Betting Tip
Mjallby AIF go into the start of Champions League qualifying on a poor run — they have not won since 14 May. Seven matches in the Swedish league and one friendly against FC Copenhagen (3:5) point to an emerging crisis. On the other hand, the Scandinavian champions have failed to score only twice in that spell — including in the most recent round against Vasteras SK (0:0). Mjallby AIF have a decent low block: their 3-4-3 system gives them control in midfield, while the wide areas constantly generate chances going forward. However, that does not always translate into goals: at home against Vasteras SK, their advantage in goalscoring situations was huge — 1.80-0.68 in xG and 16-7 in shots. It seems Aksum's side know how to keep everything under control, but problems with finishing are leaving Mjallby AIF without wins.
Lincoln Red Imps FC “woke from hibernation” two weeks ago. Before their clashes with Andorra's Inter Club d'Escaldes (4:2 on aggregate), the Gibraltar champions had not played since 25 April — that lack of match practice was clear to the naked eye. Pavon's side failed away from home: the match ended in a draw (1:1), but Lincoln Red Imps FC did not deserve that outcome (7-31 in shots). In Sweden, Lincoln Red Imps FC will not be able to defend compactly: they play in a 4-3-3 system, putting plenty of emphasis on vertical passes. Against top-level opposition, the speed of their attacks will drop, while the quality of the squad will deprive the underdogs of any chances.
Lincoln Red Imps FC trail Mjallby AIF by more than 10 times in transfer value — EUR2.2 million against EUR25.8 million. The Swedish champions will end their poor run — they need to wake up right now. Fortunately, the opposition's form allows for that.