Odds overview
Juventus are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.70, compared with 3.90 for a draw and 5.00 for an Atalanta win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.80 is shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.03. In the handicap market, Juventus (-1.5) at 2.70 is considerably longer than Atalanta (+1.5) at 1.40.
Why Juventus are favourites
Juventus to win is available at 1.70 (a 56.3% no-margin probability). A draw is offered at 3.90, while an Atalanta win is 5.00.
- Juventus have restricted the danger posed by opponents in front of their own goal exceptionally well: with an average of 0.47 xG conceded, they rank first in the league for limiting threat.
- Atalanta have made a poor start to the league campaign and sit only 11th with 6 points after four rounds.
Form and Line-up Juventus
In the previous round, Juventus lost 2:3 away to Sassuolo despite twice levelling the score during the second half. Despite the defeat, Juventus showed character in the second half of the match.
At home, Juventus consistently hold the advantage in shots: in their last 10 Serie A home matches, they have not been beaten either for shots or shots on target. The team confidently controls territory and keeps visitors away from their own goal.
- Juventus' opponents have taken no more than 5 corners in their last 10 Serie A home matches.
- Juventus have committed no more than 11 fouls in 8 of their last 10 Serie A home matches.
- In 9 of Juventus' last 10 Serie A home matches, their opponents have been caught offside no more than once.
Probable Juventus line-up (4-2-3-1): Guglielmo Vicario, Pierre Kalulu, Bremer, Jhon Lucumi, Zeki Celik, Douglas Luiz, Teun Koopmeiners, Francisco Conceicao, Nicolas Gonzalez, Kerim Alajbegovic, Randal Kolo Muani.
Manuel Locatelli will miss out through injury.
Form and Line-up Atalanta
Atalanta travel after a home defeat to Cagliari (1:2), in which Gianluca Scamacca scored their only goal.
In attack, Atalanta have not yet reached their usual level: with 0.87 xG, they rank second from bottom in the league.
- No more than 10 corners have been taken in 8 of Atalanta's last 10 Serie A matches.
- No more than 25 fouls in total have been recorded in Atalanta's last 10 Serie A matches.
- At least 3 offsides have been recorded in Atalanta's last 10 Serie A away matches.
Probable Atalanta line-up (4-3-3): Marco Carnesecchi, Raoul Bellanova, Odilon Kossounou, Giorgio Scalvini, Sead Kolasinac, Lazar Samardzic, Franck Kessie, Ederson, Charles De Ketelaere, Gianluca Scamacca, Jonathan Rowe.
Isaac Hien and Kamaldeen Sulemana remain doubtful.
Team chances
Juventus to win — 1.70, fair odds — 1.78 and a 56.3% probability; draw — 3.90, 4.07 and 24.5%; Atalanta to win — 5.00, 5.22 and 19.1%. The market clearly favours the home side.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus to win | 1.70 | 1.78 | 56.3% |
| Draw | 3.90 | 4.07 | 24.5% |
| Atalanta to win | 5.00 | 5.22 | 19.1% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.80 is shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.03. At the 3.5 line, Under 3.5 goals at 1.40 is preferred, while Over 3.5 goals is offered at 2.75.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.03 | 1.80 |
| 3.5 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
Handicap prediction
Atalanta (+1.5) at 1.40 is considerably shorter than Juventus (-1.5) at 2.70. On the one-goal handicap, Atalanta (+1) at 1.67 is shorter than Juventus (-1) at 2.20, while in the Draw No Bet market Juventus at 1.25 are clearly preferred to Atalanta at 3.45.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.40 | |
| 2.20 | -1 | |
| 1 | 1.67 | |
| 1.25 | 0 | 3.45 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.77 is shorter than Both teams to score - No at 2.00: the market is slightly more likely to expect goals from both teams than a scenario in which at least one does not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.77 |
| No | 2.00 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Juventus — 1.5 goals, Atalanta — 1 goal.
Juventus team total
Juventus team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.11 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 5.20, while Over 1 goal at 1.20 is shorter than Under 1 goal at 3.95. At the 1.5 line, Over is slightly shorter at 1.73 than Under at 2.05, while at the 2 line, Under at 1.53 is preferred to Over at 2.45.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.20 | 0.5 | 1.11 |
| 3.95 | 1 | 1.20 |
| 2.05 | 1.5 | 1.73 |
| 1.53 | 2 | 2.45 |
Atalanta team total
Atalanta team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.53 is shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 2.40. At the 1 line, Under at 1.62 is preferred to Over at 2.25, while at the 1.5 line, Under at 1.28 is considerably shorter than Over at 3.30.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | 0.5 | 1.53 |
| 1.62 | 1 | 2.25 |
| 1.28 | 1.5 | 3.30 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Luca Zufferli (Italy)
Matches — 19 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 2.8;
Matches with red cards — 1 of 19;
Matches with penalties — 9 of 19.
