Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Union Berlin are slight favourites at 2.30: Elversberg are available at 2.85, while the draw is 3.75. In the main goals market, Over 2.5 is quoted at around 1.55, compared with 2.35 for Under 2.5. In the main handicap market, Union Berlin Draw No Bet (0) at 1.73 looks preferable to Elversberg Draw No Bet (0) at 2.10.
Why Union Berlin are favourites
Bookmakers favour the hosts: a Union Berlin win is offered at 2.30, an Elversberg win at 2.85 and the draw at 3.75.
- Mauro Lustrinelli took charge of Union Berlin in the summer. Under him, the club are seeking to play more proactively and give young players more opportunities.
- Elversberg's matches have also produced a high average number of goals early in the season (3.75 per game), contributing to open, end-to-end football.
Form and Line-up Union Berlin
Union Berlin lost 1:3 at home to Schalke 04 in a September Bundesliga match, conceding three times and replying only through a Tim Skarke goal in stoppage time.
- Union Berlin's opponents took fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
- Fewer than 10.5 corners were taken in 8 of Union Berlin's last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
- Union Berlin committed fewer than 11.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Frederik Rønnow, Christopher Trimmel, Leopold Querfeld, Felix Uduokhai, Tom Rothe, Rani Khedira, Michel Aebischer, Janik Haberer, Andras Schafer, Jeong Woo-yeong, Emmanuel Latte Lath
Form and Line-up Elversberg
Elversberg drew 0:0 away to Schalke 04, playing a cautious match with few clear chances for either side.
- Elversberg's opponents took fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions.
- Elversberg committed fewer than 13.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions.
- Elversberg's opponents attempted fewer than 13.5 shots in 8 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Nicolas Kristof, Nicholas Mickelson, Florian Le Joncour, Maximilian Rohr, Lasse Günther, Felix Keidel, Łukasz Poręba, Lukas Petkov, Noah Darvich, Cole Campbell, Noel Futkeu
The teams' chances
A Union Berlin win is offered at 2.30, with fair odds of 2.42 and a probability of 41.3%. The draw is available at 3.75, with fair odds of 3.95 and a probability of 25.3%. An Elversberg win is quoted at 2.85, with fair odds of 3.00 and a probability of 33.3%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin win | 2.30 | 2.42 | 41.3% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.95 | 25.3% |
| Elversberg win | 2.85 | 3.00 | 33.3% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is available at 2.35, while Over 2.5 is 1.55, making the over the clear favourite. At the 3.5-goal line, the positions are reversed: Under 3.5 is available at 1.60 and Over 3.5 at 2.35.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.60 | 2.35 |
Handicap prediction
Union Berlin (-1.5) are available at 3.65, shorter than Elversberg (-1.5) at 5.00. Union Berlin (+1.5) are offered at 1.12, compared with 1.25 for Elversberg (+1.5). Union Berlin (-1) are quoted at 3.05 and Elversberg (-1) at 4.30; on the +1 line, Union Berlin (+1) are available at 1.16 and Elversberg (+1) at 1.32. On the zero handicap line, Union Berlin Draw No Bet (0) at 1.73 look preferable to Elversberg Draw No Bet (0) at 2.10.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.65 | -1.5 | 5.00 |
| 1.12 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| 3.05 | -1 | 4.30 |
| 1.16 | 1 | 1.32 |
| 1.73 | 0 | 2.10 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is quoted at 1.50, while Both teams to score — No is 2.50. The shorter odds on Yes indicate that both sides scoring is considered more likely than at least one side failing to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.50 |
| No | 2.50 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
2/5
|
29/100
|
57/100
|
| 888sport |
11/25
|
1/4
|
3/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: Union Berlin — 1.5 goals; Elversberg — 1.5 goals.
Union Berlin team total goals
For Union Berlin's team total, Under 0.5 goals is quoted at 4.10 and Over 0.5 at 1.18; at the 1-goal line, Under 1 is 2.95 versus 1.35 for Over 1. At 1.5 goals, the odds are close: Under 1.5 is 1.83 and Over 1.5 is 1.92. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is offered at 1.40 and Over 2 at 2.80.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.10 | 0.5 | 1.18 |
| 2.95 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.83 | 1.5 | 1.92 |
| 1.40 | 2 | 2.80 |
Elversberg team total goals
For Elversberg's team total, Under 0.5 goals is available at 3.60 and Over 0.5 at 1.25; at the 1-goal line, Under 1 is quoted at 2.40 and Over 1 at 1.53. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is available at 1.65 and Over 1.5 at 2.15. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is 1.25 versus 3.50 for Over 2.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.60 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.40 | 1 | 1.53 |
| 1.65 | 1.5 | 2.15 |
| 1.25 | 2 | 3.50 |
