The Supercopa Argentina final brings together two teams who have earned the right to compete for the trophy through different achievements. Estudiantes de Mérida won the 2025 Trofeo de Campeones, while Independiente Rivadavia have reached this match for the first time in their history after winning the Copa Argentina. For the club from Mendoza, this is a chance to claim a second national trophy, while Estudiantes de Mérida have an opportunity to avenge their defeat in the previous Supercopa final, when they lost 1:2 to River Plate Montevideo.
Estudiantes de Mérida
Estudiantes de Mérida head into the decider short of their best form. They have failed to win any of their last five matches, losing to San Lorenzo (1:2) and Union Saint-Gilloise (1:3), and drawing with Flamengo (0:0), Instituto (3:3) and Talleres (1:1). Their defensive problems are particularly evident: opponents have scored at least twice in three of those five games. Their attack has also lacked consistency — they have failed to score in two matches during that run.
Independiente Rivadavia
Independiente Rivadavia's results have also been mixed. They have recorded one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five matches. In early November, they beat Banfield 3:1, but then could only draw 1:1 with Gimnasia Mendoza. Before that came defeats to Argentinos Juniors (0:1) and Rosario Central (0:5), as well as a draw with Tigre (2:2). Independiente Rivadavia pose a threat going forward, with six goals in their last four matches, but their results do not yet suggest consistency.
Estudiantes de Mérida vs Independiente Rivadavia Prediction
Both teams head into the final with questions over their performances, but Estudiantes de Mérida's struggles to win matches are particularly evident, while Independiente Rivadavia are not always reliable defensively. However, the cup setting and the possibility of extra time should discourage risk-taking. In these circumstances, backing a low-scoring match looks more appealing than picking a winner: the bet will win if the teams score no more than two goals between them in normal time.
