Odds overview
Lille are favourites to win at 2.17, while Galatasaray are available at 3.15 and the draw at 3.75. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.25. At a handicap of 0, Lille (0) at 1.62 have shorter odds than Galatasaray (0) at 2.30.
Why Lille are favourites
Bookmakers favour the French club: Lille are available to win at 2.17, the draw at 3.75 and Galatasaray at 3.15.
- Galatasaray have lost 9 of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Champions League.
- In the previous European round, the Turkish club suffered a heavy 1:4 home defeat to Barcelona.
Form and Line-up Lille
In their latest league match, Lille drew 1:1 at home to Brest, conceding in the 6th minute and only equalising from a penalty in the 64th. Head coach Davide Ancelotti cited a lack of energy and limited attacking options after the match.
Lille's previous away match in the UEFA Champions League ended in a 0:3 defeat to Arsenal. Going into this match, Lille are joint third from bottom in the competition for goals scored, averaging 1.0 per game. They have, however, restricted opponents in home European matches — in 8 of 10 games at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy, visiting teams attempted fewer than 12.5 shots.
- Over 2.5 goals has landed in 2 of Lille's UEFA Champions League matches this season
- Opponents have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in Lille's last 10 home UEFA Champions League matches
- Lille have committed fewer than 11.5 fouls in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Champions League matches
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Orlando Gill, Maxima Goffi, Nathan Ngoy, Tanguy Nianzou, Romain Perraud, Ngal'ayel Mukau, Benjamin André, Dilane Bakwa, Hákon Haraldsson, Ethan Mbappé, Olivier Giroud
Form and Line-up Galatasaray
In their latest Turkish league match, Galatasaray beat Gençlerbirliği 1:0 away from home thanks to the only goal in the 88th minute.
Galatasaray's UEFA Champions League figures have been modest so far: going into this match, they are third from bottom in the competition for shots on target, averaging 3.0 per game. They have, however, been disciplined in Europe — Galatasaray have committed fewer than 12.5 fouls in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Champions League matches.
- There have been more than 2.5 offsides in 9 of Galatasaray's last 10 UEFA Champions League matches
- Opponents have registered more than 4.5 shots on target in 9 of Galatasaray's last 10 UEFA Champions League matches
- There have been more than 8.5 corners in 8 of Galatasaray's last 10 home UEFA Champions League matches
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Uğurcan Çakır, Roland Sallai, Davinson Sánchez, Abdülkerim Bardakcı, Eren Elmalı, Mario Lemina, Gabriel Sara, Leroy Sané, Aleksey Batrakov, Barış Alper Yılmaz, Victor Osimhen
Teams' chances
Lille are available to win at 2.17; their fair odds are 2.27, implying a 44.1% probability. The draw is available at 3.75, with fair odds of 3.92 and a 25.5% probability. Galatasaray are available to win at 3.15; their fair odds are 3.29, implying a 30.4% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille to win | 2.17 | 2.27 | 44.1% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.92 | 25.5% |
| Galatasaray to win | 3.15 | 3.29 | 30.4% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 has shorter odds than Under 2.5 goals at 2.25. At the 3.5-goal line, by contrast, Under 3.5 goals at 1.52 is considerably shorter than Over 3.5 goals at 2.45.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.25 | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 1.52 | 2.45 |
Handicap prediction
At a handicap of -1.5, Lille (-1.5) are available at 3.65 and Galatasaray (-1.5) at 5.80. At +1.5, Lille (+1.5) at 1.09 have shorter odds than Galatasaray (+1.5) at 1.25. For a handicap of -1, the odds are 3.00 for Lille (-1) and 5.00 for Galatasaray (-1); at +1, they are 1.12 for Lille (+1) and 1.35 for Galatasaray (+1). At a handicap of 0, Lille (0) at 1.62 have shorter odds than Galatasaray (0) at 2.30.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.65 | -1.5 | 5.80 |
| 1.09 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| 3.00 | -1 | 5.00 |
| 1.12 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.62 | 0 | 2.30 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.55 has shorter odds than Both teams to score — No at 2.40, which requires at least one team to fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.55 |
| No | 2.40 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/25
|
29/100
|
67/100
|
| William Hill |
9/25
|
3/10
|
67/100
|
| 888sport |
9/25
|
3/10
|
67/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: Lille — 1.5 goals; Galatasaray — 1.5 goals.
Lille team goal total
Lille team goal totals: Under 0.5 — 4.60, Over 0.5 — 1.14; Under 1 — 3.30, Over 1 — 1.28. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are almost equal: Under 1.5 — 1.85, Over 1.5 — 1.90. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 at 1.40 has shorter odds than Over 2 at 2.70.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.60 | 0.5 | 1.14 |
| 3.30 | 1 | 1.28 |
| 1.85 | 1.5 | 1.90 |
| 1.40 | 2 | 2.70 |
Galatasaray team goal total
Galatasaray team goal totals: Under 0.5 — 3.45, Over 0.5 — 1.25; Under 1 — 2.45, Over 1 — 1.53. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 at 1.60 has shorter odds than Over 1.5 at 2.25, while at the 2-goal line, Under 2 at 1.17 is considerably shorter than Over 2 at 4.15.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.45 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.45 | 1 | 1.53 |
| 1.60 | 1.5 | 2.25 |
| 1.17 | 2 | 4.15 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Rade Obrenovic (Slovenia)
Matches — 14 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4;
Matches with a red card — 2 of 14;
Matches with a penalty — 3 of 14.
