at 5.30; the fair odds are 5.58, with a probability of 17.9%. The draw is 3.25, with fair odds of 3.42 and a probability of 29.3%. Como to win at 1.80 corresponds to fair odds of 1.89 and a probability of 52.8%, making Como the favourites.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
Genoa to win | 5.30 | 5.58 | 17.9% |
Draw | 3.25 | 3.42 | 29.3% |
Como to win | 1.80 | 1.89 | 52.8% |
Total Goals Prediction
On the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.63 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.30. On the 2-goal line, Over 2 goals at 1.70 is favoured over Under 2 goals at 2.10. For the 3.5 line, the odds strongly favour Under 3.5 goals at 1.22, while Over 3.5 goals is available at 3.85.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.63 | 2.30 |
2 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
3.5 | 1.22 | 3.85 |
Handicap Prediction
Como (-1.5) is available at 3.55, while Genoa (+1.5) is at 1.25. On the 1-goal line, Como (-1) is 2.70 and Genoa (+1) is 1.45. On the 0 handicap, Como Draw No Bet at 1.27 is notably shorter than Genoa Draw No Bet at 3.40.
Home | Handicap | Away |
— | -1.5 | 3.55 |
1.25 | 1.5 | — |
— | -1 | 2.70 |
1.45 | 1 | — |
3.40 | 0 | 1.27 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - No at 1.73 is favoured over Both teams to score - Yes at 2.05: the odds more often imply that at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 2.05 |
No | 1.73 |
Double Chance Prediction
X2 has the lowest odds at 1.18. The 12 outcome is available at 1.35 and 1X at 2.00, so the option of Como not winning is considered less likely.
1X | 12 | X2 |
2.00 | 1.35 | 1.18 |
Team Total Goals Prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Genoa — 0.5 goals, Como — 1.5 goals.
Genoa Team Total
Genoa team total: on the 0.5 line, Over 0.5 goals at 1.70 is shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 2.08. On the 1-goal total, Under 1 goal is 1.38 compared with 2.80 for Over 1 goal, while on the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 goals is 1.20 and Over 1.5 goals is 4.20.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.08 | 0.5 | 1.70 |
1.38 | 1 | 2.80 |
1.20 | 1.5 | 4.20 |
Como Team Total
Como team total: Over 0.5 goals is available at 1.20, compared with 4.30 for Under 0.5 goals. On the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal at 1.38 is favoured over Under 1 goal at 2.80; on the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 goals is 1.70 and Over 1.5 goals is 2.10. For the 2-goal total, Under 2 goals is 1.25 compared with 3.45 for Over 2 goals.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.30 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
2.80 | 1 | 1.38 |
1.70 | 1.5 | 2.10 |
1.25 | 2 | 3.45 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Marco Guida (Italy)
Matches — 16 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.9;
Matches with red cards — 3 of 16;
Matches with penalties — 7 of 16.
