Odds overview
Brentford are clear favourites: a Brentford win is available at 1.70, compared with 4.05 for a draw and around 4.70 for a Hull City win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.67 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.20. For the handicap (0), Brentford (0) at 1.28 is much shorter than Hull City (0) at 3.30.
Why Brentford are favourites
Bookmakers favour Brentford: an away win is offered at 1.70, a Hull City win at 4.70 and a draw at 4.05.
• Brentford were higher in the table before Matchweek 8: the visitors were sixth with 10 points, while Hull City were ninth with 9 points and had gone five league matches without a win.
• Brentford have yet to lose an away match in this league campaign (three draws).
Form and Line-up Hull City
Hull City made an excellent start to the season with two early wins, including a 2:0 victory over Manchester United, but have now gone five league matches without a win (three draws and two defeats). The number of injuries is taking its toll on Sergej Jakirovic's team: around ten Tigers players have been sidelined for more than a month. Some may return soon, but others have yet to feature in this league campaign.
- In Hull City's last 10 Premier League home matches, their opponents received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards.
- In 8 of Hull City's last 10 league home matches, their opponents committed fewer than 11.5 fouls.
- There were fewer than 4.5 yellow cards in Hull City's last 10 Premier League home matches.
Probable line-up (5-4-1): Konstantinos Tzolakis, Lewie Coyle, Semi Ajayi, John Egan, Lucas Herrington, Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Mohamed Belloumi, Matt Crooks, Regan Slater, Sorba Thomas, Oliver McBurnie
Unavailable: Jack Butland, Eliot Matazo, Robinho Vaz, Darko Gyabi, Ilyas Ansah, Mohamed-Ali Cho, Charlie Hughes, Matthew Targett (injured); Lucas Gourna-Douath, Nobel Mendy (doubtful)
Form and Line-up Brentford
Brentford not only lost 1:2 at home to Liverpool in the previous round, but also lost two first-choice defensive midfielders. It was their temperament, rather than injuries, that cost them — both were sent off for overzealous challenges: Yegor Yarmolyuk with a straight red card and Vitaly Janelt after two bookings. Mamadou Sangaré and Mathias Jensen are expected to replace them, but there will be no specialist defensive midfielder on the bench. Keith Andrews therefore has a serious problem to solve.
- Brentford have not lost the foul count in their last 10 Premier League away matches.
- There were fewer than 4.5 offsides in Brentford's last 10 league away matches.
- Brentford had fewer than 5.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Caoimhin Kelleher, Michael Kayode, Kristoffer Ajer, Sepp van den Berg, Keane Lewis-Potter, Mamadou Sangaré, Mikkel Damsgaard, Dango Ouattara, Mathias Jensen, Jayden Anthony, Igor Thiago
Unavailable: Yegor Yarmolyuk, Vitaly Janelt (suspended); Antoni Milambo, Josh Dasilva, Kaye Furo (injured)
Team win probabilities
The margin-free estimate gives Brentford a 56.1% chance of winning: the average odds for an away win are 1.70, with fair odds of 1.78. The corresponding figures are 23.6%, 4.05 and 4.24 for a draw, and 20.3%, 4.70 and 4.93 for a Hull City win.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City win | 4.70 | 4.93 | 20.3% |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4.24 | 23.6% |
| Brentford win | 1.70 | 1.78 | 56.1% |
Total goals odds
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.67 is shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.20. At the 3.5-goal line, the reverse applies: Under 3.5 goals is available at 1.48 and Over 3.5 goals at 2.55.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
| 3.5 | 1.48 | 2.55 |
Handicap odds
Brentford (-1.5) at 2.70 is considerably shorter than Hull City (-1.5) at 8.50. At the +1.5 line, Brentford (+1.5) at 1.04 is shorter than Hull City (+1.5) at 1.40; at +1, Brentford (+1) is 1.05 compared with 1.70 for Hull City (+1). Brentford (-1) at 2.15 is shorter than Hull City (-1) at 7.20, while at handicap (0), Brentford (0) is 1.28 compared with 3.30 for Hull City (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.50 | -1.5 | 2.70 |
| 1.40 | 1.5 | 1.04 |
| 7.20 | -1 | 2.15 |
| 1.70 | 1 | 1.05 |
| 3.30 | 0 | 1.28 |
Both teams to score odds
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.65, shorter than Both teams to score — No at 2.15; the latter means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.65 |
| No | 2.15 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/10
|
1/4
|
17/100
|
| 888sport |
11/10
|
1/4
|
1/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team totals odds
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Hull City — 1 goal; Brentford — 1.5 goals.
Hull City team total
Hull City team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.45 is shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 2.60. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal at 1.72 is shorter than Over 1 goal at 2.05; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is 1.32 compared with 3.10 for Over 1.5 goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | 0.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.72 | 1 | 2.05 |
| 1.32 | 1.5 | 3.10 |
Brentford team total
Brentford team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.09 and Over 1 goal at 1.20 are much shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 5.70 and Under 1 goal at 4.20. At the 1.5-goal line, Over 1.5 goals at 1.70 is shorter than Under 1.5 goals at 2.10, while at the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals at 1.60 is shorter than Over 2 goals at 2.25.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.70 | 0.5 | 1.09 |
| 4.20 | 1 | 1.20 |
| 2.10 | 1.5 | 1.70 |
| 1.60 | 2 | 2.25 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Robert Jones (England)
Matches — 22 (Premier League, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.9;
Matches with a red card — 0 of 22;
Matches with a penalty — 4 of 22.
