Odds overview
In the main match-winner market, Salzburg to win at 1.22 look clear favourites, with the draw at 6.20 and Mjällby to win at 11.00. In the main totals line, Over 2.5 is priced at 1.45, while Under 2.5 is available at 2.55. On the handicap, Salzburg (-1.5) at 1.65 is priced lower than Mjällby (+1.5) at 2.17.
Why Salzburg are favourites for the match
Bookmakers rate Salzburg as clear favourites: the home win is priced at 1.22, while Mjällby are 11.00 to win.
The Austrian club claimed a 1:0 away win in the first match, so they have an advantage in the tie going into the second leg.
In 8 of Salzburg's last 10 Europa League matches, their opponents took no more than 4 corners.
Form and Line-up Salzburg
The first meeting in Sweden ended in a 1:0 win for the Austrians thanks to an opposition own goal in stoppage time. However, the team have problems on the defensive flanks ahead of the second leg: Frans Kratzig is injured, Leandro Morgalla was a doubt, and Stefan Lainer has only just resumed full training with the squad.
At home in the Europa League, Salzburg have consistently outshot their opponents — they have not lost the shot count in their last 10 matches in the tournament. Their home games also feature a high frequency of offsides: Over 3.5 offsides landed in 9 of their last 10 matches.
Key numbers:
In 9 of their last 10 home Europa League matches, Salzburg had at least 13 shots on goal.
In their last 10 Europa League matches, Salzburg had under 2.5 yellow cards.
In 8 of Salzburg's last 10 Europa League matches, no more than 10 corners were taken.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): C. Zawieschitzky — N. Veratschnig — K. Boma — V. Zabransky — D. Schmid — B. Mazurek — A. Barry — D. Redzic — Y. Vertessen — E. Baidoo — H. Tabakovic.
Frans Kratzig will miss the match through injury, while Leandro Morgalla's involvement is doubtful.
Form and Line-up Mjällby
Despite a 0:1 defeat in the first match because of a late own goal, goalkeeper Robin Wallinder noted that Mjällby hope to keep the same energy and focus in the second leg.
Key numbers:
In 9 of Mjällby's last 10 matches in all competitions, no more than three goals were scored.
In 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions, Mjällby scored no more than one goal.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): R. Wallinder — T. Miettinen — A. Iqbal — T. Pettersson — M. Nilsson — V. Gustafson — J. Gustavsson — A. Samuelsen — J. Kjaer — J. Bergström — O. Lindberg
Timo Stavitski is out of the squad ahead of the second leg.
Team chances
Salzburg to win: average odds of 1.22, a no-margin estimate of 1.31 and a probability of 76.5%. The draw is priced at 6.20 with a no-margin estimate of 6.65 and a probability of 15%, while Mjällby to win is 11.00, 11.79 and 8.5% respectively.
Outcome | Average odds | Average odds without margin | No-margin probability |
Salzburg to win | 1.22 | 1.31 | 76.5% |
Draw | 6.20 | 6.65 | 15.0% |
Mjällby to win | 11.00 | 11.79 | 8.5% |
Total goals prediction
On the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 is available at 2.55 and Over 2.5 at 1.45, which rates a high-scoring scenario noticeably higher. At the 3.5 mark, Under 3.5 is priced lower at 1.65, compared with 2.15 for Over 3.5.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.55 | 1.45 |
3.5 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
Handicap prediction
Salzburg (-1.5) is available at 1.65, while Mjällby (+1.5) is 2.17. On the 1 line, Salzburg (-1) are priced at 1.30 and Mjällby (+1) at 3.10. The gap is even wider on the draw-no-bet line: Salzburg (0) at 1.05 versus Mjällby (0) at 7.40.
Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
1.65 | -1.5 | — |
— | 1.5 | 2.17 |
1.30 | -1 | — |
— | 1 | 3.10 |
1.05 | 0 | 7.40 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - No at 1.75 is priced lower than Both teams to score - Yes at 2.00, so the market gives more weight to at least one team failing to score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 2.00 |
No | 1.75 |
Double chance prediction
1X at 1.02 is the most likely double-chance option. 12 is priced at 1.10, while X2 at 4.05 is notably less likely.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.02 | 1.10 | 4.05 |
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Salzburg — 2.5 goals, Mjällby — 0.5 goals.
Salzburg team total
Salzburg: on the 2 line, Under 2 is priced at 2.55 and Over 2 at 1.45. At the 2.5 mark, the odds are close: Under 2.5 at 1.82 and Over 2.5 at 1.88. On the 3 line, Under 3 is priced lower at 1.45, compared with 2.55 for Over 3.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.55 | 2 | 1.45 |
1.82 | 2.5 | 1.88 |
1.45 | 3 | 2.55 |
Mjällby team total
Mjällby: on the 0.5 line, Under 0.5 is available at 1.82 and Over 0.5 at 1.88. Under 1 is priced at 1.27 versus 3.40 for Over 1, while Under 1.5 is 1.14 versus 4.60 for Over 1.5.
Under | Team total | Over |
1.82 | 0.5 | 1.88 |
1.27 | 1 | 3.40 |
1.14 | 1.5 | 4.60 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Irfan Peljto (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
Matches – 9 (international matches, 2025–2026);
Average fouls per match – 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 4.1;
Matches with a red card – 3 out of 9;
Matches with a penalty – 4 out of 9.
