Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Sheffield United are clear favourites: the away win is available at 1.62, while the draw is around 4.15 and the home win is 5.30. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.70 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.15. In the main handicap market, Sheffield United Draw No Bet at 1.23 is considerably shorter than Fleetwood Town Draw No Bet at 3.70.
Why Sheffield United are favourites for the match
The bookmakers regard Sheffield United as clear favourites: an away win is available at 1.62 (around a 59% no-margin probability), while Fleetwood Town are 5.30 and the draw is 4.15.
- Sheffield United play in the Championship, where they have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five matches.
- Fleetwood Town were behind to Newport County at half-time in their previous match and salvaged a draw only through a substitute's goal in the second half.
Form and Line-up Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town, managed by Matt Lawlor, play their home cup matches at a measured pace: in 9 of their last 10 home EFL Cup matches, they have been caught offside no more than twice and the two sides have taken no more than 10 corners.
- Fleetwood Town's opponents scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 home EFL Cup matches
- Fleetwood Town committed at least 10 fouls in 8 of their last 10 home EFL Cup matches
- At least 3 yellow cards were shown in 9 of Fleetwood Town's last 10 home EFL Cup matches
Probable Fleetwood Town line-up (3-1-4-2): Jay Lynch, Shaun Rooney, Rhys Bennett, Finley Potter, Harrison Neal, Raffaele Cirino, Adam Murphy, Mark Helm, Lewis McCann, Ched Evans, Ronan Coughlan
Form and Line-up Sheffield United
Chris Wilder's side lost 0:1 to Wolverhampton in their last match, conceding the only goal in the 90th minute. Sheffield United are positionally disciplined in cup matches: in 9 of their last 10 EFL Cup games, the visitors have been caught offside no more than once.
- No more than 11 corners were taken in 8 of Sheffield United's last 10 EFL Cup matches
- Sheffield United and their opponents committed no more than 21 fouls in 8 of their last 10 cup matches
- Sheffield United received no more than 2 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 EFL Cup matches
Probable Sheffield United line-up (3-5-2): Michael Cooper, Japhet Tanganga, Mark McGuinness, Liam Kitching, Hamza Choudhury, Sydie Peck, Kalvin Phillips, Sam McCallum, Oliver Arblaster, Patrick Bamford, Ben Brereton
Team chances
The away win is available at 1.62; the fair odds are 1.70, with a probability of 59.0%. The draw is available at 4.15, with fair odds of 4.34 and a probability of 23.0%, while the home win is 5.30, with fair odds of 5.55 and a probability of 18.0%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town win | 5.30 | 5.55 | 18.0% |
| Draw | 4.15 | 4.34 | 23.0% |
| Sheffield United win | 1.62 | 1.70 | 59.0% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.70 looks more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.15. At the 3.5 mark, by contrast, Under 3.5 goals is 1.47 compared with 2.60 for Over 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.15 | 1.70 |
| 3.5 | 1.47 | 2.60 |
Handicap prediction
Sheffield United (-1.5) is available at 2.60, while Fleetwood Town (+1.5) is 1.47. At the -1 line, Sheffield United (-1) is available at 2.02; at the 1 line, Fleetwood Town (+1) is 1.80. In the Draw No Bet market, Sheffield United is considerably shorter at 1.23 than Fleetwood Town at 3.70.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.60 | |
| 1.47 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 2.02 | |
| 1.80 | 1 | |
| 3.70 | 0 | 1.23 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is 1.72 and rated more likely than Both teams to score - No at 2.05; the latter option means at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.72 |
| No | 2.05 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
6/5
|
1/4
|
17/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
The team totals market rates Sheffield United's scoring potential considerably higher than Fleetwood Town's.
Fleetwood Town team total
Fleetwood Town team total: Under 0.5 goals — 2.40, Over 0.5 goals — 1.55; Under 1 goal — 1.60, Over 1 goal — 2.30; Under 1.5 goals — 1.27, Over 1.5 goals — 3.40.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | 0.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.60 | 1 | 2.30 |
| 1.27 | 1.5 | 3.40 |
Sheffield United team total
Sheffield United team total: Under 0.5 goals — 6.20, Over 0.5 goals — 1.07; Under 1 goal — 4.20, Over 1 goal — 1.17; Under 1.5 goals — 2.15, Over 1.5 goals — 1.65; Under 2 goals — 1.65, Over 2 goals — 2.18.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.20 | 0.5 | 1.07 |
| 4.20 | 1 | 1.17 |
| 2.15 | 1.5 | 1.65 |
| 1.65 | 2 | 2.18 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Ben Speedie (England)
Matches – 18 (the Premier League and English cups, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 21;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 2.6;
Matches with red cards – 2 of 18;
Matches with penalties – 2 of 18.














