Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Union Berlin have a slight edge at 2.30: Elversberg are at 2.85 and the draw is 3.75. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals is available at around 1.55, compared with 2.35 for Under 2.5 goals. In the main handicap market, Union Berlin Draw No Bet at 1.73 looks more attractive than Elversberg Draw No Bet at 2.10.
Why Union Berlin are favourites
The bookmakers favour the hosts: a Union Berlin win is offered at 2.30, an Elversberg win at 2.85 and the draw at 3.75.
- Mauro Lustrinelli took charge of Union Berlin in the summer, and under him the club are looking to play more proactively and give more opportunities to young players.
- Elversberg's matches have also averaged a high number of goals early in the season (3.75 per game), contributing to open, end-to-end football.
Form and Line-up Union Berlin
Union Berlin lost 1:3 at home to Schalke 04 in a Bundesliga match in September, conceding three times and replying only through a Tim Skarke goal in stoppage time.
- Union Berlin's opponents took fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
- There were fewer than 10.5 corners in 8 of Union Berlin's last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
- Union Berlin committed fewer than 11.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
Probable Union Berlin line-up (4-4-2): Frederik Rønnow, Christopher Trimmel, Leopold Querfeld, Felix Uduokhai, Tom Rothe, Rani Khedira, Michel Aebischer, Janik Haberer, Andras Schafer, Jeong Woo-yeong, Emmanuel Latte Lath
Form and Line-up Elversberg
Elversberg drew 0:0 away to Schalke 04 in a cautious match with few clear chances for either side.
- Elversberg's opponents took fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions.
- Elversberg committed fewer than 13.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions.
- Elversberg's opponents attempted fewer than 13.5 shots in 8 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions.
Probable Elversberg line-up (4-2-3-1): Nicolas Kristof, Nicholas Mickelson, Florian Le Joncour, Maximilian Rohr, Lasse Günther, Felix Keidel, Łukasz Poręba, Lukas Petkov, Noah Darvich, Cole Campbell, Noel Futkeu
The teams' chances
Union Berlin are offered at 2.30 to win, with fair odds of 2.42 and a probability of 41.3%. The draw is available at 3.75, with fair odds of 3.95 and a probability of 25.3%. Elversberg are quoted at 2.85 to win, with fair odds of 3.00 and a probability of 33.3%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin win | 2.30 | 2.42 | 41.3% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.95 | 25.3% |
| Elversberg win | 2.85 | 3.00 | 33.3% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is offered at 2.35, while Over 2.5 goals is 1.55, making the over the clear favourite. At the 3.5-goal line, the relationship is reversed: Under 3.5 goals is available at 1.60 and Over 3.5 goals at 2.35.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.60 | 2.35 |
Handicap prediction
Union Berlin (-1.5) at 3.65 have shorter odds than Elversberg (-1.5) at 5.00. Union Berlin (+1.5) are offered at 1.12, compared with 1.25 for Elversberg (+1.5). Union Berlin (-1) are quoted at 3.05 and Elversberg (-1) at 4.30; on the +1 line, Union Berlin (+1) are 1.16 and Elversberg (+1) are 1.32. On the zero handicap line, Union Berlin Draw No Bet at 1.73 looks preferable to Elversberg Draw No Bet at 2.10.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.65 | -1.5 | 5.00 |
| 1.12 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| 3.05 | -1 | 4.30 |
| 1.16 | 1 | 1.32 |
| 1.73 | 0 | 2.10 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes is available at 1.50, while Both teams to score – No is 2.50. The shorter odds on Yes indicate that both sides scoring is considered more likely than at least one side failing to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.50 |
| No | 2.50 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: Union Berlin — 1.5 goals; Elversberg — 1.5 goals.
Union Berlin total goals
For Union Berlin's total goals, Under 0.5 is quoted at 4.10 and Over 0.5 at 1.18; at the 1-goal line, Under 1 is 2.95 compared with 1.35 for Over 1. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are almost level: Under 1.5 is 1.83 and Over 1.5 is 1.92. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is offered at 1.40 and Over 2 at 2.80.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.10 | 0.5 | 1.18 |
| 2.95 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.83 | 1.5 | 1.92 |
| 1.40 | 2 | 2.80 |
Elversberg total goals
For Elversberg's total goals, Under 0.5 is offered at 3.60 and Over 0.5 at 1.25; at the 1-goal line, Under 1 is quoted at 2.40 and Over 1 at 1.53. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is available at 1.65 and Over 1.5 at 2.15. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is 1.25 compared with 3.50 for Over 2.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.60 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.40 | 1 | 1.53 |
| 1.65 | 1.5 | 2.15 |
| 1.25 | 2 | 3.50 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Tobias Reichel (Germany)
Matches — 14 (Bundesliga, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 21;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 2.9;
Matches with a red card — 2 out of 14;
Matches with a penalty — 3 out of 14.
