Although Crvena Zvezda are above Real Madrid in the standings (second versus eighth), the hosts are clear favourites with the bookmakers.
Real Madrid
Five places separate them, but the gap in wins is actually small — seven versus six. What matters is how Real Madrid perform on their own court, where they have lost just one of their four games in this season's EuroLeague. That defeat came in their latest home game, against Panathinaikos (112:115). Losing to the Greek club is no surprise: they lead the competition with eight wins from 10 games. Real Madrid have also already hosted another Serbian team, Partizan (86:76).
Crvena Zvezda
Crvena Zvezda win primarily through their defence, conceding an average of 75.0 points. No team has a better defensive record. Their attack, however, is not among the most prolific — 83.2 points per game ranks 16th. That makes winning an over bet on their games difficult. The line for the upcoming game is set at 173.5, a mark that has not been exceeded in eight of their 10 EuroLeague games.
Real Madrid vs Crvena Zvezda Prediction
Does that mean we should back the under? Let's check Real Madrid's record and the head-to-head meetings. Only three of Real Madrid's 10 games have gone under the total. That does not quite fit. The head-to-head record looks more promising: in three of their four meetings over the past two seasons, the teams scored no more than 167 points combined. We will not risk lowering the line and will stick with under 173.5 points.
