Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, the away win at 2.60 holds a slight edge over the home win at 2.65, while the draw at 3.50 looks less likely. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.80 is preferred to Under 2.5 goals at 2.02. With a handicap line of 0, the away side Draw No Bet at 1.87 is quoted slightly shorter than the home side Draw No Bet at 1.93.
Why there is no favourite in this match
A Viktoria win is available at 2.65, a Union win at 2.60, and the draw at 3.50.
- Viktoria regularly threaten the opposition goal at home in European competition: in 9 of their last 10 home UEFA Europa League matches, they have registered more than 11.5 shots, including blocked efforts.
- The Czech club have been reliable in the competition: Viktoria have not lost on goals in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
Form and Line-up Viktoria
In their most recent Czech league match, Viktoria Plzen lost 2:3 to Sigma, with the home side recording 3 shots on target and 12 corners.
Before that setback, the Czech side went four matches unbeaten across competitions: they drew 0:0 with Hradec Kralove, beat Lisen 3:0, drew 1:1 with Slovacko and thrashed Crvena Zvezda 4:1.
- In Viktoria's last 10 UEFA Europa League matches, the teams have received at least 4 yellow cards.
- No more than 3 goals have been scored in 9 of Viktoria's last 10 home UEFA Europa League matches.
- In 9 of Viktoria's last 10 home UEFA Europa League matches, the two teams have taken no more than 10 corners between them.
Probable Viktoria line-up (3-4-2-1): Florian Wiegele, Tobias Palisczak, Sampson Dweh, Merchas Doski, Adam Gabriel, Patrick Hrosovsky, Lukas Cerv, Alex Sojka, Amar Memic, Tomas Ladra, Rafiu Durosinmi Laval.
Form and Line-up Union Saint-Gilloise
Union Saint-Gilloise head into the start of the UEFA Europa League in strong form: in their most recent Belgian league match, they beat Lommel 5:0 and created 7 clear-cut chances.
That thrashing was preceded by a four-match run in the domestic league, in which the Belgians beat Charleroi (3:2), Sint-Truiden (3:0) and Anderlecht (3:0), while drawing with Zulte Waregem (0:0).
- Over 2.5 goals has landed in 8 of Union Saint-Gilloise's last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Union Saint-Gilloise have scored at least two goals in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Union Saint-Gilloise line-up (3-4-1-2): Herve Koffi, Kevin Mac Allister, Massire Sylla, Ondrej Kricfalusi, Guilherme Smith, Louis Patris, Kamiel Van De Perre, Adem Zorgane, Besfort Zeneli, Mateo Biondic, Relebohile Mofokeng.
Team chances
The no-margin assessment gives the away win a 36.7% probability at fair odds of 2.72, the home win 36% at 2.78, and the draw 27.3% at 3.67. The available odds are 2.65 for the home win, 3.50 for the draw and 2.60 for the away win.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Viktoria Plzen to win | 2.65 | 2.78 | 36.0% |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.67 | 27.3% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise to win | 2.60 | 2.72 | 36.7% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.80 is quoted shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.02. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 at 1.40 is the favourite, while Over 3.5 is offered at 2.70.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.02 | 1.80 |
| 3.5 | 1.40 | 2.70 |
Handicap prediction
The odds for the home side (-1.5) at 4.60 and the away side (-1.5) at 4.50 are close. At the 1.5 line, the home side (+1.5) at 1.15 and the away side (+1.5) at 1.14 are nearly level; at the -1 line, the away side (-1) at 3.90 is quoted shorter than the home side (-1) at 4.00. The home side (+1) and the away side (+1) are both available at 1.20, while on the Draw No Bet handicap, the away side at 1.87 is slightly preferred to the home side at 1.93.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.60 | -1.5 | 4.50 |
| 1.15 | 1.5 | 1.14 |
| 4.00 | -1 | 3.90 |
| 1.20 | 1 | 1.20 |
| 1.93 | 0 | 1.87 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.65 is quoted noticeably shorter than Both teams to score - No at 2.17, meaning the outcome in which both teams score is rated more highly.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.65 |
| No | 2.17 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/2
|
29/100
|
11/25
|
| William Hill |
1/2
|
3/10
|
11/25
|
| 888sport |
1/2
|
3/10
|
11/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team totals prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Viktoria — 1.5 goals; Union — 1.5 goals.
Viktoria team total
Viktoria team total: Over 0.5 at 1.25 is quoted shorter than Under 0.5 at 3.50; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 at 1.55 is preferred to Under 1 at 2.40. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is shorter at 1.60 versus 2.30 for Over 1.5, while at the 2-goal line, Under 2 at 1.22 is shorter than Over 2 at 3.80.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.50 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.40 | 1 | 1.55 |
| 1.60 | 1.5 | 2.30 |
| 1.22 | 2 | 3.80 |
Union team total
Union team total: Over 0.5 at 1.25 is quoted shorter than Under 0.5 at 3.45; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 at 1.50 is preferred to Under 1 at 2.45. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is shorter at 1.62 versus 2.25 for Over 1.5, while at the 2-goal line, Under 2 at 1.23 is shorter than Over 2 at 3.75.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.45 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.45 | 1 | 1.50 |
| 1.62 | 1.5 | 2.25 |
| 1.23 | 2 | 3.75 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Igal Frid (Israel)
Matches — 7 (international matches, 2024/25–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.9;
Matches with red cards — 1 out of 7;
Matches with penalties — 2 out of 7.
