Odds overview
Ukraine are slight favourites: a Ukraine win is available at around 2.40, while the draw is 3.25 and a Hungary win is 3.10. In the totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.75 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.10. For a handicap of 0, Ukraine at 1.70 are quoted considerably shorter than Hungary at 2.17.
Why Ukraine are favourites
Bookmakers give Ukraine a modest edge: a win for the nominal hosts is offered at 2.40, a Hungary win at 3.10, and the draw at 3.25.
• The teams' previous meeting in the current UEFA Nations League ended in a 1:0 away win for Ukraine.
• Hungary beat Georgia 1:0 in their most recent match, but before that they lost to Ukraine and drew 0:0 with Northern Ireland, showing limited scoring output.
Form and Line-up Ukraine
Ukraine suffered a heavy defeat to Northern Ireland in the previous UEFA Nations League round, having drawn 0:0 with Georgia before that, and struggled to create chances.
Ahead of the match, Ukraine rank second from bottom among 54 teams in the UEFA Nations League for the combined number of shots on target in their matches, averaging 6.0 per game.
- No more than three goals were scored in 9 of Ukraine's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Nations League.
- Ukraine had no more than three shots on target in 8 of their last 10 home matches in the competition.
- Fewer than 25.5 fouls were recorded in 9 of Ukraine's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Nations League.
Probable Ukraine line-up: Dmytro Riznyk, Valeriy Bondar, Ilya Zabarnyi, Eduard Sarapiy, Mykola Matviyenko, Oleg Ocheretko, Volodymyr Brazhko, Viktor Tsyhankov, Andriy Yarmolenko, Georgiy Sudakov, Roman Yaremchuk
V. Mykolenko is not in the squad.
Form and Line-up Hungary
Matches involving Hungary have produced a combined average of just 0.67 goals per game — the lowest among 54 teams in the pre-match UEFA Nations League figures.
In 9 of their 10 away matches in the competition, Hungary attempted fewer than 13.5 shots and took fewer than 4.5 corners.
- Hungary scored no more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Fewer than 2.5 goals were scored in 9 of Hungary's last 10 home matches in the competition.
- Hungary received at least two yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the UEFA Nations League.
Probable Hungary line-up: Balázs Tóth, Attila Osváth, Willi Orban, Márk Csinger, Milos Kerkez, András Schäfer, Dominik Szoboszlai, Dániel Lukács, Alex Tóth, Zsolt Nagy, Milán Tóth
B. Varga and D. Redzic were not included in the squad.
The teams' chances
Ukraine to win: odds of 2.40, fair odds of 2.51 and a 39.8% probability. Draw: 3.25, fair odds of 3.40 and a 29.4% probability. Hungary to win: 3.10, fair odds of 3.25 and a 30.8% probability.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine to win | 2.40 | 2.51 | 39.8% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.40 | 29.4% |
| Hungary to win | 3.10 | 3.25 | 30.8% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.75 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.10. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 goals at 1.53 is shorter than Under 2 goals at 2.40, while at the 3.5-goal line Under 3.5 goals at 1.27 is the clear favourite over Over 3.5 goals at 3.40.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.75 | 2.10 |
| 2 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 3.5 | 1.27 | 3.40 |
Handicap prediction
Ukraine (-1.5) at 4.50 are quoted shorter than Hungary (-1.5) at 5.90. The odds for a +1.5 handicap are close: Ukraine (+1.5) at 1.08 and Hungary (+1.5) at 1.15. Ukraine (-1) at 3.75 are shorter than Hungary (-1) at 5.00, as are Ukraine (+1) at 1.12 compared with Hungary (+1) at 1.23. With a handicap of 0, Ukraine at 1.70 are shorter than Hungary at 2.17.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.50 | -1.5 | 5.90 |
| 1.08 | 1.5 | 1.15 |
| 3.75 | -1 | 5.00 |
| 1.12 | 1 | 1.23 |
| 1.70 | 0 | 2.17 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.80 is shorter than Both teams to score - No at 1.95, meaning the market sees both teams scoring as slightly more likely than at least one team failing to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.80 |
| No | 1.95 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/25
|
9/25
|
53/100
|
| William Hill |
2/5
|
33/100
|
53/100
|
| 888sport |
2/5
|
33/100
|
53/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goals lines for this match: Ukraine — 1.5 goals; Hungary — 1 goal.
Ukraine team goals
Ukraine team goals: Over 0.5 goals at 1.25 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 3.45; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal at 1.55 is shorter than Under 1 goal at 2.40. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.55 is shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 2.35, while at the 2-goal line it is Under 2 goals at 1.17 versus Over 2 goals at 4.20.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.45 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.40 | 1 | 1.55 |
| 1.55 | 1.5 | 2.35 |
| 1.17 | 2 | 4.20 |
Hungary team goals
Hungary team goals: Over 0.5 goals at 1.38 is shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 2.80. At the 1-goal line, the odds are close — Under 1 goal at 1.95 and Over 1 goal at 1.80; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.40 is considerably shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 2.75.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.80 | 0.5 | 1.38 |
| 1.95 | 1 | 1.80 |
| 1.40 | 1.5 | 2.75 |
