Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, the away win at 2.60 holds a slight edge over the home win at 2.65, while the draw at 3.50 looks less likely. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 at 1.80 is favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.02. On the 0 handicap line, the away Draw No Bet at 1.87 is quoted slightly shorter than the home Draw No Bet at 1.93.
Why there is no favourite in this match
A Viktoria Plzen win is available at 2.65, a Union Saint-Gilloise victory at 2.60, and the draw at 3.50.
- Viktoria Plzen regularly threaten the opposition goal at home in European competition: in 9 of their last 10 home Europa League matches, they have had more than 11.5 shots, including blocked attempts.
- The Czech club have been reliable in the competition: Viktoria Plzen have not lost on goals in 9 of their last 10 Europa League matches.
Form and Line-up Viktoria Plzen
In their latest Czech league match, Viktoria Plzen lost 2:3 to Sigma, with the hosts registering 3 shots on target and taking 12 corners.
Before that setback, the Czech side went four matches unbeaten across competitions: they drew 0:0 with Hradec Kralove, beat Lisen 3:0, drew 1:1 with Slovacko and thrashed Red Star Belgrade 4:1.
- At least 4 yellow cards have been shown in Viktoria Plzen's last 10 Europa League matches.
- No more than 3 goals have been scored in 9 of Viktoria Plzen's last 10 home Europa League matches.
- The two sides have taken no more than 10 corners in 9 of Viktoria Plzen's last 10 home Europa League matches.
Probable Viktoria Plzen line-up (3-4-2-1): Florian Wiegele, Tobias Paliscak, Sampson Dweh, Merchas Doski, Adam Gabriel, Patrik Hrosovsky, Lukas Cerv, Alex Soszka, Amar Memic, Tomas Ladra, Rafiu Durosinmi Lawal.
Form and Line-up Union Saint-Gilloise
Union Saint-Gilloise are approaching the start of the Europa League in strong form: in their latest Belgian league match, they beat Lommel 5:0 and created 7 clear-cut chances.
That thrashing was preceded by a run of four domestic league matches in which the Belgians beat Charleroi (3:2), Sint-Truiden (3:0) and Anderlecht (3:0), as well as drawing with Zulte Waregem (0:0).
- Over 2.5 goals has landed in 8 of Union Saint-Gilloise's last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Union Saint-Gilloise have scored at least two goals in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Union Saint-Gilloise line-up (3-4-1-2): Herve Koffi, Kevin Mac Allister, Massire Sylla, Ondrej Kricfalusi, Guilherme Smith, Louis Patris, Kamiel Van de Perre, Adem Zorgane, Besfort Zeneli, Mateo Biondic, Relebohile Mofokeng.
Team chances
The no-margin assessment gives the away win a 36.7% probability at fair odds of 2.72, the home win 36% at 2.78, and the draw 27.3% at 3.67. The market offers the home win at 2.65, the draw at 3.50 and the away win at 2.60.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Viktoria Plzen to win | 2.65 | 2.78 | 36.0% |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.67 | 27.3% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise to win | 2.60 | 2.72 | 36.7% |
Total goals prediction
On the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 at 1.80 is quoted shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.02. On the 3.5 line, Under 3.5 at 1.40 is the favourite, while Over 3.5 is offered at 2.70.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.02 | 1.80 |
| 3.5 | 1.40 | 2.70 |
Handicap prediction
The odds for the home handicap (-1.5) at 4.60 and the away handicap (-1.5) at 4.50 are close. On the 1.5 line, the home handicap (+1.5) at 1.15 and away handicap (+1.5) at 1.14 are almost identical; on the -1 line, the away handicap (-1) at 3.90 is quoted shorter than the home handicap (-1) at 4.00. The home handicap (+1) and away handicap (+1) are both at 1.20, while on the 0 handicap, the away Draw No Bet at 1.87 is slightly favoured over the home Draw No Bet at 1.93.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.60 | -1.5 | 4.50 |
| 1.15 | 1.5 | 1.14 |
| 4.00 | -1 | 3.90 |
| 1.20 | 1 | 1.20 |
| 1.93 | 0 | 1.87 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.65 is quoted considerably shorter than Both teams to score - No at 2.17, so the option of both teams scoring is rated more likely.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.65 |
| No | 2.17 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/2
|
3/10
|
11/25
|
| William Hill |
1/2
|
3/10
|
11/25
|
| 888sport |
1/2
|
3/10
|
11/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Viktoria Plzen — 1.5 goals; Union Saint-Gilloise — 1.5 goals.
Viktoria Plzen team total
Viktoria Plzen team total: Over 0.5 at 1.25 is quoted shorter than Under 0.5 at 3.50; on the 1-goal line, Over 1 at 1.55 is favoured over Under 1 at 2.40. At the 1.5 mark, Under 1.5 is shorter at 1.60 compared with 2.30 for Over 1.5, while on the 2-goal line, Under 2 at 1.22 is shorter than Over 2 at 3.80.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.50 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.40 | 1 | 1.55 |
| 1.60 | 1.5 | 2.30 |
| 1.22 | 2 | 3.80 |
Union Saint-Gilloise team total
Union Saint-Gilloise team total: Over 0.5 at 1.25 is quoted shorter than Under 0.5 at 3.45; on the 1-goal line, Over 1 at 1.50 is favoured over Under 1 at 2.45. At the 1.5 mark, Under 1.5 is shorter at 1.62 compared with 2.25 for Over 1.5, while on the 2-goal line, Under 2 at 1.23 is shorter than Over 2 at 3.75.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.45 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.45 | 1 | 1.50 |
| 1.62 | 1.5 | 2.25 |
| 1.23 | 2 | 3.75 |
