Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Bundesliga match.
A hard-fought victory over a resilient St. Pauli side (2:0) has helped RB Leipzig move closer to the Bundesliga’s top three, where struggling Eintracht Frankfurt are at risk of slipping out at any moment. Against Augsburg, RB Leipzig will likely aim to convert their chances early, especially with captain Willi Orbán suspended, forcing them to take more risks in attack.
Augsburg
Augsburg’s three-match winning streak in the Bundesliga has been followed by two consecutive draws and a DFB-Pokal elimination from Stuttgart. Their attacking output has been poor in February, generating just 1.10 xG across 270 minutes, with only six shots on target in total. In their goalless draw away to Mainz (0:0), Augsburg focused more on neutralising their opponent’s attack rather than creating chances of their own. The absence of Mergim Berisha through injury has further weakened an already struggling frontline—Augsburg have the worst xG record in the Bundesliga (23.31).
RB Leipzig
Leipzig’s defensive solidity has been key to their success—despite facing 39.62 xGA, they have conceded just 29 goals, boasting the best defensive overperformance in the Bundesliga. Goalkeeper Péter Gulácsi has been in outstanding form, and against St. Pauli (2:0), Benjamin Šeško and Xavi Simons both recorded a goal and an assist each. Leipzig are aiming to secure a Champions League spot, and with Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund both struggling for consistency, they cannot afford to drop points.
Augsburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction
Augsburg haven’t beaten Leipzig at home since September 2017 (8 matches in a row). In the first leg, RB Leipzig secured a comfortable win (4:0), scoring all four goals by the 57th minute. Given Augsburg’s struggles in attack and Leipzig’s strong defensive and attacking form, the visitors should be able to come away with at least a draw, if not all three points.
