Odds overview
Slovakia are clear favourites: they are available to win at 1.62, compared with 4.05 for a draw and around 5.50 for Kazakhstan to win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.85 is slightly more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 1.95. Slovakia Draw No Bet, with a handicap of 0, at 1.22 is considerably shorter than Kazakhstan Draw No Bet, also with a handicap of 0, at 3.80.
Why Slovakia are favourites
Bookmakers favour Slovakia, offering odds of 1.62 for the visitors to win. A draw is available at 4.05 and a Kazakhstan win at 5.50.
- Slovakia regularly pick up points in this competition: they have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 Nations League matches.
- Kazakhstan have struggled for some time: they have not won any of their last 10 Nations League matches.
Form and Line-up Kazakhstan
In the previous round of Nations League matches, on 13 November, Kazakhstan lost 1:2 away to Moldova.
Ahead of the November matches, the head coach noted that the training camp had begun earlier than usual to help the players regain their training rhythm after the club season ended.
- More than 1.5 goals have been scored in 9 of Kazakhstan's last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in 9 of Kazakhstan's last 10 home Nations League matches.
Probable Kazakhstan line-up: Stas Pokatilov, Aleksandr Mrynskiy, Alibek Kasym, Temirlan Yerlanov, Nuraly Alip, Nauryzbek Zhagorov, Ramazan Orazov, Aibar Zhaksylykov, Dinmuhamed Karaman, Zhasulan Amir, Islam Chesnokov.
Maksim Samorodov will miss the match through suspension, while Ramazan Karimov is injured.
Form and Line-up Slovakia
Slovakia drew 2:2 at home to the Faroe Islands on 13 November. In October, they won 4:0 away to Moldova without conceding.
Slovakia secured first place in the group and promotion to League B with matches to spare. Head coach Vladimir Weiss then decided to rest the players with the heaviest workloads and test younger players in Kazakhstan.
- Slovakia's opponents have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in 8 of Slovakia's last 10 away Nations League matches.
Probable Slovakia line-up:Jakub Surovcik, Lubomir Satka, Tobias Paliscak, Timotej Hranica, Ivan Mesik, Tomáš Rigo, Artur Gajdos, Ludovit Reis, Erik Prekop, Lukas Haraslin, David Strelec.
Tomáš Suslov, Stanislav Lobotka, Adam Obert and Leo Sauer are injured. Martin Valjent is suspended, while Martin Dúbravka has a meniscus problem. Milan Škriniar, David Hancko, Ondrej Duda, Albert Rusnak, Matúš Bero and Dominik Greif have been excused from travelling to the match.
The teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Kazakhstan a 17.4% chance of winning, with average odds of 5.50 and fair odds of 5.75. A draw has a 23.6% chance: average odds are 4.05 and fair odds are 4.24. Slovakia have a 59% chance of winning; their average odds are 1.62 and their fair odds are 1.69.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kazakhstan to win | 5.50 | 5.75 | 17.4% |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4.24 | 23.6% |
| Slovakia to win | 1.62 | 1.69 | 59.0% |
Total goals analysis
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.95 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.85, giving the over a slight edge. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals at 1.37 is considerably more likely than Over 3.5 goals at 2.85.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 3.5 | 1.37 | 2.85 |
Handicap analysis
Slovakia (-1.5) are available at 2.60, while Kazakhstan (+1.5) are at 1.45. At a handicap of -1, Slovakia (-1) are offered at 2.00; at a handicap of +1, Kazakhstan (+1) are at 1.80. With a handicap of 0, Slovakia (0) at 1.22 look considerably more likely than Kazakhstan (0) at 3.80.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.60 | |
| 1.45 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 2.00 | |
| 1.80 | 1 | |
| 3.80 | 0 | 1.22 |
Both teams to score analysis
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.83, while Both teams to score — No is available at 1.91. The odds are almost equal, with a slight edge for both teams scoring.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.83 |
| No | 1.91 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
83/100
|
29/100
|
1/4
|
| William Hill |
17/20
|
1/4
|
1/4
|
| LeoVegas |
83/100
|
3/10
|
1/4
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goal totals analysis
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Kazakhstan — 0.5 goals; Slovakia — 1.5 goals.
Kazakhstan team goal totals
For Kazakhstan, Under 0.5 goals is available at 2.25 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.60. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is offered at 1.50, compared with 2.55 for Over 1 goal. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 goals is 1.23 and Over 1.5 goals is 3.70.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | 0.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.50 | 1 | 2.55 |
| 1.23 | 1.5 | 3.70 |
Slovakia team goal totals
For Slovakia, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 5.50 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.10. Under 1 goal is available at 3.95, compared with 1.20 for Over 1 goal; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is 2.05 and Over 1.5 goals is 1.72. At 2 goals, Under 2 goals is 1.55 and Over 2 goals is 2.35.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.50 | 0.5 | 1.10 |
| 3.95 | 1 | 1.20 |
| 2.05 | 1.5 | 1.72 |
| 1.55 | 2 | 2.35 |
