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Turkey
MATCH FINISHED
1
:
0
26 March, 17:00
Romania
1
11/25
X
4/1
2
13/2
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12 November
1 27/10
X 3/1
2 19/20
Under 2.5 163/100
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Under 2.5 163/100
2.5
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2 11/5
Under 2.5 3/4
2.5
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2.5
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Turkey vs Romania: prediction & betting odds 26 March 2026

Published: 23 March 2026 07:41
Author: Alex Tarabrin Alex Tarabrin
Fact checked by: Alex Tarabrin Alex Tarabrin
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With Spain in the group, it was difficult for Turkey to realistically expect to finish first, so the final outcome can be considered a good one. Nevertheless, questions remain about the national team, and first and foremost they relate to the defensive play. Vincenzo Montella’s men kept a clean sheet in only one match in Group E, and that shutout came against the lowest-scoring team. In total, Turkey conceded 12 goals, and among all the sides that finished second, nobody posted a worse figure. Even on home soil, the Turks have conceded in seven of their last nine World Cup qualifying matches.


Romania have not had problems creating and converting chances. The team finished as the second-highest scorers in their group, and failed to score only in Matchday 1 against Bosnia, despite posting an xG of almost two goals. That says it all when the national team managed to find the net in both matches against Austria, who were the best defensive side in Group H. We also have to mention Mircea Lucescu. The head coach is very familiar with Turkish football from his work with local clubs, and he has also led the national team. In addition, Romania’s away scoring streak in World Cup qualifying now stands at six matches.

Betting prediction
Romania, over 0.5 goals
Cf
Odds
3/4
Read more

Forecast author

Alex Tarabrin
Alex Tarabrin
Betting Expert
About author:

Expert author at Legalbet since 2021. I studied economics but never worked in the field. In 2021, my love of football and my interest in analysis came together, and that was when I started editing betting content for Legalbet. 


I placed my first bet on the 2005 UEFA Cup final between CSKA Moscow and Sporting CP. For a long time, I backed accumulators while also reading betting blogs. Step by step, I began to dive deeper into niche markets, above all player markets and the impact that missing key players can have on a team’s performance. 


The key part of my approach is finding the less obvious connections. I analyse team form, statistics, what is going on behind the scenes, the dressing-room atmosphere and the wider news flow around a match. And, of course, I trust what I see with my own eyes when I follow a game live. 


One example is the Real Madrid vs Getafe match in March 2026. Most punters would have stopped at analysing form and looking at the 1x2 market. I checked the card statistics from the previous 10 matches, which were averaging above 4, looked at the head-to-head meetings, where there had been two games with 8 cards, and concluded that this would be a physical and scrappy contest. In the end, instead of taking an apparently safe over 4.5, I backed over 12 cards at odds of 101.00. The bet landed in the 97th minute. Overall, around 90% of my bets are on yellow cards. Occasionally, I also play offsides and big markets. 


Among the top leagues, I follow the major European championships, with the Bundesliga first and foremost. Among my niche interests, I follow the leagues of Belarus, Kazakhstan and Russia — I consider them a good testing ground for spotting patterns. 


At Legalbet, I share my view of the game and show how a love of football can be combined with cold mathematics: what to watch for, when it is worth taking a risk and when it is better simply to enjoy the match.

3 yrs. 9 mo.
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Team lineups

Turkey

Vincenzo Montella
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Uğurcan Çakır
gk. 0 0
Abdülkerim Bardakcı
df. 0 0
Mert Müldür
df. 0 0
Samet Akaydin
df. 0 0
Arda Güler
mf. 0 0
Barış Alper Yılmaz
mf. 0 0
Ferdi Erenay Kadıoğlu
mf. 0 0
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
mf. 0 0
Kenan Yıldız
mf. 0 0
İsmail Yüksek
mf. 0 0
Kerem Aktürkoğlu
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Altay Bayındır
gk. 0 0
Fehmi Mert Günok
gk. 0 0
Eren Elmalı
df. 0 0
Kaan Ayhan
df. 0 0
Ozan Muhammed Kabak
df. 0 0
Atakan Karazor
mf. 0 0
Orkun Kökçü
mf. 0 0
Salih Özcan
mf. 0 0
İrfan Can Kahveci
mf. 0 0
Deniz Daniel Gül
fw. 0 0
Oğuz Aydın
fw. 0 0
Yunus Akgün
fw. 0 0
Romania

Mircea Lucescu
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Ionuț Andrei Radu
gk. 0 0
Andrei Andonie Burcă
df. 0 0
Andrei Florin Rațiu
df. 0 0
Nicușor Silviu Bancu
df. 0 0
Radu Matei Drăgușin
df. 0 0
Ianis Hagi
mf. 0 0
Răzvan Gabriel Marin
mf. 0 0
Vlad Mihai Dragomir
mf. 0 0
Dennis Man
fw. 0 0
George Daniel Bîrligea
fw. 0 0
Mihai Valentin Mihăilă
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Iulian Laurențiu Popescu
gk. 0 0
Mihai Marian Aioani
gk. 0 0
Andrei Coubiș
df. 0 0
Virgil Ghiță
df. 0 0
Vladimir Ionuț Screciu
df. 0 0
Florin Lucian Tănase
mf. 0 0
Nicolae Claudiu Stanciu
mf. 0 0
Ștefan Baiaram
mf. 0 0
David Raul Miculescu
fw. 0 0
Deian Cristian Sorescu
fw. 0 0
Marius Cătălin Coman
fw. 0 0
Mihai-Alexandru Dobre
fw. 0 0

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H2H: Turkey — Romania

Friendlies 2016-2017
9 November, 2017
Romania
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World Cup Qualifiers 2014
10 September, 2013
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12 October, 2012
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Turkey vs Romania Odds

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OVER/UNDER
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TOTAL HOME GOALS
TOTAL AWAY GOALS
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