Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Champions League match.
The standout fixture of the first matchday of the Champions League this week will take place at Anfield, where Liverpool host Bayer Leverkusen. It's clear that Xabi Alonso aims to make his mark on familiar ground, especially as both teams have hit decent form in the early rounds of the competition. However, it is crucial for these top sides not to drop points.
Liverpool
Following their impressive away performance at the San Siro against AC Milan (3:1), Liverpool played more restrained matches against Bologna (2:0) and RB Leipzig (1:0). In Leipzig, the Merseyside team generated 2.38 xG and hit eight shots on target, resulting in just one goal from Darwin Núñez—reflecting conversion issues on the international stage. Nevertheless, Liverpool have shown solid defensive capabilities, conceding only 1.44 xGA over their last 180 minutes in the Champions League.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
The late September visit to Bayern Munich (1:1) showcased a transformed Bayer Leverkusen. Xabi Alonso's new season approach has shifted from high pressing to a more results-driven strategy, with the team preferring to drop back. Against AC Milan (1:0) and Stade Brestois (1:1), the Leverkusen side created 4.21 xG but similarly struggled to capitalise on most of their chances.
Liverpool vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction
Last week, both Liverpool and Bayer Leverkusen had two domestic matches each, leaving both slightly fatigued ahead of their encounter. Given the quality of opposition, neither side is likely to take frequent risks, and the combined total is expected to stay under 3.5.
