Odds overview
Union Berlin and Köln are both around 2.60 to win, while the draw is 3.65. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 is much shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.25. Both Union Berlin (0) and Köln (0) are available at 1.90.
Why there is no clear favourite
Fonbet has no clear favourite: both Union Berlin and Köln are 2.60 to win. The draw is available at 3.65.
- Union Berlin have been picking up points consistently in the league: they have avoided defeat in 7 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
- The visitors are on a long winless away run: Köln have failed to win any of their last 10 away matches in the competition.
Form and Line-up Union Berlin
Union Berlin come into this match after a heavy cup defeat: they lost 0:5 away to Köln on 27 October. After the match, Mauro Lustrinelli pointed to losses of possession and concentration in the second half. The Union Berlin coach stressed that those mistakes must be corrected before the rematch.
Union Berlin's league form tells a different story: they previously drew 1:1 away to Augsburg and have avoided defeat in 7 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
- Union Berlin have failed to win 7 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- At least one goal has been scored in 9 of Union Berlin's last 10 matches in all official competitions.
Probable Union Berlin line-up (4-3-3): Frederik Rønnow, Janik Haberer, Leopold Querfeld, Zeno Van Den Bosch, Tom Rothe, Andras Schafer, Rani Khedira, Jeong Woo-yeong, Michel Aebischer, Livan Burcu, Tim Skarke
Form and Line-up Köln
Before travelling to Berlin, Köln drew 0:0 at home to Schalke in the Bundesliga. They also thrashed Union Berlin 5:0 at home on 27 October.
After the emphatic win, visiting coach René Wagner praised his side's finishing but stressed that he expects a very different match in the return fixture in Berlin. Closed training sessions were scheduled for Friday and Saturday as the team prepared for the trip.
- Köln have failed to win their last 10 away matches in the Bundesliga.
- Köln have scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga away matches.
Probable Köln line-up (4-2-3-1): Marvin Schwäbe, Sebastian Sebulonsen, Jahmai Simpson-Pusey, Luka Lochoshvili, Borna Sosa, Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson, Tom Krauß, Linton Maina, Mikey Moore, Said El Mala, Marius Bülter
The teams' chances
Union Berlin and Köln are each quoted at 2.60 to win: the fair odds for either outcome are 2.71, with a probability of 36.9%. The draw is 3.65, with fair odds of 3.81 and a probability of 26.3%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin to win | 2.60 | 2.71 | 36.9% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.81 | 26.3% |
| Köln to win | 2.60 | 2.71 | 36.9% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 has shorter odds than Under 2.5 goals at 2.25. At 3.5 goals, the reverse applies: Under 3.5 goals is offered at 1.52, while Over 3.5 goals is 2.45.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.25 | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 1.52 | 2.45 |
Handicap prediction
Union Berlin (-1.5) and Köln (-1.5) are both quoted at 4.20, while Union Berlin (+1.5) and Köln (+1.5) are both 1.17. At the -1 handicap line, Union Berlin (-1) are 3.70 and Köln (-1) are 3.65. Both +1 handicap options are 1.25, while Union Berlin (0) and Köln (0) are both 1.90.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | -1.5 | 4.20 |
| 1.17 | 1.5 | 1.17 |
| 3.70 | -1 | 3.65 |
| 1.25 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 1.90 | 0 | 1.90 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes is quoted at 1.55, while Both teams to score – No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is 2.40.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.55 |
| No | 2.40 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/2
|
29/100
|
11/25
|
| 888sport |
53/100
|
29/100
|
11/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Union Berlin — 1.5 goals; Köln — 1.5 goals.
Union Berlin team total goals
For Union Berlin, Over 0.5 goals is 1.20, compared with 3.90 for Under 0.5 goals. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 is 1.42 and Under 1 is 2.65; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 at 1.70 is shorter than Over 1.5 at 2.10. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is 1.28 and Over 2 is 3.30.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.90 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.65 | 1 | 1.42 |
| 1.70 | 1.5 | 2.10 |
| 1.28 | 2 | 3.30 |
Köln team total goals
For Köln, Over 0.5 goals is 1.20, compared with 3.90 for Under 0.5 goals. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 is 1.42 and Under 1 is 2.65; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 at 1.70 is shorter than Over 1.5 at 2.10. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is 1.28 and Over 2 is 3.30.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.90 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.65 | 1 | 1.42 |
| 1.70 | 1.5 | 2.10 |
| 1.28 | 2 | 3.30 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Richard Hempel (Germany)
Matches — 14 (Bundesliga, 2. Bundesliga, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 27;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 5.3;
Matches with a red card — 2 out of 14;
Matches with a penalty — 3 out of 14.
