Inter Milan are currently above Napoli in terms of points dropped, and Atalanta’s setbacks have eliminated another competitor from the Milan side's title race. At the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, they will be expected to secure a victory against Bologna, who are inching closer to the European competition spots — the underdogs are poised to challenge the favourites.
A modest victory over Venezia (1:0) on Sunday somewhat demonstrated Inter Milan's genuine dominance over lower-table opponents (1.79 vs 0.36 in xG and 17 vs 7 in shots). Without injured players such as Yann Bisseck, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, and Hakan Çalhanoğlu, their squad depth has been tested, yet their attack remains the most potent in the tournament, having scored 46 goals in 18 matches. Since the November international break, Inter Milan have secured four consecutive home wins with a combined score of 8:1.
Post-Christmas, Bologna have been far from dull with their impressive goal-scoring ability. Against Hellas Verona (2:3) and AS Roma (2:2), they allowed a total of 2.25 xGA with eight shots on target, leading to five goals conceded. However, Bologna have also shown attacking improvements: they have recorded 18.55 xG in nine matches since early November, which ranks them third in Serie A.
Both Inter Milan and Bologna are ranked in the top half of the table in games surpassing a total of 2.5 goals (11 and 10 matches). Last season, under Thiago Motta, the underdogs nearly left the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza with three points (2:2), so we recommend betting on total over.
