Odds overview
Trabzonspor are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.38, while the draw is 5.20 and a Hearts win is 7.40. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.47 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.60. The handicap odds also reflect the hosts' advantage: Trabzonspor (-1.5) are 1.93, compared with 1.87 for Hearts (+1.5).
Why Trabzonspor are favourites
Bookmakers make Trabzonspor clear favourites: a win for the Turkish club is offered at 1.38, compared with 5.20 for the draw and 7.40 for a Hearts win.
• Trabzonspor have started the competition well and sit third in the overall UEFA Conference League table with three points after the first round.
• The Turkish club share the lead for goals scored at the start of the UEFA Conference League, having scored four in their opening match.
• Hearts were thrashed 7:1 by Celtic in the Scottish Premiership that weekend; Celtic are comparable in quality to Trabzonspor.
Form and Line-up Trabzonspor
Thomas Reis has coached Trabzonspor since September — he has been at the club for just over a month, but things have gone very well under the new head coach so far. The team have won all four matches under him, scoring at least two goals each time. At home, Trabzonspor consistently put pressure on opponents down the flanks, with their full-backs pushing forward: they have taken at least four corners in 9 of their last 10 matches at Papara Park, while their opponents committed more than 11 fouls in 8 of those 10 games.
- In 8 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions, Trabzonspor's games have produced Under 3.5 goals.
- Trabzonspor's opponents have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 9 of the club's last 10 matches in all competitions.
- There have been fewer than 5.5 offsides in 8 of Trabzonspor's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Trabzonspor line-up (4-2-3-1): André Onana, Wagner Pina, Samet Akaydin, Cenk Özkacar, Melih Kabasakal, Ozan Tufan, Batista Mendy, Mohamed Salah, Benjamin Bouchouari, Aral Şimşir, Franculino Djú
Unavailable: Onuralp Çevikkan, Paul Onuachu, Ruslan Malinovskyi (injured)
Form and Line-up Hearts
Hearts were thrashed 1:7 by Celtic in Glasgow in the last round of the Scottish Premiership. It was their heaviest defeat under Wouter Vrancken. They have won only two of their nine away matches in the 2026/27 season. In the UEFA Conference League, the Edinburgh club sit 20th in the league-phase table after a 1:1 home draw with Nordsjælland.
- Hearts' opponents have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of the club's last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- There have been fewer than 3.5 offsides in 8 of Hearts' last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Referees have shown fewer than 5.5 yellow cards in 8 of Hearts' last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
Probable Hearts line-up (4-2-3-1): Bo Reus, Harry Milne, Christian Borchgrevink, Jamie McCart, Oisin McEntee, Kelvin Miller, Laurent Mendy, Josh McPake, Malachi Fagan-Walcott, Cláudio Braga, James Wilson
Unavailable: Ageu, Blair Spittal (injured)
The teams' chances
Trabzonspor to win at 1.38 corresponds to fair odds of 1.45 and a probability of 68.9%. The figures for a draw are 5.20, 5.47 and 18.3%; for a Hearts win, they are 7.40, 7.79 and 12.8%. The market rates a Trabzonspor win much more highly.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor win | 1.38 | 1.45 | 68.9% |
| Draw | 5.20 | 5.47 | 18.3% |
| Hearts win | 7.40 | 7.79 | 12.8% |
Total goals prediction
Over 2.5 goals at 1.47 looks more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.60. At the 3.5-goal line, the balance shifts towards Under 3.5 at 1.70, compared with 2.15 for Over 3.5.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.60 | 1.47 |
| 3.5 | 1.70 | 2.15 |
Handicap prediction
Trabzonspor (-1.5) at 1.93 are rated slightly higher than Hearts (+1.5) at 1.87. At the 1-goal handicap line, Trabzonspor (-1) at 1.53 are clearly favoured over Hearts (+1) at 2.40. Trabzonspor Draw No Bet (0) at 1.12 have much shorter odds than Hearts Draw No Bet (0) at 5.10.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.93 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.87 | |
| 1.53 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.40 | |
| 1.12 | 0 | 5.10 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes at 1.70 is favoured over Both teams to score – No at 2.08: the market sees goals from both sides as more likely, while No means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.70 |
| No | 2.08 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
2/25
|
17/100
|
9/4
|
| William Hill |
1/10
|
17/100
|
19/10
|
| 888sport |
1/10
|
17/100
|
19/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Trabzonspor — 2.5 goals; Hearts — 0.5 goals.
Trabzonspor team goals
For Trabzonspor's team total, Over 2 goals at 1.63 is favoured over Under 2 goals at 2.20. At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 has shorter odds at 1.67, compared with 2.13 for Over 2.5; at the 3-goal line, Under 3 at 1.35 is considerably more likely than Over 3 at 2.95.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.20 | 2 | 1.63 |
| 1.67 | 2.5 | 2.13 |
| 1.35 | 3 | 2.95 |
Hearts team goals
For Hearts' team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.60 is favoured over Under 0.5 goals at 2.30. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 at 1.45 is rated higher than Over 1 at 2.65, while Under 1.5 at 1.20 is considerably more likely than Over 1.5 at 3.90.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 0.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.45 | 1 | 2.65 |
| 1.20 | 1.5 | 3.90 |
