Odds overview
Malaga are slight favourites: 2.45 for a home win versus 3.00 for an away win, with the draw at 3.30. Under 2.5 goals at 1.87 is marginally preferred to over 2.5 goals at 1.93. In the main handicap market, Malaga Draw No Bet at 1.70 is shorter than Levante Draw No Bet at 2.15.
Why Malaga are favourites for the match
Bookmakers favour the hosts: Malaga are available at 2.45 to win, Levante at 3.00, and the draw is priced at 3.30.
Malaga are playing at home and will look to bounce back after their heavy away defeat to Real Madrid (0:4).
Levante are yet to win away from home, having drawn with Osasuna (0:0) and lost to Espanyol (0:3). The visitors have not shown the same level away as they did at home, where they thrashed Betis (5:2).
Levante have defensive problems away from home — their opponents average 6.33 shots on target per match, the second-worst figure in the league.
Form and Line-up Malaga
Malaga have made a difficult start to the season: after an away defeat to Atletico Madrid (0:2), they drew at home with Deportivo (1:1) before suffering a heavy defeat to Real Madrid. The Andalusians are clearly struggling in attack, averaging just 1.33 shots on target per game — the lowest figure in La Liga.
New signings Adam Aznou, Juan Berrocal and Jens Cajuste have already joined training, but their inclusion in the starting line-up remains in doubt due to their short period of adaptation.
Key numbers:
Malaga have scored one goal or fewer in 9 of their last 10 home La Liga matches
In each of their last 10 home La Liga matches, Malaga have had no more than 4 shots on target
No more than 5 yellow cards have been shown in each of Malaga's last 10 La Liga matches
Probable Malaga line-up (4-4-2): Alfonso Herrero — Carlos Puga — Einar Galilea — Antonio Recio — Rafa Garrido — David Larrubia — Izan Merino — Rafa Rodriguez — Joaquin Munoz — Carlos Dotor — Chupe.
Absentees: Adrian Nino, Diego Murillo, Fernando Calero, Dani Lorenzo (all injured).
Form and Line-up Levante
The Valencians began with a heavy defeat to Espanyol (0:3), then played out a goalless draw with Osasuna, but showed their attacking quality in the previous round by beating Betis 5:2 thanks to a brace from Roger Brugue and goals from Enzo Bardeli and Jon Ander Olasagasti. However, Levante continue to have defensive problems away from home: their opponents average 6.33 shots on target per match, the second-worst figure in La Liga.
Key numbers:
Levante's opponents have had at least 4 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 away La Liga matches
In 8 of Levante's last 10 away La Liga matches, the teams have had at least 8 shots on target
No more than 5 yellow cards have been shown in each of Levante's last 10 La Liga matches
Probable Levante line-up (4-1-4-1): Mathew Ryan — Nacho Perez — Adrian de la Fuente — Aissa Mandi — Manu Sanchez — Oriol Rey — Roger Brugue — Jon Ander Olasagasti — Enzo Bardeli — Thiago Fernandez — Ivan Romero.
Absentees: —.
Team chances
A home win is available at 2.45, with fair odds of 2.56 and a probability of 39.1%. The figures for the draw are 3.30, 3.45 and 29.0%, while an away win is at 3.00, 3.13 and 31.9%: Malaga hold a slight edge.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
Malaga win | 2.45 | 2.56 | 39.1% |
Draw | 3.30 | 3.45 | 29.0% |
Levante win | 3.00 | 3.13 | 31.9% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals at 1.87 is marginally shorter than over 2.5 goals at 1.93. On the 3.5-goal line, under 3.5 goals at 1.33 is considerably preferred to over 3.5 goals at 3.05.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.87 | 1.93 |
3.5 | 1.33 | 3.05 |
Handicap prediction
Malaga (-1.5) at 4.40 is shorter than Levante (-1.5) at 5.20. On the 1.5 line, Malaga (+1.5) at 1.11 and Levante (+1.5) at 1.16 are close; on the -1 line, Malaga (-1) are at 3.70 and Levante (-1) at 4.50. For the +1 handicap, Malaga (+1) are offered at 1.15 and Levante (+1) at 1.23, while Malaga Draw No Bet at 1.70 is considerably shorter than Levante Draw No Bet at 2.15.
Home | Handicap | Away |
4.40 | -1.5 | 5.20 |
1.11 | 1.5 | 1.16 |
3.70 | -1 | 4.50 |
1.15 | 1 | 1.23 |
1.70 | 0 | 2.15 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.68 is shorter than Both teams to score - No at 2.10, so the market is more likely to expect both teams to score than a scenario in which at least one side fails to score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.68 |
No | 2.10 |
Double chance prediction
In the double-chance market, 12 at 1.33 is the shortest option, followed by 1X at 1.40, while X2 at 1.55 is longer.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.40 | 1.33 | 1.55 |
Team total prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Malaga — 1.5 goals, Levante — 1 goal.
Malaga team total
Malaga team total: over 0.5 goals at 1.25 is shorter than under 0.5 goals at 3.60. On the 1-goal line, over 1 goal at 1.52 is preferred to under 1 goal at 2.45; on the 1.5-goal line, under 1.5 goals at 1.60 is shorter than over 1.5 goals at 2.25. For the 2-goal line, under 2 goals at 1.23 is considerably shorter than over 2 goals at 3.75.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.60 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
2.45 | 1 | 1.52 |
1.60 | 1.5 | 2.25 |
1.23 | 2 | 3.75 |
Levante team total
Levante team total: over 0.5 goals at 1.30 is shorter than under 0.5 goals at 3.15. On the 1-goal line, over 1 goal at 1.68 is preferred to under 1 goal at 2.12, while on the 1.5-goal line, under 1.5 goals at 1.50 is shorter than over 1.5 goals at 2.55.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.15 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
2.12 | 1 | 1.68 |
1.50 | 1.5 | 2.55 |
