Odds overview
Hoffenheim are favourites to win at 2.25, while a Cologne win is priced at around 3.00 and the draw at 3.65. In the main total market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.60 is notably favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. In the level handicap market, Hoffenheim Draw No Bet at 1.68 looks more likely than Cologne Draw No Bet at 2.20.
Why Hoffenheim are favourites
Bookmakers give the visitors a slight edge: a Hoffenheim win is available at 2.25, a Cologne win at 3.00, and the draw at 3.65.
The visitors retained key midfielder Wouter Burger, who extended his contract after a season with 14 goal contributions.
Cologne newcomer Ellyes Skhiri had only a limited number of training sessions with the team before the start of the Bundesliga season.
Form and Line-up Cologne
Cologne, managed by Rene Wagner, began the season with a 2:1 away win over Wurzburger Kickers in the German Cup. They were behind at half-time but turned the match around to reach the next round. Retaining Said El Mala was also significant: after negotiations with Borussia broke down, the winger extended his contract until 2031 and immediately started the cup match.
During pre-season, Cologne played three friendlies: they won 8:0 and 2:1 and drew 2:2.
Key numbers:
At least 3 goals were scored in 9 of Cologne's last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
There have been at least 3 offsides in each of Cologne's last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
Cologne have taken at least 5 corners in 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
Probable Cologne line-up (4-2-3-1): Marvin Schwabe — Tom Krauss — Isak Johannesson — Ragnar Ache — Said El Mala — Gideon Mensah — Alessio Castro-Montes — Jahmai Simpson-Pusey — Luka Lochoshvili — Jan Thielmann — Marius Bulter.
Form and Line-up Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim, managed by Christian Ilzer, made a confident start to the German Cup by thrashing Erzgebirge Aue 4:0 away from home. The visitors had settled the result before half-time, scoring three goals. Forward Fisnik Asllani did not feature after a proposed move to RB Leipzig fell through.
In pre-season friendlies, Hoffenheim recorded two wins, one draw and one defeat.
Key numbers:
At least 3 goals were scored in 8 of Hoffenheim's last 10 Bundesliga matches.
There have been at least 3 offsides in total in 9 of Hoffenheim's last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
Hoffenheim's opponents committed no more than 11 fouls in their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
Probable Hoffenheim line-up (4-4-2): Luca Philipp — Vladimir Coufal — Albian Hajdari — Ozan Kabak — Mats Rots — Leon Avdullahu — Wouter Burger — Nathan De Cat — Tim Lemperle — Patrick Wimmer — Adam Hlozek.
Team chances
Hoffenheim to win — 2.25, fair odds — 2.37 and a probability of 42.3%; Cologne to win — 3.00, 3.16 and 31.7%. The draw is quoted at 3.65, with fair odds of 3.84 and a probability of 26.0%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
Cologne win | 3.00 | 3.16 | 31.7% |
Draw | 3.65 | 3.84 | 26% |
Hoffenheim win | 2.25 | 2.37 | 42.3% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.60 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. At 3.5, the situation is reversed: Under 3.5 goals — 1.55, Over 3.5 goals — 2.35.
Under | Line | Over |
2.35 | 2.5 | 1.60 |
1.55 | 3.5 | 2.35 |
Handicap prediction
At the -1.5 line, Hoffenheim (-1.5) at 3.65 is quoted shorter than Cologne (-1.5) at 5.50. At handicap 1, the odds are close to the minimum: Hoffenheim (+1) — 1.13, Cologne (+1) — 1.33; at 1.5 — 1.10 for Hoffenheim (+1.5) versus 1.25 for Cologne (+1.5). At the level handicap, Hoffenheim Draw No Bet at 1.68 is favoured over Cologne Draw No Bet at 2.20. At the -1 line, Hoffenheim (-1) — 3.05, Cologne (-1) — 4.80.
Cologne | Handicap | Hoffenheim |
5.50 | (-1.5) | 3.65 |
1.25 | (+1.5) | 1.10 |
4.80 | (-1) | 3.05 |
1.33 | (+1) | 1.13 |
2.20 | (0) | 1.68 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.53 looks more likely than Both teams to score - No at 2.40, which means at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.53 |
No | 2.40 |
Double chance prediction
The lowest odds are for 12 — 1.30. X2 is available at 1.40, while 1X is available at 1.65.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.65 | 1.30 | 1.40 |
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Cologne — 1.5 goals, Hoffenheim — 1.5 goals.
Cologne team total
Cologne: at the 0.5 line, Over 0.5 goals — 1.27, Under 0.5 goals — 3.45; at 1 — Over 1 goal at 1.60 versus Under 1 goal at 2.30. At 1.5, Under 1.5 goals is quoted shorter at 1.60, while Over 1.5 goals is 2.25; at 2, Under 2 goals — 1.20, Over 2 goals — 3.95.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.45 | 0.5 | 1.27 |
2.30 | 1 | 1.60 |
1.60 | 1.5 | 2.25 |
1.20 | 2 | 3.95 |
Hoffenheim team total
Hoffenheim: Over 0.5 goals at 1.18 is notably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 4.10, while at the 1 line, Over 1 goal is 1.35 versus Under 1 goal at 2.95. At 1.5, the odds are almost equal: Under 1.5 goals — 1.85, Over 1.5 goals — 1.90. At the 2 line, Under 2 goals — 1.42, Over 2 goals — 2.65.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.10 | 0.5 | 1.18 |
2.95 | 1 | 1.35 |
1.85 | 1.5 | 1.90 |
1.42 | 2 | 2.65 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Florian Badstubner (Germany)
Matches — 14 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 2.2;
Matches with red cards — 1 of 14;
