The matchday 29 Premier League fixture between Brighton & Hove Albion and Arsenal will take place on 4 March at the AMEX Stadium in Falmer. Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion welcomed Nottingham Forest to their home ground last round and beat one of the strugglers 2:1. Before that, the club also dealt with Brentford away from home (2:0). Those two wins have taken Brighton & Hove Albion to 37 points, which could well be enough to secure their Premier League status for next season early. There is still a slim chance of even pushing for European football, but that is only likely if seventh place in the standings becomes a qualifying spot for continental competition (they trail it by six points). It is also worth noting that in the previous 10 league matches the team have managed to keep a clean sheet only once.
- The club have failed to win six of their last eight Premier League matches (two draws and four defeats).
- Exactly two or three goals have been scored in nine of Brighton & Hove Albion's last 11 league games.
- The team have avoided defeat in six of their last seven home Premier League matches (two wins and four draws).
Potential Brighton & Hove Albion Lineup (4-3-3)*
Bart Verbruggen – Jan Paul van Hecke, Ferdi Kadioglu, Lewis Dunk, Mats Wieffer – Jack Hinshelwood, Pascal Gross, James Milner – Danny Welbeck, Kaoru Mitoma, Diego Gomes.
Defenders Stefanos Tsimas and Adam Webster will miss the match through injury. Midfielder Yasin Ayari is a doubt.
Arsenal
Arsenal played a derby against Chelsea last round and overcame their fellow Londoners at home 2:1. Earlier, they also won another all-London clash against Tottenham Hotspur (4:1). At the same time, Mikel Arteta's men have failed to keep a clean sheet in four consecutive Premier League matches, even though the Gunners have been the best defensive side overall, with just 22 goals conceded. Arsenal have also reclaimed top spot for goals scored (58), edging Manchester City by one. The Citizens are their main challengers and currently trail by five points, but they have a game in hand.
- The Londoners are unbeaten in the league for six matches (four wins and two draws).
- At least three goals have been scored in six of Arsenal's last seven Premier League matches.
- Away from home, the team are on a seven-match unbeaten run in the Premier League (four wins and three draws).
Potential Arsenal Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
David Raya – Gabriel Magalhaes, Piero Hincapie, Jurrien Timber, William Saliba – Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice – Eberechi Eze, Leandro Trossard, Bukayo Saka – Viktor Gyokeres.
Midfielder Mikel Merino is sidelined with injury.
Referee
Chris Kavanagh (England)
Matches – 18 (the Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second bookings) – 67;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.7;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 17%.
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal: Match Prediction
In the upcoming game, we give clear preference to the visitors. Brighton & Hove Albion, it seems, have already achieved their minimum objective for the season – relegation to the Championship is no longer a threat, and they will surely pick up a few more points, but most likely in matches against sides below them. Without serious motivation in the standings, it is harder for the team to perform, and besides, Brighton & Hove Albion have not been particularly impressive at home, winning only against Burnley and Nottingham Forest in their last eight home Premier League matches – clubs from the bottom four.
Arsenal, however, cannot afford to drop points, as even a draw would allow Manchester City, if they win their two matches, to draw level with the London side. That is why the Gunners approach every remaining league fixture as the most important one. The club have been excellent on the road, going unbeaten in seven straight Premier League away games. In addition, Brighton & Hove Albion have not beaten this opponent in the last six official head-to-head meetings (two draws and four defeats).
Prediction: Arsenal to win
* For each team, the starting lineup from their previous match in this competition is listed.
