Odds Overview
Crvena zvezda are clear favourites: a home win is priced at 1.68, while the draw and an away win are both available at around 4.20. In the main total market, over 2.5 goals at 1.70 looks more favoured than under 2.5 goals at 2.10. In the main handicap market, the home side Draw No Bet at 1.30 is considerably shorter than the away side Draw No Bet at 3.05.
Why Crvena zvezda are favourites for the match
Bookmakers favour the home side: a Crvena zvezda win is priced at 1.68, the draw is 4.20, and a Viktoria Plzen victory is 4.30.
In 4 of their last 5 home Europa League matches, Crvena zvezda have not been beaten by their opponents for total shots attempted.
Viktoria Plzen rarely hold the advantage from set pieces in away European matches: in 12 of their last 13 away European fixtures, the Czech side have not exceeded their opponents' corner count.
Crvena zvezda's squad is worth more than twice as much as Viktoria Plzen's — €116 million versus €57 million.
Form and Line-up Crvena zvezda
The Belgrade club enter the Europa League knockout stage after being eliminated from Champions League qualifying by Hapoel Beer-Sheva, losing 0:2 at home. At the same time, Albert Riera's side have made a confident start to the Serbian league season — three wins from three with a 10:1 goal difference.
In home European matches, Crvena zvezda actively disrupt the tempo of the game: in 9 of their last 10 home Europa League matches, they have committed at least 12 fouls, while their opponents have managed no more than 13 shots, including blocked efforts.
Key numbers:
In 9 of their last 10 home Europa League matches, Crvena zvezda's opponents have taken no more than five corners.
In 10 consecutive Europa League matches involving Crvena zvezda, the two teams have combined for no more than 10 shots on target.
In 9 of their last 10 home Europa League matches, Crvena zvezda have received at least two yellow cards.
Probable Crvena zvezda line-up (4-3-2-1): Mateus — Seol Young-woo, Derrick Luckassen, Strahinja Erakovic, Nair Tiknizyan — Rade Krunic, Timi Max Elsnik — Vasilije Kostov, Osman Bukari, Bruno Duarte — Jey Enem
Form and Line-up Viktoria Plzen
Viktoria Plzen have been involved in high-scoring spells in the Czech league: on 15 August, they beat Zlin 3:2, while a week earlier they drew 5:5 away to Teplice. On 1 August, the Czech club also drew 1:1 with Brno.
In away Europa League matches, the Czechs regularly play with a high foul rate: in 9 of their last 10 away fixtures, Viktoria Plzen have received at least two yellow cards, while in 8 of 10 games the teams have combined for more than 23 shots attempted.
Key numbers:
In 10 of their last 10 Europa League matches, Viktoria Plzen's opponents have been caught offside no more than twice.
In 10 of their last 10 Europa League matches, Viktoria Plzen's opponents have received at least two yellow cards.
In 9 of their last 10 Europa League matches involving Viktoria Plzen, there have been at least 23 fouls.
Probable Viktoria Plzen line-up (4-2-3-1): Florian Wiegele — Amar Memic, Sampson Dweh, Karel Spacil, Merchas Doski — Patrik Hrosovsky, Lukas Cerv — Cheick Souare, Tomas Ladra, Prince Adu — Christophe Kabongo.
Absentees: Viktor Baier, Vaclav Jemelka, Jan Paluska (all doubts).
Team Chances
Home win: average odds of 1.68, margin-free odds of 1.79 and a probability of 55.8%. For the draw, the figures are 4.20, 4.48 and 22.3%; for an away win, they are 4.30, 4.58 and 21.8%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average margin-free odds | Margin-free probability |
Crvena zvezda to win | 1.68 | 1.79 | 55.8% |
Draw | 4.20 | 4.48 | 22.3% |
Viktoria Plzen to win | 4.30 | 4.58 | 21.8% |
Total Goals Prediction
For the 2.5-goal line, under 2.5 is priced at 2.10 and over 2.5 at 1.70, indicating greater interest in the over option. At the 3.5-goal mark, under 3.5 at 1.45 is considerably shorter than over 3.5 at 2.60.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
3.5 | 1.45 | 2.60 |
Handicap Prediction
Home handicap -1.5 is available at 2.70, while away handicap -1.5 is 7.80. For the 1.5 line, home handicap +1.5 is 1.05 versus 1.40 for away handicap +1.5; for the -1 line, the odds are 2.15 versus 6.80. Home handicap +1 at 1.06 is shorter than away handicap +1 at 1.65, while home Draw No Bet is 1.30 versus 3.05 for away Draw No Bet.
Home | Handicap | Away |
2.70 | -1.5 | 7.80 |
1.05 | 1.5 | 1.40 |
2.15 | -1 | 6.80 |
1.06 | 1 | 1.65 |
1.30 | 0 | 3.05 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.70 and rated more highly than both teams to score — No at 2.10; the latter option means that at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.70 |
No | 2.10 |
Double Chance Prediction
1X and 12 are both available at 1.20, while X2 is considerably higher at 2.12.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.20 | 1.20 | 2.12 |
Team Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Crvena zvezda — 1.5 goals, Viktoria Plzen — 1 goal.
Crvena zvezda Team Total
Crvena zvezda: under 0.5 is priced at 5.20, over 0.5 at 1.11; on the 1-goal line, the odds are 3.85 versus 1.22. At the 1.5-goal mark, under 1.5 at 1.95 is slightly higher than over 1.5 at 1.75, while on the 2-goal line under 2 at 1.55 is shorter than over 2 at 2.30.
Under | Team total | Over |
5.20 | 0.5 | 1.11 |
3.85 | 1 | 1.22 |
1.95 | 1.5 | 1.75 |
1.55 | 2 | 2.30 |
Viktoria Plzen Team Total
Viktoria Plzen: under 0.5 is available at 2.55, over 0.5 at 1.45. On the 1-goal line, under 1 at 1.72 is shorter than over 1 at 2.00, while at the 1.5-goal mark under 1.5 at 1.30 is considerably lower than over 1.5 at 3.15.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.55 | 0.5 | 1.45 |
1.72 | 1 | 2.00 |
1.30 | 1.5 | 3.15 |
