Odds overview
AZ Alkmaar to win is available at around 1.55, while the draw is 4.50 and Ararat-Armenia to win is 5.70. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals is quoted at 1.55, compared with 2.35 for Under 2.5 goals. In the main handicap market, Ararat-Armenia Draw No Bet (0) is available at 4.15, much longer than AZ Alkmaar Draw No Bet (0) at 1.20.
Why AZ Alkmaar are favourites
Bookmakers strongly favour the visitors: AZ Alkmaar to win is offered at 1.55, the draw at 4.50 and Ararat-Armenia to win at 5.70.
- The hosts have been vulnerable in European competition: on 15 October 2026, Ararat-Armenia lost 1:3 away to Jagiellonia Białystok.
- The Dutch club have been consistently difficult to beat in the UEFA Europa League: AZ Alkmaar have won or drawn all 10 of their last 10 home matches in the competition.
Form and Line-up Ararat-Armenia
In the pre-match UEFA Europa League figures, Ararat-Armenia's opponents average 7.5 corners per game, the third-highest figure among the competition's 36 teams. Their opponents are also consistently forced to commit fouls — they have been penalised for more than 12.5 fouls in all 10 of Ararat-Armenia's last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- The total number of shots on target did not exceed 10.5 in 8 of Ararat-Armenia's last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- Ararat-Armenia's players received at least two yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- Ararat-Armenia took fewer than five corners in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
Probable Ararat-Armenia line-up (4-2-3-1): Joel Victor, Júnior Júlio Bueno, Alexis Malis, Bruno Wilson, Erik Grigoryan, Karen Muradyan, Bruno Dias, Alik Ambartsumyan, Carlos França, Paul Ayongo, Arayik Eloyan
Form and Line-up AZ Alkmaar
On 18 October 2026, AZ Alkmaar drew 2:2 away to Cambuur in the Dutch league. In European competition, the team have avoided straying offside: at 0.0 offsides per match, they rank last among the 36 teams in the UEFA Europa League league phase.
- More than 8.5 corners were taken in 8 of AZ Alkmaar's last 10 away UEFA Europa League matches.
- AZ Alkmaar committed more than 11.5 fouls in all 10 of their last 10 home UEFA Europa League matches.
- AZ Alkmaar received more than 1.5 yellow cards in all 10 of their last 10 home UEFA Europa League matches.
Probable AZ Alkmaar line-up (4-4-2): Jeroen de Busser, Elijah Dijkstra, Wouter Goes, Lewis Schouten, Mateo Chávez, Jordy Clasie, Peer Koopmeiners, Ayoub Oufkir, Calvin Stengs, Ro-Zangelo Daal, Mexx Meerdink
The teams' chances
Ararat-Armenia to win is offered at 5.70, with fair odds of 5.94 and a 16.8% probability. The draw is quoted at 4.50, with fair odds of 4.69 and a 21.3% probability. AZ Alkmaar to win is 1.55, with fair odds of 1.62 and a 61.9% probability, making the visitors clear favourites.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat-Armenia to win | 5.70 | 5.94 | 16.8% |
| Draw | 4.50 | 4.69 | 21.3% |
| AZ Alkmaar to win | 1.55 | 1.62 | 61.9% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is much shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. At the 3.5-goal line, the relationship is reversed: Under 3.5 goals is quoted at 1.58 and Over 3.5 goals at 2.35.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.58 | 2.35 |
Handicap prediction
AZ Alkmaar (-1.5) at 2.30 is longer than Ararat-Armenia (+1.5) at 1.57. For a one-goal handicap, AZ Alkmaar (-1) is available at 1.83 and Ararat-Armenia (+1) at 1.97. In the zero-handicap market, AZ Alkmaar Draw No Bet (0) at 1.20 is much shorter than Ararat-Armenia Draw No Bet (0) at 4.15.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.30 | |
| 1.57 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 1.83 | |
| 1.97 | 1 | |
| 4.15 | 0 | 1.20 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes is quoted at 1.63, while Both teams to score – No is 2.20; the shorter odds favour both teams scoring.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.63 |
| No | 2.20 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
69/50
|
1/5
|
7/50
|
| William Hill |
29/20
|
1/5
|
7/50
|
| 888sport |
29/20
|
1/5
|
7/50
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: 1 goal for Ararat-Armenia and 2 goals for AZ Alkmaar.
Ararat-Armenia team total goals
For Ararat-Armenia's team total, Over 0.5 goals is quoted at 1.50, compared with 2.55 for Under 0.5 goals. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is available at 1.63 and Over 1 goal at 2.20. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.30 is much shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 3.20.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.55 | 0.5 | 1.50 |
| 1.63 | 1 | 2.20 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 3.20 |
AZ Alkmaar team total goals
For AZ Alkmaar's team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.05 is much shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 7.10. At the 1.5-goal line, Over 1.5 goals is quoted at 1.50 and Under 1.5 goals at 2.45. At the 2-goal line, the odds are almost equal: Under 2 goals is 1.85 and Over 2 goals is 1.90. At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2 goals at 1.50 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.10 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
| 2.45 | 1.5 | 1.50 |
| 1.85 | 2 | 1.90 |
| 1.50 | 2.5 | 2.50 |
