Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Australian Open match.
Karen Khachanov has consistently demonstrated a high level of play at this tournament, reaching at least the third round for six consecutive years—making it to the semi-finals in 2023. Meanwhile, Gabriel Diallo is just beginning to gain experience in Grand Slam events. This match represents an opportunity for him to showcase his talent against a seasoned opponent.
Gabriel Diallo
In the first round, Diallo engaged in a gruelling five-set match against Luca Nardi (6:7, 7:6, 5:7, 6:1, 6:2), emerging victorious through his physical conditioning and powerful serve. In the initial three sets, Nardi managed to maintain depth in his shots, exposing Diallo's vulnerabilities. However, after the Italian's form dipped, Gabriel overpowered him with a dominant serve: 21 aces, 62% first serve success, and 76% points won on the first serve. Despite this, his chances of advancing through the draw remain slim. His best performance in a Grand Slam has been reaching the third round, and he has struggled against taller opponents (over 195 cm), losing 7 out of 12 such meetings.
Karen Khachanov
In contrast, Khachanov confidently dispatched Adrian Mannarino (7:6, 6:3, 6:3), playing the match at a comfortable pace without dropping a set, managing the flow, and conserving energy. Khachanov has won 8 of his last 10 matches in Melbourne, making it a successful tournament for him. The Russian previously faced Diallo in the ATP 250 final in Almaty in 2024, comfortably winning the first set and having opportunities to close it in two sets, ultimately securing victory in three (6:2, 5:7, 6:3).
Gabriel Diallo vs Karen Khachanov Prediction
Khachanov boasts a much more balanced game, and his Australian Open experience speaks volumes. Diallo might snatch a set through his service prowess, but the Russian's superior class is expected to shine through. Therefore, we predict a win for Khachanov with a handicap.
