Odds Overview
Leeds United hold a slight edge in the 1X2 market: the home win is 2.60 versus 2.75 for the away win, while the draw is 3.40. The main 2.5-goal total is evenly balanced, with both Over and Under at 1.90. In the Draw No Bet market, Leeds United are 1.85 and Brentford 1.95: the home side have slightly shorter odds.
Why There Is No Match Favourite
Bookmakers offer virtually identical odds on the main outcomes: a Leeds United win is 2.60, a Brentford win is 2.75, and the draw is 3.40.
- Leeds United began the league campaign with a clean-sheet win: they beat Nottingham Forest 1:0 in the opening Premier League round and kept things tight defensively.
- Brentford have made an equally confident start: the visitors thrashed Tottenham Hotspur 3:0 in their first match of the competition and temporarily moved into third place in the table.
Form and Line-up Leeds United
Daniel Farke has built successfully on the early part of the season. Leeds United beat Nottingham Forest 2:0 away from home again in the League Cup. The German coach made six changes to the starting line-up and rested key players. New signing Nico Elvedi will strengthen the defence: the Swiss player can cover any role in a back three or play wide, adding flexibility to the team's adaptable system.
At the same time, Leeds United's aggregate xG in the league snapshot before the match is just 0.47 — the second-lowest figure among all 20 clubs. The home side have built a disciplined structure in which a limited number of chances is offset by great reliability in front of their own goal.
Key numbers:
- In 9 of their last 10 Premier League home matches, Leeds United have taken at least five corners
- In 9 of their last 10 Premier League home matches, Leeds United have received no more than two yellow cards
- In 8 of their last 10 Premier League home matches, Leeds United have been caught offside no more than twice
Probable Leeds United line-up (3-4-2-1): James Trafford — Tarik Muharemovic, Jaka Bijol, Joe Rodon — Jayden Bogle, Ethan Ampadu, Anton Stach, James Justin — Brenden Aaronson, Harry Wilson — Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Absentees: Wilfried Gnonto, Mateo Joseph, Gabriel Gudmundsson (injuries)
Form and Line-up Brentford
Brentford have made a prolific start to the season. After beating Tottenham Hotspur (3:0), Keith Andrews' team thrashed Birmingham 6:1 in the League Cup with a reshuffled line-up featuring eight changes. Mamadou Sangare has fitted naturally into the attacking unit: the new signing is involved in key phases of possession and regularly threatens goal.
In the league snapshot before the match, Brentford's individual xG was 4.04 — the highest in the Premier League. The team find quick solutions in the opposition penalty area, although the visitors will have to work in tighter conditions against Leeds United's compact defence.
Key numbers:
- In all of their last 10 Premier League away matches, Brentford's opponents have been caught offside no more than twice
- In 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches, Brentford's opponents have committed no more than 10 fouls
- In 9 of their last 10 Premier League matches, Brentford have received no more than two yellow cards
Probable Brentford line-up (4-2-3-1): Caoimhin Kelleher — Keane Lewis-Potter, Nathan Collins, Kristoffer Ajer, Michael Kayode — Mamadou Sangare, Vitaly Janelt — Dango Ouattara, Mathias Jensen, Kevin Schade — Igor Thiago
Absentees: Sepp van den Berg, Antoni Milambo (injuries)
Team Chances
The home win is available at 2.60; fair odds are 2.72, with a probability of 36.8%. The draw is 3.45, with fair odds of 3.60 and a probability of 27.7%. The away win is 2.70; fair odds are 2.82, with a probability of 35.4%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
Leeds United to win | 2.60 | 2.72 | 36.8% |
Draw | 3.45 | 3.60 | 27.7% |
Brentford to win | 2.70 | 2.82 | 35.4% |
Total Goals Prediction
For the 2.5-goal total, Under is 1.95 and Over 1.85, so the Over option has slightly shorter odds. For the 3.5-goal total, Under is 1.37 versus 2.85 for Over, with a notable advantage in the odds for the lower total.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
3.5 | 1.37 | 2.85 |
Handicap Prediction
For the -1.5 handicap, the home side are 4.60 and the away side 4.80. At the 1.5 handicap, the odds are almost even: the home side are 1.13 and the away side 1.14. For the -1 handicap, the home side are available at 4.00 and the away side at 4.20; at the 1 handicap, both sides are 1.20. In the Draw No Bet market, the home side have shorter odds — 1.85 versus 1.95 for the away side.
Home | Handicap | Away |
4.60 | -1.5 | 4.80 |
1.13 | 1.5 | 1.14 |
4.00 | -1 | 4.20 |
1.20 | 1 | 1.20 |
1.85 | 0 | 1.95 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.67, while Both teams to score - No is 2.15. The shorter odds on Yes suggest that goals at both ends are considered more likely, while No means that at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.67 |
No | 2.15 |
Double Chance Prediction
Double chance 1X is 1.50, 12 is 1.33 and X2 is 1.53. The lowest odds are on 12, while 1X is quoted slightly shorter than X2.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1/2
|
33/100
|
53/100
|
Team Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Leeds United — 1.5 goals, Brentford — 1 goal.
Leeds United Team Total
Leeds United team total: Under 0.5 is 3.50 and Over 0.5 is 1.25; at the 1-goal line, Under is 2.45 and Over is 1.53. For the 1.5-goal total, Under is available at 1.60 versus 2.30 for Over, while at the 2-goal line, Under is 1.22 and Over 3.85.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.50 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
2.45 | 1 | 1.53 |
1.60 | 1.5 | 2.30 |
1.22 | 2 | 3.85 |
Brentford Team Total
Brentford team total: Under 0.5 is available at 3.40 and Over 0.5 at 1.27. At the 1-goal line, Under is 2.30 versus 1.58 for Over, while for the 1.5-goal total, Under is 1.55 and Over 2.35.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.40 | 0.5 | 1.27 |
2.30 | 1 | 1.58 |
1.55 | 1.5 | 2.35 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Tony Harrington (England)
Matches – 3 (all competitions, 2026/27 up to 27 August 2026)
Average fouls per match – 23.33
Average yellow cards per match – 2.67
