Odds overview
Twente are clear favourites to win at 1.22, while the draw is available at 6.60 and a Lincoln Red Imps win at 12.50. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.42 is much shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.65. For Draw No Bet, Twente at 1.05 are much shorter than Lincoln Red Imps at 7.90; both options have a handicap of 0.
Why Twente are favourites
Bookmakers make the Dutch side clear favourites: Twente are available to win at 1.22, a Lincoln Red Imps win is quoted at 12.50, and the draw at 6.60.
- Twente regularly dominate the chance count: the Dutch side have had more shots than their opponents in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- The Gibraltar club have struggled at European level and sit 27th in the overall table after a 1:2 defeat in their opening match.
Form and Line-up Lincoln Red Imps
Lincoln Red Imps lost 1:2 away to Brann in the opening round of the UEFA Conference League.
They began their domestic league campaign with a 2:0 win over Europa, keeping a clean sheet, but have found it much harder to maintain that balance in European competition.
- Lincoln Red Imps have received more than 1.5 yellow cards in each of their last 10 home matches in the UEFA Conference League.
- Lincoln Red Imps have attempted fewer than 12.5 shots in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League home matches.
- The combined total of shots on target has exceeded 7.5 in 9 of Lincoln Red Imps' last 10 UEFA Conference League home matches.
Probable line-up (4-3-2-1): Jaylan Hankins, Nano, Christian Rutjens, Gabriel Cardoso, Julliani Eersteling, Mandi, Graeme Torrilla, Joe, Toni García, Álvaro Romero, Kike Gomez.
Form and Line-up Twente
Twente beat Thun 1:0 in their opening UEFA Conference League match, then lost 1:2 to Utrecht in the Eredivisie before travelling to Gibraltar.
Earlier in the domestic league, the Dutch side drew 1:1 with Fortuna Sittard. They have scored consistently against their opponents while keeping the overall goal tally down.
- Twente's opponents have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Twente have registered more than 3.5 shots on target in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Twente have not had more yellow cards than their opponents in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Joël Drommel, Bart van Rooij, Robin Pröpper, Ruud Nijstad, Aske Adelgaard, Ramiz Zerrouki, Daouda Weidmann, Daan Rots, Kristian Hlynsson, Sondre Ørjasæter, Wout Weghorst.
The teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Twente a 78% chance of winning: the average odds for a Twente win are 1.22, with fair odds of 1.28. For the draw, the corresponding figures are 14.4%, 6.60 and 6.94; for a Lincoln Red Imps win, they are 7.6%, 12.50 and 13.14.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Red Imps to win | 12.50 | 13.14 | 7.6% |
| Draw | 6.60 | 6.94 | 14.4% |
| Twente to win | 1.22 | 1.28 | 78.0% |
Total goals prediction
Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.42, compared with 2.65 for Under 2.5 goals. The odds are closer at the 3.5-goal line: Under 3.5 goals is 1.75 and Over 3.5 goals is 2.10.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.65 | 1.42 |
| 3.5 | 1.75 | 2.10 |
Handicap prediction
Twente (-1.5) at 1.60 are shorter than Lincoln Red Imps (+1.5) at 2.35. Likewise, Twente (-1) at 1.28 are favoured over Lincoln Red Imps (+1) at 3.35. On the handicap (0) line, Twente Draw No Bet at 1.05 are much shorter than Lincoln Red Imps Draw No Bet at 7.90.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 1.60 | |
| 2.35 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 1.28 | |
| 3.35 | 1 | |
| 7.90 | 0 | 1.05 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – No is available at 1.75, shorter than Both teams to score – Yes at 2.00. The market slightly favours at least one team failing to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.00 |
| No | 1.75 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
3/1
|
11/100
|
1/20
|
| William Hill |
16/5
|
11/100
|
1/20
|
| 888sport |
16/5
|
11/100
|
1/20
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: 0.5 goals for Lincoln Red Imps and 2.5 goals for Twente.
Lincoln Red Imps team goals
For Lincoln Red Imps' team goals, Under 0.5 at 1.80 is slightly shorter than Over 0.5 at 1.95. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is 1.25 compared with 3.60 for Over 1; at the 1.5-goal line, the respective odds are 1.12 and 4.90.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.80 | 0.5 | 1.95 |
| 1.25 | 1 | 3.60 |
| 1.12 | 1.5 | 4.90 |
Twente team goals
For Twente's team goals, Over 2 at 1.40 is much shorter than Under 2 at 2.70. At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.80 is slightly shorter than Under 2.5 at 1.95; at the 3-goal line, Under 3 at 1.55 is shorter than Over 3 at 2.40.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | 2 | 1.40 |
| 1.95 | 2.5 | 1.80 |
| 1.55 | 3 | 2.40 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Matteo Marcenaro (Italy)
Matches – 6 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 28;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows – 4;
Matches with a red card – 1 of 6;
Matches with a penalty – 1 of 6.
