Odds overview
Besiktas are the 1X2 favourites: a home win is available at around 2.08, compared with 3.25 for an away win and 3.90 for a draw. In the 2.5-goal totals market, Over 2.5 at 1.55 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.35. For the 0 handicap, Besiktas are quoted at 1.58, shorter than Crystal Palace at 2.40.
Why Besiktas are favourites
Bookmakers favour the hosts: Besiktas are available to win at 2.08, a draw at 3.90 and Crystal Palace to win at 3.25.
- Besiktas have started this UEFA Europa League campaign well, taking all six available points and sitting fourth with a 7:3 goal difference.
- Crystal Palace head into this European away match after a heavy 0:5 defeat to Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League.
- Besiktas have won eight consecutive home matches in all competitions this season.
Form and Line-up Besiktas
Besiktas beat Hoffenheim 3:2 in European competition, having previously thrashed Marseille 4:1. However, the Istanbul club lost 0:2 to Trabzonspor in the domestic league despite taking 19 shots, seven on target, and having 62% possession.
- More than two goals were scored in eight of Besiktas's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- Fewer than 10.5 corners were taken in eight of Besiktas's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Europa League.
- Besiktas committed fewer than 12.5 fouls in eight of their last 10 home matches in the UEFA Europa League.
Probable Besiktas line-up (4-2-3-1): Alexander Nübel, Amir Murillo, Emmanuel Agbadou, Emirhan Topçu, Kassoum Ouattara, Wilfred Ndidi, Fabio Miretti, İlhan Fakılı, Junior Olaitan, Leandro Trossard, Oh Hyeon-Gyu.
Absentees: Orkun Kökçü, Milot Rashica (both injured).
Form and Line-up Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace lost 2:3 to Lyon, although they beat Polish side Lech Poznań 4:0 in the opening round. But the biggest disappointment for Palace supporters was the heavy 0:5 defeat to Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League, when the London club managed just one shot on target all match.
- Crystal Palace were caught offside fewer than 2.5 times in eight of their last 10 away matches in all competitions.
- The combined foul total was under 22.5 in nine of Crystal Palace's last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Crystal Palace have conceded in four consecutive matches.
Probable Crystal Palace line-up (3-4-3): Walter Benítez, Jérémy Canvot, Chris Richards, Axel Disasi, Óscar Mingueza, Quinten Timber, Adam Wharton, Tyrick Mitchell, Ismaila Sarr, Jørgen Strand Larsen, Yeremy Pino.
Absentees:Chadi Riad (injured), Ben Chilwell, Dean Henderson, Takehiro Tomiyasu (all doubtful).
The teams' chances
The margin-free assessment gives Besiktas a 46.0% chance of winning, with fair odds of 2.17; the draw is assessed at 24.5% and 4.08, and a Crystal Palace win at 29.4% and 3.40. The available odds are 2.08 for Besiktas, 3.90 for the draw and 3.25 for Crystal Palace.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Besiktas to win | 2.08 | 2.17 | 46.0% |
| Draw | 3.90 | 4.08 | 24.5% |
| Crystal Palace to win | 3.25 | 3.40 | 29.4% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.55 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.35. At the 3.5-goal line, the situation is reversed: Under 3.5 at 1.60 is favoured over Over 3.5 at 2.35.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.60 | 2.35 |
Handicap prediction
At the -1.5 handicap, Besiktas at 3.35 are shorter than Crystal Palace at 5.80. At the +1.5 handicap, Besiktas are shorter again — 1.09 compared with 1.28 for Crystal Palace. For the -1 handicap, Besiktas are available at 2.75 and Crystal Palace at 5.10; at the +1 handicap, the odds are 1.12 and 1.40 respectively. At the 0 handicap, Besiktas at 1.58 are favoured over Crystal Palace at 2.40.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.35 | -1.5 | 5.80 |
| 1.09 | 1.5 | 1.28 |
| 2.75 | -1 | 5.10 |
| 1.12 | 1 | 1.40 |
| 1.58 | 0 | 2.40 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.50 appears more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.50, meaning at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.50 |
| No | 2.50 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
33/100
|
29/100
|
7/10
|
| William Hill |
9/25
|
29/100
|
67/100
|
| 888sport |
9/25
|
29/100
|
67/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Besiktas — 1.5 goals; Crystal Palace — 1 goal.
Besiktas team goals
Besiktas team goals: Over 0.5 at 1.13 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 at 4.80, while Over 1 is offered at 1.28 compared with 3.35 for Under 1. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are close: 1.80 for Over and 1.95 for Under. At the 2-goal line, Under at 1.50 is favoured, while Over is available at 2.55.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.80 | 0.5 | 1.13 |
| 3.35 | 1 | 1.28 |
| 1.95 | 1.5 | 1.80 |
| 1.50 | 2 | 2.55 |
Crystal Palace team goals
Crystal Palace team goals: Over 0.5 at 1.27 is notably shorter than Under 0.5 at 3.40, while Over 1 at 1.60 is shorter than Under 1 at 2.30. At the 1.5-goal line, Under at 1.58 is favoured, while Over is available at 2.30.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.40 | 0.5 | 1.27 |
| 2.30 | 1 | 1.60 |
| 1.58 | 1.5 | 2.30 |
