Odds overview
Athletic Bilbao to win at 1.58 is the clear favourite, while the draw at 4.05 and Getafe to win at 6.00 are considered much less likely. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.62 is favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 2.30. In the handicap market, Athletic Bilbao (0) at 1.20 have the edge over Getafe (0) at 4.20.
Why Athletic Bilbao are favourites
Bookmakers consider the hosts favourites: Athletic Bilbao to win is available at 1.58, the draw at 4.05 and Getafe to win at 6.00.
- Athletic Bilbao have lost only once in their last six La Liga matches.
- Getafe rank last in the league for goals scored, averaging 0.56 per game.
- Getafe have not won any of their last six away matches, losing five of them.
Form and Line-up Athletic Bilbao
After two wins and three draws in La Liga, Athletic Bilbao unexpectedly lost to Levante in their most recent league match (1:3), with Aymeric Laporte sent off in the 73rd minute. The Basque side sit 13th with nine points and a goal difference of 8:9.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in 9 of Athletic Bilbao's last 10 La Liga home matches.
- Athletic Bilbao's opponents have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 La Liga home matches.
- Fewer than 5.5 yellow cards have been shown in 8 of Athletic Bilbao's last 10 La Liga home matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Unai Simón, Hugo Rincón, Yeray Álvarez, Aitor Paredes, Yuri Berchiche, Iñigo Galarreta, Beñat Gerenabarrena, Robert Navarro, Peio Canales, Álex Berenguer, Iñaki Williams.
Absentees: Álvaro Djaló, Unai Egiluz, Gorka Guruzeta, Oihan Sancet (all injured), Aymeric Laporte (suspended).
Form and Line-up Getafe
In La Liga, Getafe drew 1:1 at home with Rayo Vallecano. They played with 10 men from the 28th minute but still managed to score. The Madrid side also played Lugano in the UEFA Europa League on 22 October (2:5): they conceded five goals from seven shots on target, with an xGA of 2.14 and 60% possession.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in all of Getafe's last 10 La Liga away matches.
- Getafe have taken fewer than 4.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 La Liga away matches.
- More than 3.5 yellow cards have been shown in 9 of Getafe's last 10 La Liga away matches.
Probable line-up (5-3-2):David Soria, Kiko Femenía, Dani Carvajal, Jean Yves Valou, Abdel Abqar, Johan Mojica, Nemanja Gudelj, Ramón Terrats, Mario Martín, Martín Satriano, Borja Mayoral.
Absentees:Zaid Romero, Christantus Uche, Orel Mangala, Juanmi (all injured), Djené (suspended).
The teams' chances
Athletic Bilbao to win is quoted at 1.58, with fair odds of 1.65 and a 60.5% probability. The corresponding figures are 4.05, 4.24 and 23.6% for the draw, and 6.00, 6.28 and 15.9% for Getafe to win.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao to win | 1.58 | 1.65 | 60.5% |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4.24 | 23.6% |
| Getafe to win | 6.00 | 6.28 | 15.9% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.62, compared with 2.30 for Over 2.5 goals, pointing to a low-scoring match. At the 2-goal line, Under is 2.10 and Over is 1.70; at 3.5 goals, Under is 1.17 and Over is 4.20.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 2 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 3.5 | 1.17 | 4.20 |
Handicap prediction
Athletic Bilbao (-1.5) are quoted at 2.65, while Getafe (+1.5) are 1.45. At the 1-goal handicap line, the odds are 2.00 for Athletic Bilbao (-1) and 1.80 for Getafe (+1). For the zero handicap, Athletic Bilbao (0) at 1.20 are much more strongly favoured than Getafe (0) at 4.20.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.45 | |
| 2.00 | -1 | |
| 1 | 1.80 | |
| 1.20 | 0 | 4.20 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – No at 1.60 has shorter odds than Both teams to score – Yes at 2.30, so the market considers it more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.30 |
| No | 1.60 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
13/100
|
11/50
|
13/10
|
| 888sport |
3/25
|
1/4
|
7/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: 1.5 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 0.5 goals for Getafe.
Athletic Bilbao team total goals
For Athletic Bilbao's team total, Under 0.5 goals is 4.50 and Over 0.5 goals is 1.15; at the 1-goal line, the corresponding odds are 3.05 and 1.33. At 1.5 goals, the odds are close: 1.80 for Under and 1.95 for Over. At the 2-goal line, Under is quoted at 1.38 and Over at 2.80.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.50 | 0.5 | 1.15 |
| 3.05 | 1 | 1.33 |
| 1.80 | 1.5 | 1.95 |
| 1.38 | 2 | 2.80 |
Getafe team total goals
For Getafe's team total, Under 0.5 goals is 1.85 and Over 0.5 goals is 1.90. At the 1-goal line, Under at 1.20 is favoured over Over at 3.95; at 1.5 goals, the odds are 1.10 and 5.40 respectively.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.85 | 0.5 | 1.90 |
| 1.20 | 1 | 3.95 |
| 1.10 | 1.5 | 5.40 |
