Odds overview
Sunderland are favourites in the 1X2 market: an away win is available at 2.35, compared with 3.10 for a Coventry City win and 3.40 for a draw. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals is marginally favoured over Over 2.5 goals, at 1.85 and 1.95 respectively. At a handicap of 0, Sunderland are quoted considerably shorter than Coventry City — 1.67 against 2.20.
Why Sunderland are favourites
Sunderland are the bookmakers' favourites, with an away win offered at 2.35. A Coventry City win is available at 3.10 and a draw at 3.40.
- Despite sitting 20th, Sunderland are competing in the UEFA Europa League after finishing seventh last season; they are adapting to an unfamiliar workload.
- Coventry City are new to the Premier League and have the 19th most valuable squad by estimated value.
- Coventry City have already conceded three or more goals in three league matches this season.
Form and Line-up Coventry City
Coventry City lost their previous match 0:1 at home to Fulham. Before that, they lost 1:3 away to Tottenham Hotspur. Their run of two consecutive wins proved short-lived. Frank Lampard's side have struggled even at home, with one win and three defeats.
The hosts' defence also regularly makes costly mistakes: Coventry City's opponents have scored at least once in 9 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Coventry City have had fewer than 7.5 shots on target in each of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
- Coventry City's opponents have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches across all official competitions.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Carl Rushworth, Milan van Ewijk, Stephen Mfuni, Ethan Pinnock, Jay Dasilva, Matt Grimes, Caleb Yirenkyi, Tatsuhiro Sakamoto, Jack Rudoni, Brandon Thomas-Asante, Sidiki Chérif
Absentees: Haji Wright, Josh Eccles, Luke Woolfenden, Aurèle Amenda (injured); Bobby Thomas (doubtful)
Form and Line-up Sunderland
This Wednesday, Sunderland beat Brentford 3:2 in the League Cup, while their latest Premier League match was a low-scoring 0:0 draw with Leeds United. Régis Le Bris's side have had to play twice almost every week because of the UEFA Europa League, a workload they are not used to, so their place at the bottom of the table is not particularly surprising. The coaching staff are looking for a way out of this situation.
- Sunderland's opponents have had fewer than 7.5 shots on target in each of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Sunderland's opponents have had fewer than 19.5 shots against them in 9 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Sunderland have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in each of their last 10 away matches in the Premier League.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Robin Roefs, Trai Hume, Nordi Mukiele, Luke O'Nien, Reinildo Mandava, Granit Xhaka, Noah Sadiki, Chris Rigg, Enzo Le Fée, Nilson Angulo, Brian Brobbey
Absentees: Romaine Mundle, Daniel Ballard (injured).
The teams' chances
A Coventry City win has average odds of 3.10, fair odds of 3.23 and a 31.0% probability; the figures for a draw are 3.40, 3.54 and 28.2%. A Sunderland win looks more likely, with average odds of 2.35, fair odds of 2.45 and a 40.8% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City win | 3.10 | 3.23 | 31.0% |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.54 | 28.2% |
| Sunderland win | 2.35 | 2.45 | 40.8% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is available at 1.85 and Over 2.5 at 1.95. At the 3.5-goal line, the market favours Under 3.5 at 1.33 over Over 3.5 at 3.05.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 3.5 | 1.33 | 3.05 |
Handicap prediction
Coventry City (-1.5) are available at 5.40 and Sunderland (-1.5) at 4.40. Coventry City (+1.5) are offered at 1.15 and Sunderland (+1.5) at 1.10; at a handicap line of -1, the odds are 4.70 for Coventry City (-1) and 3.65 for Sunderland (-1). For a handicap of +1, Coventry City (+1) are available at 1.25 and Sunderland (+1) at 1.14, while the handicap (0) options are 2.20 for Coventry City and 1.67 for Sunderland.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.40 | -1.5 | 4.40 |
| 1.15 | 1.5 | 1.10 |
| 4.70 | -1 | 3.65 |
| 1.25 | 1 | 1.14 |
| 2.20 | 0 | 1.67 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is shorter at 1.73 than Both teams to score — No at 2.05; the latter means at least one side will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.73 |
| No | 2.05 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
31/50
|
29/100
|
9/25
|
| 888sport |
57/100
|
33/100
|
9/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: Coventry City — 1 goal; Sunderland — 1.5 goals.
Coventry City team goals
For Coventry City, Under 0.5 goals is quoted at 2.95 and Over 0.5 at 1.35. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is available at 2.10 and Over 1 at 1.70; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is 1.45 against 2.60 for Over 1.5.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.95 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 2.10 | 1 | 1.70 |
| 1.45 | 1.5 | 2.60 |
Sunderland team goals
For Sunderland, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 3.70 and Over 0.5 at 1.23. Under 1 is available at 2.60 against 1.45 for Over 1, while Under 1.5 is 1.62 against 2.20 for Over 1.5. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is quoted at 1.22 and Over 2 at 3.80.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.70 | 0.5 | 1.23 |
| 2.60 | 1 | 1.45 |
| 1.62 | 1.5 | 2.20 |
| 1.22 | 2 | 3.80 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Simon Hooper (England)
Matches — 15 (Premier League, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4;
Matches with a red card — 2 of 15;
Matches with a penalty — 1 of 15.
