The fourth-round group stage match of the 2024/25 Champions League between Bayern Munich (Germany) and Benfica (Portugal) will take place on November 6 at the Allianz Arena in Munich. Bayern Munich vs. Benfica: prediction and betting odds, statistics. Referee: Davide Massa (Italy) Matches – 6 (International meetings, 2023/24–2024/25); Yellow/red cards shown – 21; Average yellow/red cards per match – 3.5; Red cards shown – 1; Fouls on average per match – 23; Penalties – 30%. Probable line-ups for the match Bayern Munich vs. Benfica Bayern Munich (4-2-3-1): Manuel Neuer – Alphonso Davies, Kim Min-jae, Dayot Upamecano, Raphael Guerreiro – Joao Palhinha, Joshua Kimmich – Serge Gnabry, Jamal Musiala, Michael Olise – Harry Kane. Benfica (4-5-1): Anatoliy Trubin – Alexander Bah, Antonio Silva, Nicolas Otamendi, Alvaro Carreras – Kerem Akturkoglu, Florentino, Angel Di Maria, Fredrik Aursnes, Orkun Kokcu – Vangelis Pavlidis. Bayern Munich Vincent Kompany's men suffered a heavy defeat away to Barcelona (1:4) in the last round. As a result, Bayern Munich experienced back-to-back losses in regular time in the Champions League for the first time since 2014. The Germans have three points to their name, which places them at only 23rd in the tournament table. Notably, the team has scored ten goals in the group stage, trailing only Borussia Dortmund (12). Defenders Josip Stanisic, Tarek Bouchamaoui, Hiroki Ito, and Sasha Boe, as well as midfielder Alexander Pavlovich, will miss the game due to injuries. - The team has not lost in regular time in their last 17 home games in the UCL (13 wins, 4 draws). - At least three goals were scored in 5 of the last 7 home games of the club in this competition. - The Germans have not conceded more than one goal in regular time in 12 of their last 15 home matches in the Champions League. Benfica Bruno Lage's side lost at home to Dutch Feyenoord (1:3) in the last round. The defeat was unexpected, as in the previous match in the UCL, the team thrashed Atletico Madrid with a score of 4:0. Consequently, Benfica ended their 3-match winning streak in the Champions League and, remaining with six points, fell to the 13th spot in the tournament table. Forwards Gianluca Prestianni and Tiago Gouveia will not play due to injuries. - The club has not lost in regular time in 12 of their last 14 away matches in the Champions League (8 wins, 4 draws). - At least three goals were scored in 5 of the last 7 away matches of the team in this competition. - The number '1' was in the score by the end of regular time in 7 of the last 9 away matches of the Portuguese team in the UCL. Bayern Munich vs. Benfica: match prediction The German top club performs very strongly at home and often achieves the maximum result: 13 wins in regular time in the last 17 matches in the Champions League. Moreover, Bayern Munich won by a large margin seven times during this period, and in the first-round group stage match, they demolished Dinamo Zagreb – 9:2. Although Benfica has rarely lost recently in away games in this competition, their last three visits to Munich in the UCL ended in defeats for the Portuguese (2:5, 1:5, and 0:1). Both teams play very effectively in the European arena: Bayern Munich alone has struck the opponent's goal 15 times in just the last four home matches in the Champions League, and Benfica, in their previous 13 away confrontations in this competition, has had only one match without scoring goals. I see the German club as the clear favorite in this encounter and also expect a high-quality attacking game from both teams. My prediction: "Home Win and Over 2.5 Goals" with odds of 1.55. Author: Dmitry Shchurko
On Wednesday, the clash between Bayern Munich and Benfica might not outshine the encounter between Inter Milan and Arsenal, but it surely promises to be one of the key games of the Champions League's fourth round. Two consecutive defeats have knocked Munich out of the top 15 of the League Stage, making it crucial for them to get back on track.
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich's victory over Dinamo Zagreb (9:2) in the opening round of the Champions League remains their standout performance this season. Following the game against the Croatian side, the team stumbled against Aston Villa (0:1) and Barcelona (1:4), notwithstanding creating numerous dangerous chances in both away matches. For instance, in Catalonia, they had an xG of 1.04, and there was no real shot advantage for the opponents (11-12). In the Bundesliga, they not only sit at the top of the table but have also amassed a strong 24.84 xG over nine rounds (leading the league).
Benfica
In Benfica's three Champions League matches, the total over 2.5 was scored in each game. After the unexpected thrashing of Atlético Madrid (4:0), they undeservedly fell to Feyenoord (1:3), creating significantly more dangerous chances (1.68 vs 1.01 in xG and 62-38% in possession). Since that match, Benfica have notched up 10 goals in their domestic league over three games, leaving no doubt about the strength of their attack.
Bayern Munich vs Benfica Prediction
Since the autumn of 2018, Bayern Munich have defeated Benfica in four consecutive matches, but they have the potential to put up a fight this time. We believe the most enticing bet is both teams to score, given that both sides are focused on attacking their opponent's goal.
