Betting tip
Argentina have a habit of keeping visiting teams off the scoresheet. They have kept seven clean sheets in their last 10 home matches. October was particularly telling: they thrashed Bolivia 4:0, Burkina Faso 7:0 and Benin 3:0. Granted, those opponents are not on Uruguay's level. But Argentina kept three consecutive clean sheets. For the selected bet, that run matters more than how many goals the hosts scored.
Argentina's meetings with Uruguay tell a story of their own. Uruguay have failed to score in six of the last eight encounters. Argentina won 1:0 in Montevideo in March 2025 and kept three clean sheets against Uruguay in 2021. That offers no guarantee: Uruguay won 2:0 at La Bombonera in November 2023. Nevertheless, the head-to-head record clearly shows how difficult they find it to break down Argentina's defence consistently.
There is also more recent evidence of Uruguay's attacking limitations. In their 2026 matches against England, Algeria and Spain, they scored just one goal in total, with results of 1:1, 0:0 and 0:1. Against strong opposition, they struggled with their finishing. Argentina can provide exactly that level of resistance, particularly in front of their own fans.
The hosts cannot afford to relax, though. Uruguay thrashed South Korea 4:1 and India 6:1, Federico Valverde has returned to the squad, and Darwin Núñez has also been called up. Argentina, meanwhile, are without the injured Cristian Romero, while Emiliano Martínez's fitness remains in doubt following a fractured jaw.
Even so, the visitors will have to wait for their next goal against a team who rarely let their guard down at home. The bet here is not on a thrashing, but on Argentina protecting what matters most: their own goal.