Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Jagiellonia Bialystok are favourites: the away win is priced at 1.90, while the home win and draw are 3.80 and 3.65. In the main total market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.82 is slightly preferred to Over 2.5 goals at 1.93. Jagiellonia Bialystok Draw No Bet at 1.40 looks considerably more likely than Iberia 1999 Draw No Bet at 2.70.
Why Jagiellonia are favourites
Bookmakers regard Jagiellonia as clear favourites: an away win is priced at 1.90, while an Iberia win is 3.80 and the draw is 3.65. Jagiellonia double chance at 1.25 covers them not losing. The Polish club's advantage is explained by several key factors.
- First-leg result. Jagiellonia thrashed Iberia 4:0 and hold a comfortable advantage ahead of the second leg.
- Difference in quality. Jagiellonia are a more experienced team who regularly play in European competition.
- Iberia's weak attack. The hosts average 0.33 goals per game in the Europa League.
- Before facing Iberia, the Polish club eliminated Rangers — one of Europe's top clubs.
Form and Line-up Iberia 1999
After their 0:4 defeat in Poland, the team also lost 3:4 to Torpedo in the domestic league. Iberia had a week to rest, as their match against Dinamo Tbilisi was postponed. Even before facing Jagiellonia, the Georgian club had secured participation in the autumn stage of European competition.
Key numbers:
- Iberia have conceded in 9 of their last 10 matches.
- In 8 of their last 10 games, the opponents scored fewer than 3 goals.
- At least two goals were scored in 9 of the last 10 games — though mostly by the opposition.
Probable Iberia 1999 line-up (4-3-3): Giorgi Makaridze — Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava, Vahid Selimovic, Aleksandre Amisulashvili, Giorgi Kobuladze — Nikoloz Dadiani, Ibrahim Alhassan, Bakar Kardava — Steven Ende, Nika Sikharulashvili, Zviad Natchkebia.
Absentees: —.
Form and Line-up Jagiellonia Bialystok
Before the first meeting with Iberia, the Polish club eliminated Rangers, drawing 1:1 away and winning 2:1 at home in the previous round of the competition. Jagiellonia also had a week to rest, as their match against Lech was postponed.
Key numbers:
- Fewer than 4 yellow cards were shown in 6 of the last 8 matches.
- Jagiellonia have scored in 9 of their last 10 matches.
- Fewer than 10 corners were taken in 7 of the previous 8 games.
Probable Jagiellonia Bialystok line-up (4-3-3): Slawomir Abramowicz — Norbert Wojtuszek, Bernardo Vital, Yuki Kobayashi, Guilherme Montoia — Taras Romanczuk, Anders Klinge, Jesus Imaz — Jeremy Agbonifo, Nick Prelec, Kajetan Szmyt.
Absentees: —.
Team chances
The home win is available at 3.80; the no-margin estimate is 4.04 and 24.7%. The draw is priced at 3.65, with a no-margin estimate of 3.88 and a probability of 25.8%. The away win at 1.90 is the most likely outcome: no-margin estimate 2.02, probability 49.5%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average no-margin odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia 1999 to win | 3.80 | 4.04 | 24.7% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.88 | 25.8% |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok to win | 1.90 | 2.02 | 49.5% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under at 1.82 is priced slightly lower than Over at 1.93. At the 3.5-goal line, Under at 1.30 is substantially preferred to Over at 3.10.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.82 | 1.93 |
| 3.5 | 1.30 | 3.10 |
Handicap prediction
Iberia 1999 (-1.5) are priced at 7.40, while Jagiellonia Bialystok (-1.5) are 3.15. At the 1.5 line, Iberia 1999 (+1.5) are 1.30 and Jagiellonia Bialystok (+1.5) are 1.05. At the -1 line, Iberia 1999 (-1) are priced at 6.40 against 2.60 for Jagiellonia Bialystok (-1); at the +1 line, they are 1.45 and 1.07 respectively. Iberia 1999 Draw No Bet at 2.70 is priced higher than Jagiellonia Bialystok Draw No Bet at 1.40.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.40 | -1.5 | 3.15 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 1.05 |
| 6.40 | -1 | 2.60 |
| 1.45 | 1 | 1.07 |
| 2.70 | 0 | 1.40 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is priced at 1.82, while Both teams to score - No is 1.92: the market slightly favours both teams scoring, although the option of at least one team not scoring is similarly priced.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.82 |
| No | 1.92 |
Double chance prediction
1X is available at 1.85, while 12 and X2 are priced equally at 1.25.
| 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|
17/20
|
1/4
|
1/4
|
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Iberia 1999 — 1 goal; Jagiellonia Bialystok — 1.5 goals.
Iberia 1999 team total
Iberia 1999: Under 0.5 goals is priced at 2.50, Over 0.5 goals at 1.47. At the 1-goal line, Under at 1.67 is preferred to Over at 2.08; at 1.5, Under is priced at 1.30 against 3.15 for Over.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.50 | 0.5 | 1.47 |
| 1.67 | 1 | 2.08 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 3.15 |
Jagiellonia Bialystok team total
Jagiellonia Bialystok: Under 0.5 goals is available at 4.10, Over 0.5 goals at 1.18. At the 1-goal line, Under is 3.00 and Over is 1.35; at 1.5, they are 1.72 and 1.98 respectively. At the 2-goal line, Under is priced at 1.35 against 3.00 for Over.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.10 | 0.5 | 1.18 |
| 3.00 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.72 | 1.5 | 1.98 |
| 1.35 | 2 | 3.00 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Simone Sozza (Italy)
Matches — 9 (international matches, 2025–2026);
Average fouls per match — 25;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 3.8;
Matches with red cards — 3 of 9;
Matches with penalties — 5 of 9.
