Odds overview
Sunderland are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.70, while the draw is quoted at 3.85 and an away win at 5.20. The odds on the main 2.5-goal total are close, with Under 2.5 at 1.87 marginally favoured over Over 2.5 at 1.95. In the handicap market, Sunderland Draw No Bet at 1.25 is considerably shorter than Hull City Draw No Bet at 3.55, confirming the hosts' advantage.
Why Sunderland are favourites for the match
Sunderland to win is available at 1.70, while a Hull City victory is quoted at 5.20.
Sunderland rely on reliable control: no more than three goals have been scored in 8 of the team's last 10 League Cup matches.
Hull City regularly lose to their opponents in the League Cup, having failed to win any of their previous 10 matches in the competition.
Form and Line-up Sunderland
Sunderland's start to the Premier League season suggests a cautious approach: after losing to Ipswich Town (1:2), they held on for a home win over Fulham (1:0) before drawing with Brentford (1:1).
The only goal against Brentford came from a penalty, underlining certain difficulties in creating chances from open play.
Key numbers:
Sunderland's opponents have been caught offside no more than twice in their last 10 League Cup matches.
No more than four offsides have been recorded in 8 of Sunderland's last 10 League Cup matches.
Sunderland's opponents have committed at least 10 fouls in 8 of their last 10 League Cup matches.
Probable Sunderland line-up (5-4-1): Robin Roefs, Thomas Meunier, Nordi Mukiele, Kevin Danso, Dan Ballard, Reinildo Mandava, Granit Xhaka, Noah Sadiki, Enzo Le Fee, Nilson Angulo, Brian Brobbey.
Habib Diarra will miss the match with a hamstring injury.
Form and Line-up Hull City
Hull City began their Premier League campaign with a run of clean sheets, beating Manchester United (2:0) and Coventry City (1:0), as well as drawing with Aston Villa (0:0). The visitors previously progressed past Stoke City on penalties in the League Cup after a 1:1 draw.
However, Aston Villa registered 1.74 xG in that match, so it is too early to speak of a flawless defence.
Key numbers:
Hull City have scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 League Cup matches.
No more than three yellow cards have been shown in Hull City's last 10 away League Cup matches.
Hull City have been caught offside no more than twice in 9 of their last 10 away League Cup matches.
Probable Hull City line-up (5-4-1): Konstantinos Tzolakis, Semi Ajayi, Nobel Mendy, Ryan Giles, Lewie Coyle, John Egan, Regan Slater, Lucas Gourna-Douath, Mohamed Belloumi, Elliot Stroud, Oliver McBurnie.
Eliot Matazo could miss the cup tie with a cruciate ligament injury.
Team chances
Sunderland to win — 1.70; fair odds are 1.77, with a probability of 56.5%. The draw is available at 3.85, with fair odds of 4.01 and a probability of 25%. An away win is quoted at 5.20, with fair odds of 5.41 and a probability of 18.5%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
Sunderland to win | 1.70 | 1.77 | 56.5% |
Draw | 3.85 | 4.01 | 25.0% |
Hull City to win | 5.20 | 5.41 | 18.5% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 at 1.87 is quoted marginally shorter than Over 2.5 at 1.95. At the 3.5-goal mark, Under 3.5 at 1.32 is considerably favoured over Over 3.5 at 3.05.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.87 | 1.95 |
3.5 | 1.32 | 3.05 |
Handicap prediction
Sunderland (-1.5) is available at 2.80, while Hull City (+1.5) is available at 1.38. At the one-goal handicap, Sunderland (-1) is quoted at 2.20 and Hull City (+1) at 1.65. The Draw No Bet market strongly favours the hosts: Sunderland Draw No Bet is 1.25 versus 3.55 for Hull City Draw No Bet.
Home | Handicap | Away |
2.80 | -1.5 | — |
— | 1.5 | 1.38 |
2.20 | -1 | — |
— | 1 | 1.65 |
1.25 | 0 | 3.55 |
Both teams to score prediction
The odds on both teams scoring are almost even: Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.90, while Both teams to score - No is available at 1.85. The slightly shorter odds on the latter suggest that at least one team may fail to score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.90 |
No | 1.85 |
Double chance prediction
The 1X double chance is the most likely option at 1.19. The 12 bet is quoted at 1.28, while X2 at 2.20 looks a less likely scenario.
1X | 12 | X2 |
19/100
|
7/25
|
6/5
|
Team total prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Sunderland — 1.5 goals; Hull City — 0.5 goals.
Sunderland team total
Sunderland team total: Under 0.5 at 4.90 is considerably longer than Over 0.5 at 1.13. At the line of 1, Under 1 is quoted at 3.50 and Over 1 at 1.25. The odds are close at 1.5: Under 1.5 is 1.95 and Over 1.5 is 1.80. At the line of 2, Under 2 is available at 1.45, while Over 2 is available at 2.65.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.90 | 0.5 | 1.13 |
3.50 | 1 | 1.25 |
1.95 | 1.5 | 1.80 |
1.45 | 2 | 2.65 |
Hull City team total
Hull City team total: Under 0.5 is available at 2.25, while Over 0.5 is 1.60. At the line of 1, Under 1 at 1.50 is considerably shorter than Over 1 at 2.50. Under 1.5 is quoted at 1.23 versus 3.70 for Over 1.5, indicating low expectations for the visitors' goals.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.25 | 0.5 | 1.60 |
1.50 | 1 | 2.50 |
1.23 | 1.5 | 3.70 |
