Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, the home win at 1.97 holds a slight edge over the away win at 3.25, while the draw is available at 4.30. In the main totals market, Over 3.5 at 1.86 and Under 3.5 at 1.88 are virtually level. In the handicap markets, the home handicap (-1) at 2.49 is notably longer than the away handicap (-1) at 1.48, while on the Draw No Bet market, the home side at 1.53 is shorter than the away side at 2.37.
Why Bayer Leverkusen are favourites
Bookmakers offer odds of 1.97 on a Bayer Leverkusen win, 4.30 on the draw and 3.25 on an RB Leipzig win.
- At home, Bayer Leverkusen set a high tempo for their opponents: they have had more shots on target than their opponents in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
- Bayer Leverkusen rank among the league's top three teams for the quality of chances created, with 2.55 xG in the pre-match league snapshot.
Bayer Leverkusen form and line-up
Bayer Leverkusen maintain their home advantage and have not been outperformed for shots on target in 9 of their last 10 home league matches.
Between league matches, Bayer Leverkusen played Celje in the UEFA Europa League on 16 September, reducing their preparation time before this round.
- In their last 10 Bundesliga home matches, Bayer Leverkusen have not conceded more corners than their opponents
- Bayer Leverkusen have received no more than 2 yellow cards in 10 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches
- Bayer Leverkusen have committed fewer fouls than their opponents in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches
Probable Bayer Leverkusen line-up (3-4-2-1): Mark Flekken, Edmond Tapsoba, Jarell Quansah, Facundo Medina, Miguel Gutiérrez, Afonso Moreira, Aleix García, Ezequiel Fernández, Moussa Diaby, Ibrahim Maza, Christian Kofane
RB Leipzig form and line-up
RB Leipzig thrashed Hamburger SV 5:0 in the previous round and have committed no more than 21 fouls per game in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga away matches.
The team rank second in the league for average scoring, with 3.0 goals per match in the pre-match snapshot.
- In 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches, RB Leipzig have scored at least 2 goals
- RB Leipzig's opponents have taken no more than 5 corners in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga away matches
- RB Leipzig's opponents have received no more than 2 yellow cards in 10 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches
Probable RB Leipzig line-up (4-2-3-1): Maarten Vandevoordt, Benjamin Henrichs, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba, David Raum, Ezechiel Banzuzi, Neil El Aynaoui, Assan Ouédraogo, Brajan Gruda, Tidiam Gomis, Antonio Nusa
Team chances
The home win is available at 1.97; the fair odds are 2.06 and the probability is 48.4%. The draw is at 4.30, with fair odds of 4.51 and a probability of 22.2%, while the away win is at 3.25, 3.41 and 29.4% respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen win | 1.97 | 2.06 | 48.4% |
| Draw | 4.30 | 4.51 | 22.2% |
| RB Leipzig win | 3.25 | 3.41 | 29.4% |
Total goals prediction
On the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 at 2.98 is substantially longer than Over 2.5 at 1.34. On the 2-goal line, Under 2 is at 5.00 compared with Over 2 at 1.12. The closest pair is Under 3.5 at 1.88 and Over 3.5 at 1.86.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.98 | 1.34 |
| 2 | 5.00 | 1.12 |
| 3.5 | 1.88 | 1.86 |
Handicap prediction
The home handicap (-1) is available at 2.49, while the away handicap (-1) is at 1.48. On the 0 line, the home side are shorter at 1.53, compared with 2.37 for the away side.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.49 | -1 | 1.48 |
| 1.53 | 0 | 2.37 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
33/100
|
11/50
|
4/5
|
| 888sport |
33/100
|
1/4
|
4/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Bayer Leverkusen — 1.5 goals; RB Leipzig — 1.5 goals.
Bayer Leverkusen team total
Bayer Leverkusen team total: Under 0.5 at 5.40 is substantially longer than Over 0.5 at 1.10. On the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 is at 2.32 and Over 1.5 at 1.55; on the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 is at 1.43 compared with Over 2.5 at 2.63.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.40 | 0.5 | 1.10 |
| 2.32 | 1.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.43 | 2.5 | 2.63 |
RB Leipzig team total
RB Leipzig team total: Under 0.5 at 4.05 is longer than Over 0.5 at 1.19. On the 1.5 line, the odds are close: Under 1.5 at 1.81 and Over 1.5 at 1.93. Under 2.5 at 1.22 is notably shorter than Over 2.5 at 3.75.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.05 | 0.5 | 1.19 |
| 1.81 | 1.5 | 1.93 |
| 1.22 | 2.5 | 3.75 |
