Odds overview
Nordsjælland are favourites — an away win is available at 2.15, compared with 3.15 for a Hearts win and 3.80 for a draw. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. For a handicap of 0, Nordsjælland Draw No Bet at 1.60 is considered more likely than Hearts Draw No Bet at 2.30.
Why Nordsjælland are favourites
The bookmakers favour the visitors: Nordsjælland are available to win at 2.15, Hearts at 3.15, and the draw at 3.80.
- The Danish side have looked strong in attack in European competition: Nordsjælland have recorded over 3.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Hearts have not exceeded 5.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Nordsjælland's European matches have featured plenty of attacking activity: the combined number of shots by both teams, including blocked shots, has exceeded 24.5 in 9 of 10 matches.
Form and Line-up Hearts
In the Scottish league, Hearts win at home but struggle away. In their last match before European competition, they thrashed St. Mirren 5:0, creating chances worth 3.44 xG and registering six shots on target, although they had previously lost to Falkirk (1:2) and drawn with Kilmarnock (1:1).
Hearts' squad situation is gradually stabilising ahead of their European opener: midfielder Eduardo Ageu and defender Malachi Fagan-Walcott returned from injury to the starting line-up last weekend.
- Hearts have been caught offside fewer than 2.5 times in each of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Fewer than 9.5 corners have been taken in 8 of Hearts' last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Under 5.5 yellow cards have been shown in 8 of Hearts' last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Bo Reus, Jordi Altena, Jamie Mccart, Malachi Fagan-Walcott, Harry Milne, Eduardo Ageu, Laurent Mendy, Calvin Miller, Cláudio Braga, Josh McPake, James Wilson.
Stephen Kingsley missed the last match, and his availability for this fixture has not been confirmed separately.
Form and Line-up Nordsjælland
The Danish club approach this European fixture after inconsistent results in domestic competitions. In the Danish Superliga, Nordsjælland drew with Odense (0:0), beat Aarhus (2:0) and lost heavily to Viborg (1:4). They also lost a friendly to Swedish side Malmö FF (0:3) in early October.
- Nordsjælland have been caught offside fewer than 2.5 times in each of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Nordsjælland's opponents have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Nordsjælland have committed more than 11.5 fouls in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
Probable line-up (3-4-3): Andreas Hansen, Tobias Salquist, Noah Markmann, Victor Nelsson, Markus Walker, Justin Janssen, Mark Brink, Runar Robinsonn Norheim, Ibrahim Adel, Villum Berthelsen, Hjalte Boe Rasmussen.
The teams' chances
Hearts to win: average odds of 3.15, fair odds of 3.29 and a probability of 30.4%. Draw: odds of 3.80, fair odds of 3.97 and a probability of 25.2%. Nordsjælland to win: odds of 2.15, fair odds of 2.25 and a probability of 44.5%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hearts to win | 3.15 | 3.29 | 30.4% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.97 | 25.2% |
| Nordsjælland to win | 2.15 | 2.25 | 44.5% |
Total goals betting
For the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals has shorter odds of 1.62, while Over 3.5 goals is available at 2.30.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
Handicap betting
At a -1.5 handicap, Nordsjælland (-1.5) have shorter odds of 3.25 than Hearts (-1.5) at 5.40. At +1.5, Nordsjælland (+1.5) are favoured at 1.10, compared with 1.30 for Hearts (+1.5). On the -1 line, Nordsjælland (-1) are favoured at 2.70 over Hearts (-1) at 4.70; at +1, Nordsjælland (+1) are 1.14, compared with 1.40 for Hearts (+1). For a handicap of 0, Nordsjælland Draw No Bet have shorter odds at 1.60 than Hearts Draw No Bet at 2.30.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.40 | -1.5 | 3.25 |
| 1.30 | +1.5 | 1.10 |
| 4.70 | -1 | 2.70 |
| 1.40 | +1 | 1.14 |
| 2.30 | 0 | 1.60 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.47 and is considered much more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.60, which means at least one team would fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.47 |
| No | 2.60 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
7/10
|
1/4
|
9/25
|
| William Hill |
57/100
|
29/100
|
2/5
|
| 888sport |
57/100
|
29/100
|
2/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
The bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Hearts — 1.5 goals; Nordsjælland — 1.5 goals.
Hearts team total goals
For Hearts' team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.25 has much shorter odds than Under 0.5 goals at 3.65; on the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal is 1.55 and Under 1 goal is 2.35. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 goals is favoured at 1.60 over Over 1.5 goals at 2.30. On the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is quoted at 1.23 and Over 2 goals at 3.75.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.65 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.35 | 1 | 1.55 |
| 1.60 | 1.5 | 2.30 |
| 1.23 | 2 | 3.75 |
Nordsjælland team total goals
For Nordsjælland's team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.13 has notably shorter odds than Under 0.5 goals at 4.80, while Over 1 goal at 1.27 is shorter than Under 1 goal at 3.40. At 1.5 goals, the odds are close: Over 1.5 goals is 1.80 and Under 1.5 goals is 1.95. On the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals at 1.50 is favoured over Over 2 goals at 2.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.80 | 0.5 | 1.13 |
| 3.40 | 1 | 1.27 |
| 1.95 | 1.5 | 1.80 |
| 1.50 | 2 | 2.50 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Damian Kos (Poland)
Matches — 10 (international fixtures, 2024/25–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 26;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.5;
Matches with a red card — 2 out of 10;
Matches with a penalty — 3 out of 10.
