Odds overview
Newcastle United are favourites: the home win is around 1.60, the draw around 4.30 and the away win around 5.10. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.65, compared with 2.25 for Under 2.5. In the handicap markets, Newcastle United (-1.5) at 2.50 is considerably shorter than Hull City (-1.5) at 8.50.
Why Newcastle United are favourites
A Newcastle United win is quoted at 1.60, the draw is available at 4.30 and a Hull City win at 5.10.
• Hull City have failed to win 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches.
• Away from home, the visitors have been outshot on target by their opponents in all of their last 10 matches in the competition.
Form and Line-up Newcastle United
In their away match against Leeds United on 14 September 2026, Newcastle United lost 1:4. Deflections for two goals, Nico Gonzalez's early enforced substitution in the first half and losses of possession in dangerous areas affected the result. At home, the Magpies maintain their structure: in all of their last 10 Premier League home matches, Newcastle United have been caught offside no more than twice, while their opponents have consistently received at least two yellow cards.
- At least nine shots on target were recorded in 8 of Newcastle United's last 10 Premier League home matches.
- Referees showed at least four yellow cards in 9 of Newcastle United's last 10 Premier League home matches.
- Newcastle United committed at least 21 fouls in 8 of their last 10 league home matches.
Probable Newcastle United line-up (4-2-3-1): Lukas Hornicek, Lewis Hall, Sven Botman, Malick Thiaw, Amar Dedic, Lewis Miley, Sean Steer, Jacob Murphy, Matias Fernandez-Pardo, Harvey Barnes, Yoane Wissa
Unavailable: Anthony Elanga, Dan Burn, Joelinton, William Osula (injured), Jacob Ramsey, Nico Gonzalez (doubtful)
Form and Line-up Hull City
On 12 September, Hull City drew 2:2 away to Chelsea. The team conceded first but then took the lead thanks to Mohamed Belloumi's brace and could not hold on to their winning position. The visitors also find it difficult to control the attack away from home: in 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches, the Tigers have had fewer shots than their opponents or no more than them.
- At least 10 corners were taken in 8 of Hull City's last 10 Premier League away matches.
- Hull City received at least two yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 Premier League matches.
- No more than 22 fouls were recorded in 9 of Hull City's last 10 Premier League matches.
Probable Hull City line-up (5-4-1): Konstantinos Tzolakis, Lewie Coyle, Semi Ajayi, John Egan, Lucas Herrington, Ryan Giles, Mohamed Belloumi, Matt Crooks, Regan Slater, Elliot Stroud, Oliver McBurnie
Unavailable: Charlie Hughes, Darko Gyabi, Hidemasa Morita, Ilyas Ansah, Jack Butland, Nobel Mendy (injured), Paddy McNair (doubtful)
Team chances
The home win has average odds of 1.60; the fair odds are 1.69, with a probability of 59.3%. The corresponding figures for the draw are 4.30, 4.53 and 22.1%, and for the away win 5.10, 5.37 and 18.6%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United win | 1.60 | 1.69 | 59.3% |
| Draw | 4.30 | 4.53 | 22.1% |
| Hull City win | 5.10 | 5.37 | 18.6% |
Total goals prediction
For the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 is available at 2.25 and Over 2.5 at 1.65, indicating greater interest in the higher-scoring option. The picture is reversed for 3.5: Under 3.5 is at 1.50 and Over 3.5 at 2.45.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.25 | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 1.50 | 2.45 |
Handicap prediction
Newcastle United (-1.5) is available at 2.50 and Hull City (-1.5) at 8.50. On the 1.5 line, Newcastle United (+1.5) is at 1.04, compared with 1.50 for Hull City (+1.5). For the -1 handicap, the odds are 1.97 for Newcastle United (-1) and 7.30 for Hull City (-1); for +1, they are 1.05 for Newcastle United (+1) and 1.83 for Hull City (+1). On the zero line, Newcastle United Draw No Bet is at 1.25 and Hull City Draw No Bet at 3.65.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.50 | -1.5 | 8.50 |
| 1.04 | 1.5 | 1.50 |
| 1.97 | -1 | 7.30 |
| 1.05 | 1 | 1.83 |
| 1.25 | 0 | 3.65 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.65, while Both teams to score - No is at 2.15. The shorter odds for the first option suggest that both teams scoring is considered more likely; the second option means that at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.65 |
| No | 2.15 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
17/100
|
1/5
|
13/10
|
| 888sport |
17/100
|
11/50
|
13/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Newcastle United — 2 goals; Hull City — 1 goal.
Newcastle United team total
Newcastle United team total: Under 0.5 is at 6.30 and Over 0.5 at 1.07; for the 1.5 line, the odds are 2.25 for Under and 1.62 for Over. For the 2 line, Under is 1.70 and Over 2.10; for 2.5, they are 1.40 and 2.70 respectively.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.30 | 0.5 | 1.07 |
| 2.25 | 1.5 | 1.62 |
| 1.70 | 2 | 2.10 |
| 1.40 | 2.5 | 2.70 |
Hull City team total
Hull City team total: for the 0.5 line, Under is at 2.55 and Over at 1.48. For the 1 line, the odds are 1.65 for Under and 2.17 for Over; for 1.5, they are 1.30 for Under and 3.20 for Over.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.55 | 0.5 | 1.48 |
| 1.65 | 1 | 2.17 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 3.20 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Tony Harrington (England)
Matches — 14 (Premier League, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 21;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 3.1;
Matches with red cards — 2 of 14;
Matches with penalties — 2 of 14.
