Odds overview
Como are favourites: the home win is available at 1.85, while the draw and RB Leipzig win are quoted at roughly the same odds — 4.00 and 3.95. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.60 is clearly favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. In the main handicap market, Como Draw No Bet at 1.40 looks more likely than RB Leipzig Draw No Bet at 2.80.
Why Como are favourites
Bookmakers consider the hosts favourites: Como to win is available at 1.85, the draw at 4.00 and RB Leipzig to win at 3.95.
• Como began September confidently, beating Genoa 4:1 away from home.
• RB Leipzig lost 1:3 to Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga, after which the German club's coaching staff and management publicly demanded a response from the team in their next Champions League match.
Como form and line-up
Como are unbeaten after the first three Serie A rounds. They began with a 1:1 draw against Udinese and most recently thrashed Genoa 4:1 away from home. At home, the team consistently have the edge on corners, having not been beaten on that metric in any of their last 10 home matches, and they have not been caught offside more often than their opponents in 9 of 10 home games.
Key numbers:
- Como home matches have produced no more than 10 corners in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Como's opponents have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Como have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Como line-up (4-2-3-1): Jean Butez – Yan Couto, Jacobo Ramon, Trevoh Chalobah, Alex Valle – Lucas da Cunha, Lucas Milla – Assane Diao, Nico Paz, Martin Baturina – Anastasios Douvikas
Absentees: Jayden Addai (injured)
RB Leipzig form and line-up
In the latest Bundesliga round, RB Leipzig lost 1:3 to Werder Bremen, managing to score only once. It was their second away defeat in the new German championship. They have yet to earn a point away from the Red Bull Arena. Martin Demichelis admitted after the match that the team need to work on their aggression and understanding.
Key numbers:
- Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in the first half in each of RB Leipzig's last 10 matches in all competitions.
- RB Leipzig have scored at least once in each of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 9 of RB Leipzig's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable RB Leipzig line-up (4-3-3): Maarten Vandevoordt – Ridle Baku, Maxime Esteve, Willi Orban, David Raum – Ezechiel Banzuzi, David Raum – Antonio Nusa, Johan Bakayoko, Christopher Nkunku
Absentees: Rocco Reitz (injured), Castello Lukeba, Brajan Gruda (doubtful)
Team chances
The home win is available at 1.85; the fair odds are 1.94 and the probability is 51.5%. The draw is quoted at 3.95, with fair odds of 4.15 and a probability of 24.1%; the away win is 3.90, 4.10 and 24.4% respectively. Como have a clear advantage, while the chances of a draw and an RB Leipzig win are similar.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
Como win | 1.85 | 1.94 | 51.5% |
Draw | 3.95 | 4.15 | 24.1% |
RB Leipzig win | 3.90 | 4.10 | 24.4% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is clearly shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals is preferred at 1.60, compared with 2.35 for Over 3.5 goals.
Line | Under Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
3.5 | 1.60 | 2.35 |
Handicap prediction
Como (-1.5) is available at 2.90, while RB Leipzig (-1.5) is at 6.30. At the 1.5 handicap, the odds are 1.07 for Como (+1.5) and 1.35 for RB Leipzig (+1.5). At the -1 line, Como (-1) is 2.45 and RB Leipzig (-1) is 5.60; at the 1 line, they are 1.09 and 1.55 respectively. In the Draw No Bet market, Como at 1.40 is shorter than RB Leipzig at 2.75.
Home | Handicap | Away |
2.90 | -1.5 | 6.30 |
1.07 | 1.5 | 1.35 |
2.45 | -1 | 5.60 |
1.09 | 1 | 1.55 |
1.40 | 0 | 2.75 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.53 looks more likely than Both teams to score - No at 2.40, meaning the outcome in which at least one team does not score is rated lower.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.53 |
No | 2.40 |
Double chance prediction
1X and 12 are almost identically priced — 1.28 and 1.27 respectively — while X2 is 1.95 and looks less likely.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.28 | 1.27 | 1.95 |
Team total goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Como — 1.5 goals, RB Leipzig — 1 goal.
Como team total
Como team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.09 is substantially shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 5.70; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 is 1.20 compared with 4.00 for Under 1. The odds are closer at 1.5: Over 1.5 is 1.70 and Under 1.5 is 2.08. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 at 1.57 is preferred over Over 2 at 2.35.
Under | Team total | Over |
5.70 | 0.5 | 1.09 |
4.00 | 1 | 1.20 |
2.08 | 1.5 | 1.70 |
1.57 | 2 | 2.35 |
RB Leipzig team total
RB Leipzig team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.32 is clearly shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 3.10. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 is available at 1.73 versus 2.05 for Under 1, while at 1.5, Under 1.5 is the favourite at 1.40 compared with 2.70 for Over 1.5.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.10 | 0.5 | 1.32 |
2.05 | 1 | 1.73 |
1.40 | 1.5 | 2.70 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Serdar Gozubuyuk (Netherlands)
Matches – 10 (international matches, 2025/26 - 2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 26;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows – 4.4;
Matches with red cards – 1 of 10;
Matches with penalties – 4 of 10.
