Odds overview
Bayer Leverkusen are clear favourites: the away win is 1.58, compared with 5.00 for an Elversberg win and 4.70 for the draw. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.50, while Under 2.5 goals is 2.55. In the main handicap market, Bayer Leverkusen Draw No Bet at 1.25 is considerably shorter than Elversberg Draw No Bet at 3.65.
Why Bayer Leverkusen are favourites
Bookmakers give the visitors a clear advantage: Bayer Leverkusen to win is available at 1.58 (around a 60.5% probability without margin), while an Elversberg win is offered at 5.00 and the draw at 4.70.
Bayer Leverkusen begin their Bundesliga campaign with new head coach Carlos Martinez, who officially took charge on 1 July 2026.
The opponents have previously met twice in the German Cup, with one win each.
Nathan Tella returned from injury and scored in the first official match of the season.
Form and Line-up Elversberg
Francis Onyeka is playing for Elversberg on loan from Bayer Leverkusen: he came on as a substitute in the cup match against Duisburg and scored twice late in the game. At home, Elversberg keep opponents under control: they have not lost the shots-on-target count in 9 of their last 10 home matches, while their opponents have had fewer than 14.5 shot attempts, including blocked efforts, in 9 of 10 games.
Key numbers:
In 9 of 10 home matches in all competitions, Elversberg's opponents have taken no more than 5 corners.
In 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions, Elversberg and their opponents have been caught offside at least 3 times.
In 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions, Elversberg have not lost the corner count.
Probable Elversberg line-up (4-2-3-1): Nicolas Kristof — Jan Gyamerah — Maximilian Rohr — Florian Le Joncour — Lasse Gunther — Felix Keidel — Lukasz Poreba — Lukas Petkov — Noah Darvich — Cole Campbell — Luca Schnellbacher.
Form and Line-up Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen are disciplined in Bundesliga away matches: they have committed no more than 11 fouls in 9 of their last 10 away games. In addition, no more than four offsides have been recorded in Bayer Leverkusen's last 10 Bundesliga away matches.
Key numbers:
In 8 of 10 Bundesliga away matches, Bayer Leverkusen and their opponents have taken no more than 10 corners.
Bayer Leverkusen's opponents have received at least 2 yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
In 9 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 10 Bundesliga matches, there have been at least 10 shots on target.
Probable Bayer Leverkusen line-up (4-2-3-1): Janis Blaswich — Jarell Quansah — Facundo Medina — Edmond Tapsoba — Miguel Gutierrez — Nathan Tella — Aleix Garcia — Exequiel Palacios — Malik Tillman — Afonso Moreira — Christian Kofane.
Team chances
Elversberg to win: average odds of 5.00, fair odds of 5.23 and a 19.1% probability. Draw: 4.70, fair odds of 4.91 and a 20.3% probability. Bayer Leverkusen to win looks more likely: 1.58, with fair odds of 1.65 and a 60.5% probability.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
Elversberg to win | 5.00 | 5.23 | 19.1% |
Draw | 4.70 | 4.91 | 20.4% |
Bayer Leverkusen to win | 1.58 | 1.65 | 60.5% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.50 is considerably more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.55. The market is more cautious at 3.5: Under 3.5 goals is 1.68 and Over 3.5 goals is 2.18.
Under | Line | Over |
2.55 | 2.5 | 1.50 |
1.68 | 3.5 | 2.18 |
Handicap prediction
Elversberg (-1.5) is available at 8.50, while Bayer Leverkusen (-1.5) is 2.35. At the 1.5 handicap, Elversberg (+1.5) is 1.55 and Bayer Leverkusen (+1.5) is 1.03. For the -1 line, Elversberg (-1) at 7.30 and Bayer Leverkusen (-1) at 1.90 are available; for the +1 line, Elversberg (+1) is 1.90 and Bayer Leverkusen (+1) is 1.05. In the Draw No Bet market, Bayer Leverkusen at 1.25 is shorter than Elversberg at 3.65.
Elversberg | Handicap | Bayer Leverkusen |
8.50 | (-1.5) | 2.35 |
1.55 | (+1.5) | 1.03 |
7.30 | (-1) | 1.90 |
1.90 | (+1) | 1.05 |
3.65 | (0) | 1.25 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.55 looks more likely than Both teams to score - No at 2.35; the latter option means that at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.55 |
No | 2.35 |
Double chance prediction
The 12 double chance at 1.20 and X2 at 1.19 are rated almost identically and are considerably shorter than 1X at 2.40.
1X | 12 | X2 |
2.40 | 1.20 | 1.19 |
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Elversberg — 1 goal, Bayer Leverkusen — 2 goals.
Elversberg team total
Elversberg: Over 0.5 goals at 1.40 is more likely than Under 0.5 goals at 2.70. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is 1.78 and Over 1 is 1.98. At the 1.5-goal mark, Under 1.5 is 1.37 and Over 1.5 is 2.85.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.70 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
1.78 | 1 | 1.98 |
1.37 | 1.5 | 2.85 |
Bayer Leverkusen team total
Bayer Leverkusen: Over 0.5 goals at 1.05 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 7.00. At the 1.5-goal line, Over 1.5 is 1.50 versus Under 1.5 at 2.45. At the 2-goal mark, Under 2 at 1.90 and Over 2 at 1.85 are available, while at the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is 1.53 and Over 2.5 is 2.40.
Under | Team total | Over |
7.00 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
2.45 | 1.5 | 1.50 |
1.90 | 2 | 1.85 |
1.53 | 2.5 | 2.40 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Robert Hartmann (Germany)
Matches — 13 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 3.2;
Matches with red cards — 0 of 13;
Matches with penalties — 4 of 13.
