Odds overview
Stuttgart to win at 1.50 looks like a clear favourite's outcome: the draw is available at 5.00 and Cologne to win at 5.60. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.37 is considerably favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.85. Stuttgart (-1.5) at 2.18 is quoted substantially shorter than Cologne (-1.5) at 8.50.
Why Stuttgart are favourites for the match
Bookmakers give the hosts a clear advantage: Stuttgart to win is available at 1.50, the draw at 5.00 and Cologne to win at 5.60.
Stuttgart are traditionally strong at home and have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
Cologne consistently struggle away from home. They are without a win in 10 consecutive away league matches.
Form and Line-up Stuttgart
Stuttgart began the season with a 1:5 defeat to Bayern Munich, although they held the reigning champions level for a long time after Josha Vagnoman's goal.
At their own ground, however, the hosts control matches reliably: across Stuttgart's last 10 Bundesliga home games, their opponents registered no more than 5 shots on target and were caught offside no more than twice per match.
Key numbers:
Stuttgart have taken at least 5 corners in 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
No more than 4 yellow cards in total have been shown in 8 of Stuttgart's last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
Stuttgart have not been outshot on target in their last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
Probable Stuttgart line-up (3-4-2-1): Fabian Bredlow — Finn Jeltsch — Jeff Chabot — Ramon Hendriks — Josha Vagnoman — Grisha Promel — Angelo Stiller — Maximilian Mittelstadt — Deniz Undav — Tiago Tomas — Dzenan Pejcinovic.
Form and Line-up Cologne
Cologne began with an emotional 3:2 win over Hoffenheim, in which Thijs Dallinga came off the bench in his debut match and turned the game around with two goals.
However, the team's away statistics are concerning: Cologne are without an away win in 13 consecutive matches, despite trying to remain disciplined by committing 10 fouls or fewer in 9 of their last 10 away games.
Key numbers:
Cologne have taken at least 5 corners in 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
No more than 20 fouls have been recorded in 9 of Cologne's last 10 Bundesliga away matches.
Cologne have registered no more than 4 shots on target in 8 of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
Probable Cologne line-up (4-2-3-1): Marvin Schwabe — Alessio Castro-Montes — Jahmai Simpson-Pusey — Luka Lochoshvili — Gideon Mensah — Paul Okon-Engstler — Tom Krauss — Isak Johannesson — Jan Thielmann — Ragnar Ache — Said El Mala.
Team chances
Stuttgart to win is available at 1.50; the fair odds are 1.57, with a 63.8% probability. The draw at 5.00 corresponds to fair odds of 5.23 and 19.1%, while Cologne to win at 5.60 corresponds to 5.85 and 17.1%: the visitors' chances are lower than those of a draw.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
Stuttgart to win | 1.50 | 1.57 | 63.8% |
Draw | 5.00 | 5.23 | 19.1% |
Cologne to win | 5.60 | 5.85 | 17.1% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.37 is quoted considerably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.85. At 3.5, the odds are almost equal: Under 3.5 goals is 1.85 and Over 3.5 goals is 1.95.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.85 | 1.37 |
3.5 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
Handicap prediction
Stuttgart (-1.5) at 2.18 is quoted much shorter than Cologne (-1.5) at 8.50. At the 1.5 line, Stuttgart (+1.5) is 1.03 versus 1.65 for Cologne (+1.5). For the -1 line, Stuttgart (-1) is 1.75 and Cologne (-1) is 7.20; for the 1 line, Stuttgart (+1) is 1.05 and Cologne (+1) is 2.08. In the Draw No Bet market, Stuttgart at 1.20 is considerably favoured over Cologne at 4.20.
Stuttgart | Handicap | Cologne |
2.18 | -1.5 | 8.50 |
1.03 | 1.5 | 1.65 |
1.75 | -1 | 7.20 |
1.05 | 1 | 2.08 |
1.20 | 0 | 4.20 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.52 is quoted shorter than Both teams to score - No at 2.45, meaning that the outcome in which at least one team fails to score is considered less likely.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.52 |
No | 2.45 |
Double chance prediction
1X at 1.17 and 12 at 1.19 are rated almost equally and considerably shorter than X2 at 2.60; the outcome without a home win is quoted longer.
1X | 12 | X2 |
17/100
|
19/100
|
8/5
|
Team totals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Stuttgart — 2.5 goals, Cologne — 1 goal.
Stuttgart team total
Stuttgart team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.04 is quoted much shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 8.00. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 is 1.63 versus 2.20 for Under 2; at 2.5, Under 2.5 goals at 1.70 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.10. At the 3-goal line, Under 3 is 1.35 and Over 3 is 2.95.
Under | Team total | Over |
8.00 | 0.5 | 1.04 |
2.20 | 2 | 1.63 |
1.70 | 2.5 | 2.10 |
1.35 | 3 | 2.95 |
Cologne team total
Cologne team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.40 is quoted shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 2.65. At the 1-goal line, the odds are close: Under 1 is 1.80 and Over 1 is 1.95. At 1.5, Under 1.5 goals at 1.37 is considerably favoured over Over 1.5 goals at 2.85.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.65 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
1.80 | 1 | 1.95 |
1.37 | 1.5 | 2.85 |
