Odds overview
Ukraine are slight favourites: a Ukraine win is available at around 2.40, while the draw is 3.25 and a Hungary win is 3.10. In the totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.75 is favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 2.10. For the handicap (0), Ukraine at 1.70 have considerably shorter odds than Hungary at 2.17.
Why Ukraine are favourites
Bookmakers give Ukraine a modest edge: a win for the nominal hosts is quoted at 2.40, a Hungary win at 3.10 and the draw at 3.25.
• The teams' previous meeting in the current UEFA Nations League ended in a 1:0 away win for Ukraine.
• Hungary beat Georgia (1:0) in their most recent match, but before that they lost to Ukraine and drew with Northern Ireland (0:0), showing limited scoring form.
Form and Line-up Ukraine
Ukraine suffered a heavy defeat to Northern Ireland in the previous UEFA Nations League round, having drawn 0:0 with Georgia before that, and struggled to create chances.
In the pre-match UEFA Nations League figures, Ukraine rank second from bottom among 54 national teams for the combined number of shots on target in their matches, averaging 6.0 per game.
- No more than three goals were scored in 9 of Ukraine's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Nations League.
- Ukraine managed no more than three shots on target in 8 of their last 10 home matches in the competition.
- Fewer than 25.5 fouls were recorded in 9 of Ukraine's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Nations League.
Probable line-up: Dmytro Riznyk, Valeriy Bondar, Ilya Zabarnyi, Eduard Sarapiy, Mykola Matviyenko, Oleg Ocheretko, Volodymyr Brazhko, Viktor Tsyhankov, Andriy Yarmolenko, Georgiy Sudakov, Roman Yaremchuk
V. Mykolenko is not in the squad.
Form and Line-up Hungary
Matches involving Hungary have produced just 0.67 goals per game in total — the lowest figure among 54 teams in the pre-match UEFA Nations League figures.
In 9 of their 10 away matches in the competition, Hungary attempted fewer than 13.5 shots and took fewer than 4.5 corners.
- Hungary scored no more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Fewer than 2.5 goals were scored in 9 of Hungary's last 10 home matches in the competition.
- Hungary received at least two yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable line-up: Balázs Tóth, Attila Osváth, Willi Orban, Márk Csinger, Milos Kerkez, András Schäfer, Dominik Szoboszlai, Dániel Lukács, Alex Tóth, Zsolt Nagy, Milán Tóth
B. Varga and D. Redzic were not included in the squad.
The teams' chances
Ukraine to win: odds of 2.40, fair odds of 2.51 and a 39.8% probability. Draw: 3.25, fair odds of 3.40 and a 29.4% probability. Hungary to win: 3.10, fair odds of 3.25 and a 30.8% probability.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine win | 2.40 | 2.51 | 39.8% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.40 | 29.4% |
| Hungary win | 3.10 | 3.25 | 30.8% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 at 1.75 is favoured over Over 2.5 at 2.10. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 at 1.53 has shorter odds than Under 2 at 2.40, while at the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 at 1.27 is the clear favourite over Over 3.5 at 3.40.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.75 | 2.10 |
| 2 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 3.5 | 1.27 | 3.40 |
Handicap prediction
Ukraine (-1.5) at 4.50 have shorter odds than Hungary (-1.5) at 5.90. For the +1.5 handicap, the odds are close: Ukraine (+1.5) are 1.08 and Hungary (+1.5) are 1.15. Ukraine (-1) at 3.75 are favoured over Hungary (-1) at 5.00, while Ukraine (+1) are 1.12 and Hungary (+1) are 1.23. For handicap (0), Ukraine at 1.70 have shorter odds than Hungary at 2.17.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.50 | -1.5 | 5.90 |
| 1.08 | 1.5 | 1.15 |
| 3.75 | -1 | 5.00 |
| 1.12 | 1 | 1.23 |
| 1.70 | 0 | 2.17 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.80 has shorter odds than Both teams to score — No at 1.95, so the market gives a slight edge to both sides scoring over a scenario in which at least one fails to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.80 |
| No | 1.95 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/2
|
9/25
|
2/5
|
| William Hill |
2/5
|
33/100
|
53/100
|
| 888sport |
11/25
|
9/25
|
2/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Ukraine — 1.5 goals; Hungary — 1 goal.
Ukraine team total goals
For Ukraine's team goal total, Over 0.5 at 1.25 has considerably shorter odds than Under 0.5 at 3.45; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 at 1.55 is favoured over Under 1 at 2.40. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 at 1.55 has shorter odds than Over 1.5 at 2.35, while at the 2-goal line Under 2 is 1.17 against 4.20 for Over 2.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.45 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.40 | 1 | 1.55 |
| 1.55 | 1.5 | 2.35 |
| 1.17 | 2 | 4.20 |
Hungary team total goals
For Hungary's team goal total, Over 0.5 at 1.38 has shorter odds than Under 0.5 at 2.80. At the 1-goal line, the odds are close — Under 1 at 1.95 and Over 1 at 1.80; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 at 1.40 is clearly favoured over Over 1.5 at 2.75.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.80 | 0.5 | 1.38 |
| 1.95 | 1 | 1.80 |
| 1.40 | 1.5 | 2.75 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Igor Pajac (Croatia)
Matches – 9 (international fixtures, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 3.6;
Matches with a red card – 3 of 9;
Matches with a penalty – 3 of 9.
Anatoliy Trubin
Illia Krupskyi
Illia Zabarnyi
Taras Mykhavko
Eduard Sarapii
Oleh Ocheretko
Viktor Tsygankov
Heorhii Yermakov
Oleksandr Drambaiev
Maksym Khlan
Ivan Varfolomeev
Roman Yaremchuk
Vladyslav Vanat
Balázs Tóth
Attila Osváth
Márk Csinger
Willi Thomas Orbán
Zsolt Nagy
Alex László Tóth
András Schäfer
Dominik Szoboszlai
Milán Vitális
Milán Tóth
Bence Gundel-Takács
Ármin Pécsi
Bence Várkonyi
Bendegúz Bence Bolla
Ákos Markgráf
Áron Csongvai
Rajmund Tóth
Áron Doktorics
Gábor Jurek
József Szalai
Donát Bárány
Tamás Szűcs
