Odds overview
Bodø/Glimt are clear favourites: Bodø/Glimt to win is priced at 1.48, while the draw is available at 4.90 and N.E.C. to win at 5.40. In the main totals market, over 2.5 goals at 1.30 is noticeably preferred to under 2.5 goals at 3.10. On the handicap line, Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) at 2.15 is significantly shorter than 8.00 on N.E.C. (-1.5).
Why Bodø/Glimt are favourites for the match
The bookmakers give the hosts the edge: a Bodø/Glimt win is priced at 1.48 (a 63.4% probability excluding margin), the draw is 4.90, while success for N.E.C. is rated at 5.40.
- The hosts have the advantage from the first meeting (a 3:1 away win) and strong European experience: Bodø/Glimt have not lost on goals in 9 of their last 10 Champions League matches.
- At home, the Norwegians reliably restrict opposition chances: in 9 of Bodø/Glimt's last 10 home Champions League matches, their opponents have had no more than 5 shots on target.
Form and Line-up Bodø/Glimt
Bodø/Glimt's Champions League run now stands at 11 consecutive matches with over 2.5 goals. At the same time, the team maintain discipline at their own stadium: in their last 10 home matches in the tournament, the total number of yellow cards has never exceeded 4.5.
Key numbers:
- Bodø/Glimt have scored at least two goals in 9 of their last 10 Champions League matches.
- In 10 of the 10 away Champions League matches involving Bodø/Glimt, there have been at least 9 shots on target.
- Bodø/Glimt have received no more than 2 yellow cards in their last 10 Champions League matches.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Nikita Haikin — Fredrik Sjøvold — Odin Bjørtuft — Haitam Aleesami — Fredrik Andre Bjørkan — Sondre Auklend — Patrick Berg — Sondre Brunstad Fet — Ole Didrik Blomberg — Andreas Helmersen — Jens Petter Hauge
Form and Line-up N.E.C.
N.E.C.'s away matches are regularly lively: in 9 of their last 10 away games in all competitions, there have been at least 9 shots on target, and in the same number of matches the Dutch club have not lost the corner count to their opponents. The visitors' defensive structure also controls the volume of opposition attacks — in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions, N.E.C.'s opponents have made fewer than 14.5 shot attempts.
Key numbers:
- N.E.C. have scored at least one goal in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- In 8 of N.E.C.'s last 10 matches in all competitions, the two teams combined received no more than 3 yellow cards.
- N.E.C.'s opponents have had fewer than 12.5 shot attempts in all 10 of the team's last home matches in all competitions.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Gonzalo Crettaz — Brayann Pereira — Tobias Storm — Deveron Fonville — Elayis Tavsan Mor — Darko Nejasmic — Noé Lebreton — Clement Bischoff — Tjaronn Chery — Dusan Tadic — Bryan Linssen
Team chances
Bodø/Glimt to win at 1.48 corresponds to a no-margin price of 1.58 and a 63.4% probability. The draw is priced at 4.90, with a no-margin price of 5.22 and a 19.2% probability, while N.E.C. Nijmegen to win is at 5.40, 5.75 and 17.4% respectively.
| Result | Average odds | Average odds without margin | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bodø/Glimt win | 1.48 | 1.58 | 63.4% |
| Draw | 4.90 | 5.22 | 19.2% |
| N.E.C. Nijmegen win | 5.40 | 5.75 | 17.4% |
Totals prediction
On the 2.5 line, over 2.5 goals at 1.30 is rated much higher than under 2.5 goals at 3.10. On the 3.5 line, the prices are close: over 3.5 is 1.80, under 3.5 is 1.95.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 3.10 | 1.30 |
| 3.5 | 1.95 | 1.80 |
Handicap prediction
On the -1.5 line, Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) is priced at 2.15 against 8.00 on N.E.C. (-1.5). For the 1.5 line, Bodø/Glimt (1.5) is shorter at 1.04, while N.E.C. (1.5) is 1.63. On -1, Bodø/Glimt (-1) is available at 1.72 against 7.10 on N.E.C. (-1); on 1, Bodø/Glimt (1) is 1.05 and N.E.C. (1) is 2.05. On the 0 line, Bodø/Glimt (0) is rated at 1.19, N.E.C. (0) at 3.95.
| Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
|---|---|---|
| 2.15 | -1.5 | 8.00 |
| 1.04 | 1.5 | 1.63 |
| 1.72 | -1 | 7.10 |
| 1.05 | 1 | 2.05 |
| 1.19 | 0 | 3.95 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.45 is noticeably more likely by the odds than Both teams to score — No at 2.60; the second option assumes that at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.45 |
| No | 2.60 |
Double chance prediction
The lowest odds are on 1X at 1.13, with 12 close by at 1.16. The X2 option is priced noticeably higher at 2.55.
| 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.13 | 1.16 | 2.55 |
Individual total prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following individual totals: Bodø/Glimt — 2.5 goals, N.E.C. Nijmegen — 1 goal.
Bodø/Glimt individual total
Bodø/Glimt: on the 2 line, over 2 goals at 1.55 is preferred to under 2 goals at 2.30. On 2.5, the prices are close: under 2.5 is 1.73, over 2.5 is 1.97. On the 3 line, under 3 is shorter at 1.40, while over 3 is 2.75.
| Under | Individual total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 2 | 1.55 |
| 1.73 | 2.5 | 1.97 |
| 1.40 | 3 | 2.75 |
N.E.C. Nijmegen individual total
N.E.C. Nijmegen: on the 0.5 line, over 0.5 goals at 1.35 is noticeably shorter than under 0.5 goals at 2.85. On 1, over 1 has a slight price advantage at 1.77 against 1.93 on under 1. For the 1.5 line, under 1.5 is priced at 1.42, while over 1.5 is 2.65.
| Under | Individual total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.85 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 1.93 | 1 | 1.77 |
| 1.42 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
