Odds Overview
Cologne are moderate favourites: a home win is available at around 2.05, while an away win is 3.35 and the draw is quoted at 3.80. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. In the handicap market, Home Draw No Bet is 1.55 and Away Draw No Bet is around 2.45.
Why Cologne Are Favourites
The bookmakers favour the home side: Cologne to win is available at 2.05, the draw is 3.80 and a Werder Bremen victory is 3.35.
Cologne have home advantage, while the visitors are still adapting their squad: Werder Bremen head coach Daniel Thioune noted that as many as five regular starters did not complete pre-season with the team.
The teams are side by side in the table — after the opening two rounds, both Cologne and Werder Bremen have 3 points.
Form and Line-up Cologne
Cologne have shown plenty of attacking activity at the start of the season: they rank second in the league for total xG (5.11). More than 26.5 shots have been recorded in 9 of Cologne's last 10 home Bundesliga matches, while new signings Borna Sosa and Mikey Moore have already joined the squad.
Key numbers:
Over 2.5 goals has landed in Cologne's last 8 home matches
Cologne committed no more than 11 fouls in 9 of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches
At home, Cologne and their opponents were caught offside at least 3 times in 9 of the last 10 Bundesliga matches
Probable Cologne line-up (3-4-2-1): Marvin Schwabe, Tom Krauss, Isak Bergmann Johannesson, Ragnar Ache, Gideon Mensah, Alessio Castro-Montes, Jahmai Simpson-Pusey, Fayssal Harchaoui Okon-Engstler, Luka Lochoshvili, Jan Thielmann, Linton Maina
Form and Line-up Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen are more restrained away from home: they had no more than 5 shots on target in 10 of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches and rank second from bottom for individual xG (0.76). The team scored no more than one goal in 9 of 10 away matches.
Key numbers:
Werder Bremen took no more than 5 corners in 9 of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches
Werder Bremen received no more than 2 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches
At least 9 corners were taken in 9 of Werder Bremen's last 10 Bundesliga matches
Probable Werder Bremen line-up (4-1-4-1): Mio Backhaus Hein, Olivier Deman, Amos Pieper, Niclas Fullkrug, Arthur Augusto de Matos Soares, Ludevit Reis, Marco Grull, Eren Dinkci, Chuki San Jose, Marco Friedl, Yury Reger
Team Chances
The margin-free assessment gives Cologne a 46.5% chance of winning, with average odds of 2.05 and fair odds of 2.15. The draw is rated at 25.1% (3.80 and 3.99), while a Werder Bremen victory is rated at 28.4% (3.35 and 3.52).
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
Cologne to win | 2.05 | 2.15 | 46.5% |
Draw | 3.80 | 3.99 | 25.1% |
Werder Bremen to win | 3.35 | 3.52 | 28.4% |
Total Goals Betting Tip
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is clearly favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. At 3.5 goals, the balance is reversed: Under 3.5 goals is 1.60 and Over 3.5 goals is 2.35.
Line | Under goals | Over goals |
2.5 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
3.5 | 1.60 | 2.35 |
Handicap Betting Tip
Home (-1.5) is available at 3.30, while Away (-1.5) is 5.80. At the 1.5 handicap, Home (+1.5) has shorter odds at 1.09, compared with 1.28 for Away (+1.5); at the -1 line, the odds are 2.70 against 5.10. Home (+1) is quoted at 1.11, Away (+1) at 1.40, while Home Draw No Bet at 1.55 is favoured over Away Draw No Bet at 2.45.
Home | Handicap | Away |
3.30 | -1.5 | 5.80 |
1.09 | 1.5 | 1.28 |
2.70 | -1 | 5.10 |
1.11 | 1 | 1.40 |
1.55 | 0 | 2.45 |
Both Teams to Score Betting Tip
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.50, while Both teams to score - No, meaning at least one team will not score, is 2.45.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.50 |
No | 2.45 |
Double Chance Betting Tip
The shortest odds in the double-chance market are for 12 at 1.30; 1X is 1.35 and X2 is 1.77.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.35 | 1.30 | 1.77 |
Team Total Goals Betting Tip
The bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Cologne — 1.5 goals, Werder Bremen — 1 goal.
Cologne Team Total
Cologne team total: Over 0.5 goals is 1.13 compared with 4.70 for Under 0.5 goals; Over 1 goal is 1.28 compared with 3.35. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are close: Under 1.5 goals is 1.95 and Over 1.5 goals is 1.80. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is quoted at 1.50 and Over 2 goals at 2.50.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.70 | 0.5 | 1.13 |
3.35 | 1 | 1.28 |
1.95 | 1.5 | 1.80 |
1.50 | 2 | 2.50 |
Werder Bremen Team Total
Werder Bremen team total: Over 0.5 goals is available at 1.28 compared with 3.35 for Under 0.5 goals. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal is 1.62 and Under 1 goal is 2.20; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 goals has shorter odds at 1.55 compared with 2.35 for Over 1.5 goals.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.35 | 0.5 | 1.28 |
2.20 | 1 | 1.62 |
1.55 | 1.5 | 2.35 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Florian Exner (Germany)
Matches — 13 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 21;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 4.4;
Matches with red cards — 2 of 13;
Matches with penalties — 6 of 13.
