Odds Overview
Bayern Munich are clear favourites: the away win is available at 1.15, while the draw is quoted at 9.40 and the home win at 14.00. In the main 2.5-goal totals market, Over 2.5 at 1.16 is markedly favoured over Under 2.5 at 4.40.
Why Bayern Munich Are Favourites
An Elversberg win is available at 14.00, the draw at 9.40 and a Bayern Munich victory at 1.15.
• Bayern Munich lead the league for expected goals, averaging 3.03 xG per game, and have collected four points from the opening two matchdays with a goal difference of 5:1.
• Bayern Munich are unbeaten in 10 consecutive Bundesliga away matches, so the long 4.50 odds on 1X reflect the risk of backing the hosts.
Form and Line-up Elversberg
Elversberg have made an impressive start to the Bundesliga, recording two high-scoring wins: they first beat Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3:2 at home and then defeated Borussia Monchengladbach 4:3 away. They also progressed confidently through a round of the German Cup, beating MSV Duisburg 3:1.
The hosts are joint top of the league for average scoring with 3.5 goals per match, while in 8 of their last 10 home games they have allowed opponents no more than 12 shots at their goal.
- Elversberg have registered more shots on target than their opponents in 9 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
- In 9 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions, Elversberg's opponents have taken no more than 5 corners.
- Elversberg have had at least 13 shots, including blocked attempts, in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Elversberg line-up (4-2-3-1): Nicolas Kristof, Jan Gyamerah, Lukas Pinckert, Maximilian Rohr, Lasse Gunther, Felix Keidel, Lukasz Poreba, Lukas Petkov, Francis Onyeka, Cole Campbell, David Mokwa.
Moritz Seiffert and Tom Zimmerschied will not play.
Form and Line-up Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich come into the matchday after thrashing Bodo/Glimt 5:0 in the Champions League. In the Bundesliga, they regularly put pressure on the opposition goal, having recorded at least 5 shots on target in each of their last 10 matches.
- Bayern Munich have had at least 5 shots on target in each of their last 10 Bundesliga away matches.
- Bayern Munich have not lost any of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
- Bayern Munich's opponents have been caught offside no more than twice in 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
Probable Bayern Munich line-up (4-2-3-1): Manuel Neuer, Josip Stanisic, Jonathan Tah, Min-jae Kim, Nathaniel Brown, Joshua Kimmich, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Michael Olise, Ismael Saibari, Luis Diaz, Harry Kane
Serge Gnabry is doubtful.
Team Chances
Home win: average odds of 14.00, fair odds of 14.66 and a probability of 6.8%. The draw is quoted at 9.40, with fair odds of 9.85 and a probability of 10.2%. Away win is available at 1.15; the fair odds are 1.20 and the probability is 83%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elversberg win | 14.00 | 14.66 | 6.8% |
| Draw | 9.40 | 9.85 | 10.2% |
| Bayern Munich win | 1.15 | 1.20 | 83.0% |
Total Goals Prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.16 is substantially more likely than Under 2.5 at 4.40. For the 2-goal total, Over 2 is available at 1.05 versus 6.90 for Under 2. At the 3.5-goal mark, Over 3.5 also has the edge — 1.44 versus 2.60 for Under 3.5.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 4.40 | 1.16 |
| 2 | 6.90 | 1.05 |
| 3.5 | 2.60 | 1.44 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Elversberg — 1 goal; Bayern Munich — 3.5 goals.
Elversberg Team Total
Elversberg team total: at the 0.5-goal line, Over 0.5 is available at 1.50 and Under 0.5 at 2.43. At the 1-goal mark, Under 1 at 1.62 is favoured over Over 1 at 2.20, while at 1.5, Under 1.5 is available at 1.28 versus 3.30 for Over 1.5.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.43 | 0.5 | 1.50 |
| 1.62 | 1 | 2.20 |
| 1.28 | 1.5 | 3.30 |
Bayern Munich Team Total
Bayern Munich team total: Over 3 at 1.65 is quoted shorter than Under 3 at 2.15. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 has a slight edge — 1.74 versus 2.01 for Over 3.5; at the 4-goal mark, Under 4 is available at 1.45 and Over 4 at 2.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.15 | 3 | 1.65 |
| 1.74 | 3.5 | 2.01 |
| 1.45 | 4 | 2.65 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Sascha Stegemann (Germany)
Matches — 15 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 20;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 3.2;
Matches with red cards — 4 of 15;
Matches with penalties — 6 of 15.
