Odds overview
Aston Villa are clear favourites to win at 1.83, while a Hull City win is priced at 4.30 and the draw at 3.80. Over 2.5 goals hold a slight edge at 1.85 compared with 1.95 for Under 2.5 goals. In the Draw No Bet market, Aston Villa at 1.35 are considerably shorter than Hull City at 2.95.
Why Aston Villa are favourites
Bookmakers consider the visitors favourites: an Aston Villa win is available at 1.83, while Hull City are 4.30 to win. The draw can be backed at 3.80.
- In their last 10 Premier League away matches, Aston Villa have not scored more than two goals.
- In 8 of their last 10 Premier League away games, Aston Villa's opponents have had at least four shots on target.
- The Birmingham side will represent England in the Champions League, while Hull City reached the Premier League only through the play-offs.
Form and Line-up Hull City
Hull City have begun the season with two consecutive clean-sheet wins: they first beat Manchester United 2:0 at home, then defeated fellow newcomers Coventry 1:0 away thanks to Liam Millar's 82nd-minute goal.
However, in 9 of their last 10 Premier League matches, the hosts have had no more than five shots on target.
Key numbers:
- In their last 10 Premier League matches, Hull City have not received fewer yellow cards than their opponents.
- In all of their last 10 Premier League home matches, Hull City's opponents have received no more than two yellow cards.
- In 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches, Hull City and their opponents have committed no more than 22 fouls.
Probable Hull City line-up (5-4-1): Konstantinos Tzolakis — Lewie Coyle, Semi Ajayi, John Egan, Nobel Mendy, Ryan Giles — Mohamed Belloumi, Regan Slater, Hidemasa Morita, Elliot Stroud — Oli McBurnie
Absentees: Charlie Hughes, Darko Gyabi, Jack Butland, Joe Gelhardt, Matty Jacob, Oscar Zambrano (injuries)
Form and Line-up Aston Villa
Aston Villa lost 0:4 away to Brighton and played with 10 men from the 40th minute after Joao Gomes was sent off; they play Arsenal in the second round on the last day of summer.
In addition, in 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches, the Birmingham side have not had more offsides than their opponents.
Key numbers:
- In 9 of their last 10 Premier League matches, Aston Villa have not committed more fouls than their opponents.
- In 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches, Aston Villa have been caught offside no more than twice.
- In 8 of their last 10 Premier League away matches, Aston Villa's opponents have had at least 13 shots.
Probable Aston Villa line-up (4-2-3-1): Zion Suzuki — Matty Cash, Victor Lindelof, Pau Torres, Ian Maatsen — Boubacar Kamara, Joao Gomes — John McGinn, Ross Barkley, Harry Hemmings — Emiliano Buendia
Absentees: Amadou Onana, Johan Monzambi, Brian Madjo, Tammy Abraham (injuries)
Team chances
An Aston Villa win has a no-margin probability of 52.4%: the average odds are 1.83 and the fair odds are 1.91. The draw has a 25.3% probability, with average odds of 3.80 and fair odds of 3.96. A Hull City win is assessed at 22.3%: 4.30 in the market and 4.48 in the no-margin assessment.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
Hull City to win | 4.30 | 4.48 | 22.3% |
Draw | 3.80 | 3.96 | 25.3% |
Aston Villa to win | 1.83 | 1.91 | 52.4% |
Total goals prediction
For the 2.5-goal line, Over is slightly shorter than Under: 1.85 versus 1.95. At the 3.5-goal line, Under at 1.37 is much more strongly favoured, while Over is available at 2.85.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
3.5 | 1.37 | 2.85 |
Handicap prediction
For the -1.5 handicap, Aston Villa (-1.5) at 3.10 are shorter than Hull City (-1.5) at 8.00. On the +1.5 line, the odds are 1.32 for Hull City (+1.5) and 1.04 for Aston Villa (+1.5). For the -1 handicap, Hull City (-1) are available at 7.00 and Aston Villa (-1) at 2.50; on the +1 line, Hull City (+1) are 1.53 versus 1.05 for Aston Villa (+1). In the Draw No Bet market, Aston Villa at 1.35 are substantially shorter than Hull City at 2.95.
Home | Handicap | Away |
8.00 | -1.5 | 3.10 |
1.32 | 1.5 | 1.04 |
7.00 | -1 | 2.50 |
1.53 | 1 | 1.05 |
2.95 | 0 | 1.35 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.75 and is shorter than Both teams to score - No at 2.00. This indicates that an exchange of goals is slightly more likely, whereas the No option implies that at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.75 |
No | 2.00 |
Double chance prediction
The shortest odds in the double chance market are for X2, at 1.25. The 12 outcome is available at 1.30, while 1X is 2.00.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1/1
|
3/10
|
1/4
|
Team total prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Hull City — 1 goal; Aston Villa — 1.5 goals.
Hull City team total
Hull City team total: at the 0.5 line, Over is available at 1.50 versus 2.55 for Under. For the 1-goal total, the odds are 1.70 for Under and 2.08 for Over. At the 1.5 line, Under at 1.33 is considerably shorter than Over at 3.05.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.55 | 0.5 | 1.50 |
1.70 | 1 | 2.08 |
1.33 | 1.5 | 3.05 |
Aston Villa team total
Aston Villa team total: at the 0.5 line, Over at 1.14 is considerably shorter than Under at 4.70. For the 1-goal total, Under is available at 3.45 and Over at 1.27. At the 1.5 line, the odds are virtually level: Under 1.88 and Over 1.87. For the 2-goal total, Under is 1.40 and Over is 2.75.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.70 | 0.5 | 1.14 |
3.45 | 1 | 1.27 |
1.88 | 1.5 | 1.87 |
1.40 | 2 | 2.75 |
Who will referee the match
Michael Oliver (England)
Matches – 31 (Premier League, 2025/26–2026/27);
Fouls per match on average – 23;
Yellow cards per match on average (including second yellows) – 3.1;
Matches with a red card – 2 out of 31;
Matches with a penalty – 3 out of 31.
