Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Champions League match.
On Wednesday, the clash between Bayern Munich and Benfica might not outshine the encounter between Inter Milan and Arsenal, but it surely promises to be one of the key games of the Champions League's fourth round. Two consecutive defeats have knocked Munich out of the top 15 of the League Stage, making it crucial for them to get back on track.
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich's victory over Dinamo Zagreb (9:2) in the opening round of the Champions League remains their standout performance this season. Following the game against the Croatian side, the team stumbled against Aston Villa (0:1) and Barcelona (1:4), notwithstanding creating numerous dangerous chances in both away matches. For instance, in Catalonia, they had an xG of 1.04, and there was no real shot advantage for the opponents (11-12). In the Bundesliga, they not only sit at the top of the table but have also amassed a strong 24.84 xG over nine rounds (leading the league).
Benfica
In Benfica's three Champions League matches, the total over 2.5 was scored in each game. After the unexpected thrashing of Atlético Madrid (4:0), they undeservedly fell to Feyenoord (1:3), creating significantly more dangerous chances (1.68 vs 1.01 in xG and 62-38% in possession). Since that match, Benfica have notched up 10 goals in their domestic league over three games, leaving no doubt about the strength of their attack.
Bayern Munich vs Benfica Prediction
Since the autumn of 2018, Bayern Munich have defeated Benfica in four consecutive matches, but they have the potential to put up a fight this time. We believe the most enticing bet is both teams to score, given that both sides are focused on attacking their opponent's goal.