Odds overview
Napoli are favourites at around 1.60 to win, while a draw is 4.50 and a Bodø/Glimt win is 4.90. Over 2.5 goals is much shorter than Under 2.5 goals — 1.50 against 2.55. Napoli (-1.5) is 2.45, while Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) is 8.00.
Why Napoli are favourites
Bookmakers favour Napoli: a home win is offered at 1.60, a Bodø/Glimt win at 4.90 and a draw at 4.50. The following factors favour the Italian side:
- The visitors' vulnerability away from home: Bodø/Glimt's opponents have had more than 4.5 shots on target in each of their last 10 away Champions League matches, pointing to regular pressure on the Norwegian side's defence.
- Status and home advantage: although Napoli began the league phase with two defeats, a 1:4 goal difference and 32nd place in the standings, playing at home keeps them favourites.
Form and Line-up Napoli
Napoli come into this match after difficult away trips: they lost 1:3 to Villarreal in the Champions League on 13 October and 0:1 to Venice in Serie A on 17 October. According to head coach Massimiliano Allegri, the team lost their tactical shape and became stretched across the pitch against the Spanish side.
Their reduced attacking output is also reflected in their competition statistics: Napoli average just 0.5 goals per game in the Champions League.
- Napoli received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in each of their last 10 home Champions League matches.
- More than 21.5 fouls were recorded in 9 of Napoli's last 10 home Champions League matches.
- Napoli took more than 4.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 home Champions League matches.
Probable Napoli line-up (3-4-2-1): Vanja Milinković-Savić, Rafael Marín, Amir Rrahmani, Benoît Badiashile, Matteo Politano, Kevin De Bruyne, Billy Gilmour, Scott McTominay, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Giovane Santana do Nascimento, Rasmus Højlund.
Form and Line-up Bodø/Glimt
Bodø/Glimt come into the match on the back of good results: they beat Borussia Dortmund 1:0 at home in the Champions League on 14 October, then defeated HamKam 2:0 in the Norwegian league on 17 October.
The trip to Naples on 20 October 2026 comes just three days after their domestic league match, leaving the visitors little time to recover.
- More than 2.5 goals were scored in each of Bodø/Glimt's last 10 away Champions League matches.
- Bodø/Glimt's opponents took more than 4.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 away Champions League matches.
- Bodø/Glimt committed fewer than 12.5 fouls in 9 of their last 10 away Champions League matches.
Probable Bodø/Glimt line-up (4-3-3): Nikita Chaikin, Villads Nielsen, Odin Lurås Bjørtuft, Fredrik Sjøvold, Isak Dybvik Määttä, Patrick Berg, Sondre Auklend, Ulrik Saltnes, Ole Didrik Blomberg, Ola Brynhildsen, Joel Mvuka.
Teams' chances
A Napoli win is offered at 1.60, with fair odds of 1.68 and a 59.4% probability. A draw is quoted at 4.50, with fair odds of 4.73 and a 21.1% probability; a Bodø/Glimt win is 4.90, with fair odds of 5.15 and a 19.4% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli win | 1.60 | 1.68 | 59.4% |
| Draw | 4.50 | 4.73 | 21.1% |
| Bodø/Glimt win | 4.90 | 5.15 | 19.4% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Under is available at 2.55 and Over at 1.50. The odds are closer at 3.5 goals: Under is 1.67 and Over is 2.20.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.55 | 1.50 |
| 3.5 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
Handicap betting
Napoli (-1.5) are quoted at 2.45, compared with 8.00 for Bodø/Glimt (-1.5). At the +1.5 line, the odds are 1.04 for Napoli (+1.5) and 1.50 for Bodø/Glimt (+1.5); at the -1 line, they are 1.95 and 6.90 respectively. Napoli (+1) are 1.06 and Bodø/Glimt (+1) are 1.85, while Napoli (0) are 1.25 against 3.55 for Bodø/Glimt (0) on the zero handicap.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.45 | -1.5 | 8.00 |
| 1.04 | 1.5 | 1.50 |
| 1.95 | -1 | 6.90 |
| 1.06 | 1 | 1.85 |
| 1.25 | 0 | 3.55 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score — Yes is 1.55, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will not score, is 2.35.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.55 |
| No | 2.35 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
17/100
|
11/50
|
5/4
|
| William Hill |
9/50
|
11/50
|
13/10
|
| 888sport |
9/50
|
11/50
|
13/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Napoli — 2 goals; Bodø/Glimt — 1 goal.
Napoli total goals
For Napoli's team total, Under 0.5 goals is 7.20 and Over 0.5 is 1.05; at 1.5 goals, the respective odds are 2.45 and 1.52. At the 2-goal line, the odds are almost equal: Under 2 is 1.88 and Over 2 is 1.87. For 2.5 goals, Under is 1.52 and Over is 2.45.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.20 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
| 2.45 | 1.5 | 1.52 |
| 1.88 | 2 | 1.87 |
| 1.52 | 2.5 | 2.45 |
Bodø/Glimt total goals
For Bodø/Glimt's team total, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 2.65 and Over 0.5 at 1.42. At the 1-goal line, Under is 1.83 and Over is 1.93; at 1.5 goals, the respective odds are 1.40 and 2.80.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 0.5 | 1.42 |
| 1.83 | 1 | 1.93 |
| 1.40 | 1.5 | 2.80 |
Who Will Referee the Match
José María Sánchez Martínez (Spain)
Matches — 15 (international fixtures, 2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 26;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.5;
Matches with a red card — 3 out of 15;
Matches with a penalty — 5 out of 15.
