The second leg of the 2024/25 Europa League quarter-final between Lazio (Italy) and Bodø/Glimt (Norway) will take place on April 17 at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome. The first match ended 2-0 in favor of Bodø/Glimt. Lazio vs. Bodø/Glimt: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Lazio
Marco Baroni's team suffered a 0-2 defeat in the first meeting, marking their second loss in this season's Europa League. Moreover, it was the first time in 13 matches in this European competition that Lazio conceded more than one goal. To advance to the next round, the team needs to win by at least three goals in regular time. Notably, the Romans last reached the semi-finals of the second most prestigious European club competition in the 2002/03 season.
- The team has not lost in regular time in their last 13 home Europa League matches (7 wins, 6 draws).
- The club conceded exactly one goal in 90 minutes in 5 of their last 6 home games in this competition.
- The Romans have not scored more than two goals in regular time in 16 of their last 19 home Europa League matches.
Predicted lineup for Lazio (4-5-1)
Christos Mandas – Adam Marusic, Mario Gila, Alessio Romagnoli, Elseid Hysaj – Matteo Guendouzi, Matias Vecino, Gustav Isaksen, Mattia Zaccagni, Pedro Rodriguez – Boulaye Dia.
Defenders Nuno Tavares and Patric Gabarron will miss the game due to injuries.
Bodø/Glimt
Kjetil Knutsen's side, having won the first match, secured their seventh victory in regular time in the current Europa League. Additionally, Bodø/Glimt managed to keep a clean sheet for only the third time in their last 22 matches in this competition. To advance to the next round, the Norwegians need to avoid losing by more than one goal in regular time. If the team loses by exactly two goals, extra time will be played. Notably, the club has never reached the semi-finals of any European competition before.
- The club has not won in regular time in 9 of their last 10 away Europa League matches (3 draws, 6 losses).
- The team scored exactly one or two goals in 90 minutes in 6 of their last 7 away games in this competition.
- The Norwegians have not conceded more than two goals in regular time in 7 of their last 9 away Europa League matches.
Predicted lineup for Bodø/Glimt (4-3-3)
Nikita Haikin – Fredrik Bjørkan, Fredrik Sjøvold, Jostein Gundersen, Odin Bjørthuft – Ulrik Saltnes, Patrick Berg, Hakon Evjen – Ole Blumberg, Kasper Heg, Jens Petter Hauge.
Referee
Daniel Siebert (Germany)
Matches – 10 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 44;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.4;
Red cards shown – 5;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 20%.
Lazio vs. Bodø/Glimt: Match Prediction
At home, the Romans focus on an active attacking game and prefer to spend as much time as possible in the opponent's half. For Lazio, scoring goals is rarely a problem: in their last 9 home Europa League matches, the team failed to breach the opponent's defense only once, and in seven cases, the Romans scored at least twice. However, the Italians are not always reliable in defense, having kept only one clean sheet in the same period.
The Norwegians may not have much experience in European competitions, but they already stand out for their high scoring ability. Even away, Bodø/Glimt scores regularly, having found the net in 5 of their 6 away games in the current Europa League. However, the club's defense suffers: throughout their participation in this competition, the Norwegians have played 12 away matches and kept a clean sheet only once.
I expect a vibrant attacking display from both teams and anticipate goals from both sides. My prediction: Both teams to score – Yes
